第22太阳活动周峰年的ULF波观测与研究

本文介绍第２２太阳活动周峰年期间利用ＵＬＦ波的观测和分析，对磁层近地空间电磁环境的研究，文中列举了这峰年期间地磁脉动的主要成果。有些成果是国际上首次提出和发表的，目前，地磁脉动的观测和研究已经成为监测近地空间电磁环境的重要手段。     

数字磁变仪的设计与实现

本文介绍了石英光电磁变仪及其数字化采集，记录的设计和实现，并讨论了数字磁变仪系统在地磁台站的应用结果。     

用数字滤波方法进行数值模式的初始化

将数字滤波原理用于Ｔ４２Ｌ９全球谱模式的初始化。选取两个初值进行了实验。通过对模式短时间积分得到的时间序列进行滤波处理，有效地滤去了初始场中的高频重力波振荡，保留了其中有天气意义的扰动，同时对分析场的改变很小。５ｄ预报的结果说明，经过初始化后的预报较为平稳，场较为光滑。对比实验表明，绝热和非绝热初始化的效果很接近。这种方法简便有效，是一种实用的初值化方法     

台网遥测设备管理软件CALI编制与应用

本软件采用Ｆｏｘｐｒｏ２．５新一代数据库管理系统编写，主要用于遥测地震台网的设备管理及常规系统标定参数的计算，并已在１９９５年系统标定中得到了实践检验。     

数字滤波方法在月尺度数值预报中的应用：II.保留不同低频过程的效果比较

用数字滤波方法对观测资料序列进行处理，得到初始场用于Ｔ４２Ｌ９全球谱模式的月预报，以去除误差增长较快的高频扰动对低频过程的影响，并且利用多时刻的观测资料提取低频过程的信息。对冬季和夏季两个不同个例进行了实例，并比较了取不同长度的观测序列，截取不同周期的过程作为初值对预报效果的影响。结果说明，经过滤波后对低频分量和平均场的预报都有显著的改进。而且对于较长时效的预报，应保留更低频的过程（比如１０ｄ以上     

国外中期数值预报业务模式的性能及发展趋势

作者简单介绍了国内预报员较为熟悉的欧洲中期天气预报中心，美国国家气象中心和日本气象厅三个中期预报模式的性能及预报效果，包括近几年颇为流行的半拉格朗日时间积分方案，物理过程参数化方案的完善和改进，中期数值预报业务模式的发展趋势等。     

参考大气谱方法在国家气象中心谱模式上的应用

参考大气引入中期谱模式，能有效地减少截谱误差，提高预报精度。文章主要叙述了参考大气在国家气象中心业务预报谱模式上的进一步发展。计算结果表明，引入参考大气后，T63预报质量和降水的TS评分均有一定程度的提高。     

Predictability in limited area and global models

Summary Selected small domain LAM forecasts modulated by highly corrugated underlying topography, and driven by different state-of-science outer models suggest that uncertain outer model guidance for LAMs produces large, domain averaged sensitivity. A further literature survey indicates that many LAM forecasts are relatively insensitive to details of the local initial state, and that mesoscales show slight error growth, in contradiction to classical predictability theory. A series of global predictability experiments is presented in order to reconcile the contradiction. The experiments imply that, even in baroclinically unstable atmospheres, the most common sources of local error growth are associated with small uncertainties of the larger spatial scales rather than small uncertainties of the smaller spatial scales. Variable resolution, real-data experiments of barotropic versions of the global model display substantial mesoscale error growth, due principally to the effect of larger scales. The uncertainties possessing largest spatial scale appear as boundary uncertainties in LAMs, and explain the strong boundary sensitivity and weak local initial data sensitivity observed in many LAMs. We infer that accurate depiction of the largest spatial scales is a first order priority for accurate local prediction, and that for the advective portion of the dynamics, errors of the outer model that provides lateral boundary conditions may impose the largest current practical limitation for many LAM predictions.With 10 Figures     

Observation of gravity waves in a boreal forest

In this paper we report the results of the analysis of two 60-min wave events that occurred in a boreal aspen forest during the 1994 BOREAS (Boreal Ecosystems-Atmosphere Study) field experiment. High frequency wind and temperature data were provided by three 3-D sonic anemometer/thermometers and fourteen fine-wire thermocouples positioned within and above the forest. Wave phase speeds, estimated from information revealed by spectral analysis and linear plane wave equations, are 2.2 and 1.3 m s^-1 for the two events. The wavelengths are 130 m and 65 m respectively and are much larger than the vertical wave displacements. There is strong evidence from the present analysis and from the literature supporting our postulate that these waves are generated by shear instability. We propose that wind shear near the top of the stand is often large enough to reduce the gradient Richardson number below the critical value of 0.25 and thus is able to trigger the instability. When external conditions are favorable, the instability will grow into waves.