MONTHLY AND SEASONAL NUMERICAL FORECASTS BY USING THE ANOMALY OCEAN-ATMOSPHERE COUPLED FILTERED MODEL

Case experiments of monthly predictions of eight winter months during 1976-1977 and 1982-1983 El Nino events are performed by using a three-layer anomalous filtered model (AFM), in which transient Rossby waves are filtered. The results show that this model predicts successfully the large-scale patterns of the monthly mean surface temperature anomalies. The correlation coefficients between observations and predictions are basically higher than those of persistence predictions. By comparison with the anomalous general circulation model (AGCM) the AFM gives almost the identical results, but the computation time required for running the AFM is nearly 100 times less than that required for running the AGCM. It is also shown that the results of the three-layer model are better than those of the one-layer model. In the meanwhile, four seasonal forecasts are also carried out by using the same model. It seems that the AFM possesses potential ability in predicting large-scale circulation anomalies.On the basis of     

基于大直径三轴试验的钙质砂相对破碎率公式修正

钙质砂因特殊的成因,具有不规则形状和复杂孔隙等特征,容易发生颗粒破碎。本文对南海某岛礁天然钙质砂进行等向压缩试验和大直径三轴排水试验,同时测量颗粒相对破碎率,结果表明：钙质砂强度随轴向应变逐渐增大,达到峰值后明显软化,且峰值偏应力随围压增大而增大;颗粒破碎随着剪切逐渐发生,且围压越大破碎程度越大。采用描述颗粒破碎的SIMSAND模型预测排水条件下的三轴剪切试验,通过试验与预测结果的对比,揭示了模型对钙质砂预测的局限性。本文改进了SIMSAND模型,提出了围压不超过1 MPa时的颗粒相对破碎率公式,优化后的公式能更合理地预测峰值应力对应的轴向应变和颗粒破碎程度的演化。     

胶西北中生代花岗岩中黑云母和角闪石成分特征及成岩成矿意义

在详细的野外地质和岩相学观察基础上,对胶西北中生代玲珑期、郭家岭期和伟德山期花岗岩中的黑云母和角闪石进行了系统的化学成分研究。结果显示,玲珑期,研究区中部和南部花岗岩中的黑云母为铁叶云母和铁质黑云母,其MgO为4.07%~6.53%,具有壳源型黑云母的特征;北部主要为铁质黑云母和镁质黑云母,MgO介于9.13%~11.57%之间,具壳幔混源型的特征;郭家岭期和伟德山期花岗岩中的黑云母以铁质黑云母和镁质黑云母为主,MgO为7.62%~15.38%,均为壳幔混源型,其中的角闪石均属于钙质角闪石,M值为0.44~0.76。暗色矿物成分显示玲珑期花岗岩的源区物质主要为壳源,郭家岭期和伟德山期的以壳源为主,有少量幔源组分参与。三期花岗岩中黑云母结晶温度主要集中于550~700℃,而角闪石的结晶温度为600~750℃,从玲珑期到郭家岭期再到伟德山期,即从早到晚,黑云母的结晶温度有升高的趋势;全铝压力计估算结果显示,黑云母和角闪石的结晶压力具有降低的趋势。郭家岭期和伟德山期花岗岩中黑云母结晶过程中的氧逸度分别为-15.0~-9.0和-15.3~-8.8,明显比玲珑期的(-17.5~-13.2)高。结合胶西北金矿的时空分布特征,认为花岗岩结晶过程中较高的氧逸度和幔源物质的参与可能是有利于金矿化的重要条件之一。     

美国墨西哥湾溢油应急响应机制和技术手段研究及启示

文章综述了美国溢油应急响应机制,针对2010年4月10日美国墨西哥湾＂深水地平线＂号钻井平台的爆炸溢油事件,分别从响应管理和技术手段两个角度剖析了此次事件的响应过程和响应机构,以及所采用的堵漏清污、监视监测和自然资源损害评估相关技术现状,探讨了其优劣性,并对我国进一步提高完善溢油应急响应管理和技术水平、制定相关管理政策和技术规范提供了参考。     

基于采样方差的卫星钟信号分析

对原子钟频率稳定度分析受到频率漂移的影响进行定性分析,明确了不同类型方差在原子钟频率稳定度分析中的适用范围,首次提出将重叠Hadamard方差应用于卫星钟信号分析。分别利用Allan方差、Hadamard方差和重叠Hadamard方差对铷钟进行了稳定度计算,结果表明Allan方差的计算结果受频率漂移影响很大,而Hadamard系列方差能够有效克服频率漂移的影响,对于卫星钟的性能表征具有良好的效果。     

Word2vec和支持向量机的POI自动分类方法

针对兴趣点(POI)数据名称文本特征稀疏以及语义关系简单所导致的POI数据管理困难等问题,该文提出一种基于词向量计算工具Word2vec和支持向量机的POI分类方法。首先对POI名称进行分词、去停用词等预处理;然后通过Word2vec模型生成词向量,并引入词频-逆文档频率(TF-IDF)权重进行加权求和实现名称文本的向量表示;最后,在对支持向量机分类器训练的基础上,实现POI数据自动分类。为了验证方法的有效性,该文选取百度地图的6类POI数据进行试验,结果表明,该文方法在6个类别中总体正确率达到94.43%,优于目前常用的机器学习分类方法。     

高压超高压变泥质岩适用的地质温压计评述

高压超高压变泥质岩形成温压条件及p-T演化轨迹是高压超高压变质作用研究的重要内容。本文介绍了高压超高压变泥质岩适用的几种地质温压计,包括石榴子石-多硅白云母Fe~(2+)-Mg交换温度计、石榴子石-绿泥石Fe~(2+)-Mg交换温度计、硬绿泥石-绿泥石Fe~(2+)-Mg交换温度计、多硅白云母Si含量压力计、金红石Zr含量温度计、榍石Zr含量温压计、锆石Ti含量温度计、石英Ti含量温度计以及氧同位素温度计,并对上述温压计的适用条件及使用时的注意事项做了简要评述。     

The tropical intraseasonal oscillation in SAMIL coupled and uncoupled general circulation models

Simulations of tropical intraseasonal oscillation(TISO) in SAMIL,the Spectral Atmospheric Model from the Institute of Atmospheric Physics(IAP) State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics(LASG) coupled and uncoupled general circulation models were comprehensively evaluated in this study.Compared to the uncoupled model,the atmosphere-ocean coupled model improved the TISO simulation in the following aspects:(1) the spectral intensity for the 30-80-day peak eastward periods was more realistic;(2) the eastward propagation signals over western Pacific were stronger;and(3) the variance distribution and stronger signals of Kelvin waves and mixed Rossby gravity waves were more realistic.Better performance in the coupled run was assumed to be associated with a better mean state and a more realistic relationship between precipitation and SST.In both the coupled and uncoupled runs,the unrealistic simulation of the eastward propagation over the equatorial Indian Ocean might have been associated with the biases of the precipitation mean state over the Indian Ocean,and the unrealistic split of maximum TISO precipitation variance over the Pacific might have corresponded to the exaggeration of the double Intertropical Convergence Zone(ITCZ) structure in precipitation mean state.However,whether a better mean state leads to better TISO activity remains questionable.Notably,the northward propagation over the Indian Ocean during summer was not improved in the mean lead-lag correlation analysis,but case studies have shown some strong cases to yield remarkably realistic northward propagation in coupled runs.     

MPLS VPN高速区域网络在天津地震监测系统中的应用.

天津市地震局在“十五”及“十一五”期间,利用MPLS VPN技术,建成了全国最快的区域级地震通信网络系统,实现了54个节点的高带宽互联.本文详细阐述了MPLS VPN技术在天津地震监测系统中的建设与应用情况,以期为今后更好的服务于地震行业提供参考.     

张定华治疗糖尿病周围神经病变经验

介绍张定华主任医师治疗糖尿病周围神经病变的临床经验。张师认为,气虚阴亏、瘀血阻络为其病机关键,治疗上重视益气养阴、活血化瘀的主导地位,内调外治相结合,内服方药以补阳还五汤合连梅汤加减,外治法则用内服药之药渣加少量花椒再煎取汁足浴,共达通经活络之效。