基于无尺度网络的中国城市医疗网络分析

根据城市统计中存在大量属性数据的特点,基于无尺度网络方法,根据2002~2014年中国城市医疗统计数据变化的相似性来建立城市之间的联系,得到中国城市医疗软件网络和硬件网络。在对两个网络对比和测试分析后得到：① 中国城市医疗网络是由20%高度城市代表的具有圈层聚类结构的无尺度复杂网络。② 中国城市医疗硬件网络比软件网络复杂和稳定。③ 中国城市医疗网络的结构和功能主要由强关系城市决定,弱关系城市对网络没有实质影响。可见,以无尺度网络方法来分析城市网络可以发现很多隐藏的问题。     

Spatiotemporal variations of cultivated land use efficiency in the Yangtze River Economic Belt based on carbon emission constraints

In this study,the carbon emissions(CEs)from cultivated land(CL)were included as an undesirable output in the utilization efficiency of such land.A slack-based model was used to calculate the CL use efficiency(CLUE)for 11 provinces and cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt(YREB)from 2007 to 2016,and then a kernel density estimation map was drawn to analyze the spatiotemporal variations of CLUE.The Tobit model was also employed to analyze the factors affecting the CLUE.The results show the following.1)In the YREB,the CEs from CL showed a rising and then a slowly decreasing trend.In this paper,we calculate CEs by carbon emission factors and major carbon sources,and the CEs from CL in the YREB totaled 25.2354 million tons in 2007.By 2014,the value had increased gradually to 28.4400 million tons,and by 2016 it had declined to 27.8922 million tons,suggesting that the carbon-emission reduction measures of the government had an impact.2)The CLUE of various provinces and cities in the YREB showed an upward trend in the time dimension,while for the spatial dimension,the kernel density was high in the east and low in the west,and the areas with high kernel density were mainly located in the Yangtze River Delta.3)The per capita gross domestic product,the primary industrial output,and the number of agricultural technicians per 10,000 people had positive effects on the CLUE.The CL area per capita and the electrical power per hectare for agricultural machinery had significant negative impacts on CLUE.In addition,every 1%increase in the number of agricultural technicians increased the CLUE by 0.057%.     

中国区域平均降水量序列构建方法比较研究

由于地面观测台站空间分布不均匀,运用不同区域平均技术方法研究中国降水特征和变化规律的结果存在显著差异,是区域降水变化研究不确定性的重要来源之一.本文以"中国地面与CMORPH(CPC Morphing Technique)融合逐日降水产品"作为参照值,基于中国地面2425站观测资料,采用5种网格尺寸的经纬度网格面积加权...     

黄河三角洲水文-地貌-生态系统演变与多维调控研究进展

河口三角洲是由水文、地貌和生态耦合作用形成的复合系统，其演变具有时空波动性强、响应高度敏感、边缘效应显著与环境异质性高的特性，属典型的易失衡区。从黄河三角洲水文-地貌-生态子系统演变过程、耦合作用关系以及多维调控理论与技术等方面，阐述了多重压力下的子系统自适应调整与状态特征，归纳了水文条件与河口地貌-生态系统演变的互馈关系，搭建了多维协同的水沙配置研究框架，并提出了基于水沙优化配置的多维调控策略。针对目前研究存在的问题，从连续性监测平台建设、全过程模型构建、失衡风险预测以及多维调控理论与技术研究等方面提出了未来研究的重点方向，以期为优化利用有限水沙资源维持河口系统稳定提供科学支撑。