X射线荧光光谱法直接测定碳酸盐岩石中主次痕量元素

采用粉末样品压片制样，碳酸盐岩石标样及人工合成标样为标准，使用理论α系数及散射线内标法校正元素的吸收＿增强效应，用Ｘ射线光谱仪对碳酸盐岩石试样中的Ｎａ、Ｍｇ、Ａｌ、Ｓｉ、Ｐ、Ｓ、Ｃｌ、Ｋ、Ｃａ、Ｓｃ、Ｔｉ、Ｖ、Ｃｒ、Ｍｎ、Ｆｅ、Ｃｏ、Ｎｉ、Ｃｕ、Ｚｎ、Ｇａ、Ｒｂ、Ｓｒ、Ｙ、Ｚｒ、Ｎｂ、Ｂａ、Ｐｂ、Ｌａ、Ｃｅ和Ｔｈ等３０种主次痕量元素进行测定，其分析结果与标样标准值（或化学法值）符合较好，方法的精密度（ＲＳＤ，ｎ＝１０）＜１０％（除含量在检出限附近的元素外），各元素检出限基本满足化探要求     

Similarities between optimal precursors for ENSO events and optimally growing initial errors in El Niño predictions

With the Zebiak–Cane model, the relationship between the optimal precursors (OPR) for triggering the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events and the optimally growing initial errors (OGE) to the uncertainty in El Niño predictions is investigated using an approach based on the conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation. The computed OPR for El Niño events possesses sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) dipole over the equatorial central and eastern Pacific, plus positive thermocline depth anomalies in the entire equatorial Pacific. Based on the El Niño events triggered by the obtained OPRs, the OGE which cause the largest prediction errors are computed. It is found that the OPR and OGE share great similarities in terms of localization and spatial structure of the SSTA dipole pattern over the central and eastern Pacific and the relatively uniform thermocline depth anomalies in the equatorial Pacific. The resemblances are possibly caused by the same mechanism of the Bjerknes positive feedback. It implies that if additional observation instruments are deployed to the targeted observations with limited coverage, they should preferentially be deployed in the equatorial central and eastern Pacific, which has been determined as the sensitive area for ENSO prediction, to better detect the early signals for ENSO events and reduce the initial errors so as to improve the forecast skill.