Uncertainty quantification of landslide runout motion considering soil interdependent anisotropy and fabric orientation

Landslides - Natural soils often exhibit an anisotropic fabric pattern as a result of soil deposition, weathering, or filling. This paper aims to investigate the effect of soil interdependent...     

High-velocity frictional behavior of Longmenshan fault gouge from Hongkou outcrop and its implications for dynamic weakening of fault during the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake

High-velocity friction experiments were conducted on clayey fault gouge collected from Hongkou outcrop of Beichuan fault,located at the southwestern part of Longmenshan fault system that caused the disastrous 2008 Wenchuan earthquake.The ultimate purpose of this study is to reproduce this earthquake by modeling based on measured frictional properties.Dry gouge of about 1 mm in thickness was deformed dry at slip rates of 0.01 to 1.3 m/s and at normal stresses of 0.61 to 3.04 MPa,using a rotary-shear high-...     

湖北京山地区寒武—奥陶系碳酸盐岩成岩作用及孔隙演化

本文通过对京山地区寒武—奥陶系碳酸盐岩成岩作用和孔隙演化的研究,认为本区寒武—奥陶系普遍经历了海底、大气淡水、埋藏及表生成岩环境,其间发生的成岩作用主要有胶结作用、白云岩化、压实-压溶、溶蚀和破裂作用。在这些成岩作用的改造下,岩石孔隙度从大于20％下降到1.5～5％,其中在中新生代孔隙相对较发育。     

Geminga脉冲星的COS-B和HEAO-B卫星资料分析

本文利用COS-B和HEAO-B卫星资料对Geminga脉冲星进行了守时性分析和谱分析,结果进一步证实了Geminga脉冲星是一颗具有强γ辐射,弱X辐射的γ射线脉冲星.     

20世纪地震预报科学的回顾与展望

在新世纪的到来,对２０世纪的地震研究作一些回顾,对中国几十年的地震预报的道路进行反思,可能是很有意义的,这对我们编制“十五”规划也有借鉴。     

大尺度雁列断层粘滑运动数值模拟

通过ANSYS软件建立二维雁列断层模型,采用粘弹性力学参数,建立摩擦系数接触单元,模拟10万年时间大尺度雁列走滑断层活动（地震相关活动）,分析挤压条件下的断层活动特征,研究结果表明：①断层时空区域不同,所受应力也不同,接近贯通区域重合地区所受应力较大,粘滑运动剧烈,由贯通区域向断层两侧逐渐延伸,所受应力依次减小;②摩擦系数越小,地震发生频率越高,地震运动周期越短,则位错量相对较小,易发生震级较小地震;摩擦系数越大,地震发生频率越低,地震运动周期越长,则位错量相对较大,易发生震级较大地震;③给定的边界挤压速率越大,地震发生频率越高,地震运动周期越短,则位错量增大,易发生震级较大地震。     

四川邛海湖泊沉积物记录的过去30 cal.ka B.P.以来的古气候环境特征

以我国西南地区邛海钻孔沉积物为研究对象,利用高分辨率粒度数据,结合正构烷烃指标特征,探讨了研究区30 cal.ka B.P.以来的植被演化和气候环境变化过程。研究表明,邛海沉积有机质主要来自于外源的高等陆生植物和内源的水生生物（低等菌藻类生物和挺水、沉水和漂浮植物）。沉积物粒度组成及正构烷烃代用指标变化特征表明,邛海地区过去30 cal.ka B.P.以来的气候环境变化过程大致分为4个阶段：1）29.1~23.0 cal.ka B.P.,沉积物中值粒径（Md）均值为22.4 μm,正构烷烃平均碳链长度（ACL值）和陆生植物正构烷烃相对输入量指标（Pwax值）呈高值,指示相对暖湿的气候条件,湖区以草本植物为主;2）23.0~19.0 cal.ka B.P.,沉积物中值粒径明显减小,均值为15.4 μm,同时ACL值、Pwax值为低值,指示温度较低,气候干燥,这一时期植被类型以木本植物为主;3）19.0~11.0 cal.ka B.P.,中值粒径减小,均值为10.4 μm,ACL值总体较低,Pwax值由高转低,研究区气候从由暖湿向冷干转变,木本植物扩张;4）自11.0 cal.ka B.P.以来沉积颗粒表现出"细-粗-细"的变化特点,中值粒径均值为11.5 μm,ACL值、Pwax值由低值先升高后降低,揭示这一时期邛海气候"冷干-暖湿-冷干"的变化过程,湖区经历了草本植物先扩张后收缩的过程。特别的是,邛海沉积物记录的23.0~19.0 cal.ka B.P.、12.8~11.7 cal.ka B.P.和9.0~5.0 cal.ka B.P.这3次典型气候时期,在时间和气候特征上与末次冰盛期（LGM）、新仙女木事件（YD）和全新世气候适宜期（HCO）相符,可能是对西南季风强度变化及地质历史时期典型气候事件的响应。     

3种典型地表风沙流通量廓线研究现状

风沙流研究越来越受到人们的重视,其中风沙流通量廓线研究起着重要作用。本文总结了3种典型地表(流沙地表、草方格地表、戈壁地表)风沙流通量廓线研究现状及存在问题。由于研究方法、研究区域及集沙效率的不同,风沙流通量廓线函数有指数函数、对数函数、幂函数、分段函数等多种,同一问题不同函数模拟结果差异可达到3倍,难以应用于实际。根据研究中存在的问题,提出风沙流通量廓线研究发展趋势。     

Water Temperature Dynamics in a Complex of Reservoirs and Its Effect on the Temperature Patterns of a Mountain River

The article presents the spatial and temporal dynamics of water temperature in two reservoirs on the upper course of the Dunajec River in the Polish Carpathians. It aims at presenting how spatial patterns and time evolution of water temperature in the reservoirs affect the water temperature in the river. The analysis is based on the results of water temperature measurements in hydrometric verticals in two reservoirs as well as in the river upstream and downstream of the reservoirs. The measurements were carried out in 2012 and 2013, in hydrometeorological conditions typical for each season of the year. Based on the measurements, it has been demonstrated that the complex of reservoirs affects the water temperature in the river over the year and the existence of the smaller lower reservoir may attenuate the cooling or heating effect of the main reservoir on the river.