基于GIS的地震现场灾情调查点选取方法研究———以甘肃岷县漳县6.6级地震为例

为了提高地震现场灾情调查效率,增强灾情调查点选取的科学性和合理性,确保地震现场灾情调查快速、高效开展.在充分考虑地震现场灾情调查任务的紧迫性和时效性的同时,结合地震现场调查区域大、灾情调查任务紧、人员有限等特点,通过采用 GIS空间分析功能,在前期预评估理论影响场以及灾害损失等资料的基础上,对基础地理数据进行时空分析,研究制定基于 GIS的地震现场灾情调查点选取方案.结果表明:合理正确的地震现场灾情调查方法,可以帮助现场灾情调查人员快速、科学的开展灾情调查工作从而大大提高现场灾情调查的效率,为地震烈度图制作和灾害损失评估报告编写提供充裕的时间保障.     

Spatial and temporal variability of soil moisture based on multifractal analysis

Based on the experimental data collected from 2002 to 2010 in Jilin province, we performed multifractal analysis to investigate the spatial variability of soil moisture during 9 years from 2002 to 2010 and about 60 days from April 21 to June 21 in 2010, and analyzed the relationship between soil moisture and precipitation. The results showed that the soil moisture was multifractal. It was intermediate variability in the soil sample. From 2002 to 2010, the spatial variation of soil moisture was charactered by long distance in 2004, 2006, and 2009 and short distance in 2002, 2003, and 2008. The spatial variation of soil moisture was charactered by long distance from April 21 to May 11 and late June. It was charactered by short distance from May 11 to June 21. From April 11 to July 1, 2010, the spatial variation of soil moisture was mainly affected by the spatial variation of precipitation. From 2002 to 2010, the spatial variation of soil moisture was mainly affected by precipitation in 2006, 2009, and 2010. The spatial variation of precipitation had little effect on soil moisture during 2002 to 2005 and 2007 to 2008. This study analyzed the multifractal characteristic of soil moisture from the perspective of water resources divisions, which can provide references for soil water resources evaluation and water resources allocation.     

交互作用视角下人口流动性与住房类型对城市入室盗窃空间格局的影响

已有研究发现社区住房类型对城市入室盗窃的空间格局有重要影响,但鲜有学者探讨位于不同人口流动程度社区环境中的不同住房对入室盗窃影响的差异。本研究以中国东南沿海城市ZG市为例,基于日常活动和社会失序等理论,以社区为分析单元,利用入室盗窃警情数据、第六次人口普查数据和兴趣点数据（Point of Interest, POI）,运用空间滞后负二项回归方法,分析人口流动性与住房类型的交互作用对入室盗窃空间格局的影响。结果表明：人口流动性高的社区入室盗窃率较高;自建住房比例对入室盗窃率有显著的正向影响,原公有住房比例和商品房比例则呈显著的抑制作用;交互变量的结果发现,人口流动性与不同类型住房变量的交互作用存在差异,其中,人口流动性与自建住房、经济适用房、原公有住房的交互变量对入室盗窃的发生具有显著的促进作用,而与商品房的交互对入室盗窃的影响并不显著。说明在探讨不同类型住房与入室盗窃的关系时,应重视其所在社区的人口流动程度的影响。     

Breaking the impasse: towards a new regime for international climate governance

The reality of the current international order makes it imperative that a just and effective climate regime should balance the historical responsibility of developed countries with the increasing absolute emissions from many developing nations. The key pillars are briefly proposed for a new international climate architecture that envisions replacing the current annex system with two new annexes: Annex α, for countries with high current emissions and historically high emissions, and Annex β, for countries with high current emissions and historically low emissions. Countries in both annexes would implement legally binding targets under this framework. Additionally, this proposal includes alterations and revisions to funding and technology transfer mechanisms to correct for weaknesses and inequities under the current Kyoto architecture. The proposed framework stems from a belief that a top-down, international approach to climate policy remains the most effective for ensuring environmental integrity. Given the slow rate of institutional learning, the reform and improvement of the current system is held as a more efficient course of action than abandoning the progress already achieved. It is argued that the proposed framework could effectively accommodate key equity, environmental integrity, and political feasibility concerns.     

Physicochemical and biological interfacial interactions: impacts on soil ecosystem and biodiversity

Soil is a vital biological habitat, which is of primary importance in determining and regulating biological activity and biodiversity. Therefore, it is Earth’s most important resource in sustaining both belowground and aboveground biological activities. Biodiversity versus landscape diversity and land use practices in multifunctional landscapes have been addressed. Humans have so manipulated nature that few locations in the world remain without human influence, causing unforeseen changes in ecosystem continuously and biodiversity. Among the environmental compartments, about 90 % of environmental pollutants are bound with soil particles. The soil-bound pollutants may be released to the soil solution through physical, chemical and biological interfacial interactions and pose a threat to biodiversity and ecosystem integrity. These interfacial interactions are especially important in the rhizosphere, where the kinds and concentrations of biomolecules are different from the bulk soil because of intense biological activity. These biomolecules affect biogeochemical processes, soil microbial ecology, nutrient and contaminant dynamics, abiotic and biotic factors, and soil biodiversity through allelopathic interactions. Soil interfacial interactions under different pedogenic processes and anthropogenic activity in relation to belowground biodiversity and the impact on aboveground biodiversity, productivity and integrity should be an important and exciting area of science for years to come.     

The effects of humic substances on the transport of radionuclides: Recent improvements in the prediction of behaviour and the understanding of mechanisms

Some recent developments made during the European Union 6th Framework Integrated Project FUNMIG in the understanding and prediction of behaviour in ternary systems of radionuclides, humic substances and mineral surfaces are described. These developments are placed in the context of the existing literature. The aim is to describe the current understanding of humic substance mediated radionuclide transport as it may be applied to calculations in support of Radiological Performance Assessment. Some improvements in experimental techniques that provide the raw data to calibrate metal ion binding models are explained. The various metal ion binding models that are available are described and contrasted, before the recent development of ternary system models, in particular the Ligand Charge Distribution model that can predict metal ion and humic substance behaviour in ternary systems. The kinetic effects in ternary systems are described along with the models that are used to describe them. Finally, the remaining challenges in making predictions of radionuclide transport for the Radiological Performance Assessment of radioactive waste repositories are discussed.     

General framework and key issues concerning integrated strategies for coping with drought and flood in China in a changing environment

This paper focused on the development of a framework for collective water resources management in China to meet the change of drought and flood. Based on the observational data of drought and flood from 1950 to 2009 and the precipitation from 1961 to 2010, using the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) method, the evolutionary characteristic of drought and flood was analyzed. The results showed that drought and flood occurred frequently, simultaneous occurrences of drought and flood and the rapid shift between the two were increasing. The framework for collective strategies responding to drought and flood under this ever-changing environment was presented. A series of potential mitigation, prevention, and adaptation strategies were discussed. These included both planning and implementation side strategies. In regard to planning, the strategies for dealing with drought and flood should be shifted from crisis management to collective management, unifying normal and emergency management. Combination risk zoning of drought and flood should be conducted and collective emergency planning should be formulated. Moreover, the regulation capability of water conservancy projects group should be optimized to the highest possible level. In regard to implementation, based on the water resources collective management, rational water allocation for both normal and extreme value processes should be implemented. The water conservancy project groups for the extreme value process should work together, and the flood limit water level of reservoirs should be controlled dynamically.     

低纬西太平洋末次冰期以来海洋孢粉记录对海平面变化的不同响应

通过对菲律宾南部MD06-3075和婆罗洲东北部MD98-2178两个深海钻孔的孢粉分析,结合氧同位素记录以及西太平洋地区已有的孢粉记录,得到末次冰期研究区域海洋孢粉中的红树林花粉和蕨类孢子含量比间冰期时要低,特别是在末次冰盛期.这可能体现了冰期时海平面较低,湿度较低等环境和气候条件.同时,西太平洋一系列海洋孢粉记录的对比发现,南海南部陆坡地区冰期时的红树林含量仍然较高,巽他陆架等地区冰期时的蕨类孢子含量则表现为明显高值.这些记录的差异可能说明了由于不同地区的地形分布特征不同,在冰期海平面下降时,导致陆架出露的幅度存在明显的差异.如果陆架较宽,则海平面波动会显著改变植被分布范围和孢粉传播距离等,从而对孢粉数据的气候、环境指示意义产生影响.因此,海洋孢粉数据解释时需要结合多种沉积记录指标以及地球物理调查等,提高海平面变化以及相应的沉积环境演化对孢粉搬运沉积的了解程度,增强海洋孢粉中古气候、古环境信息的有效提取.     

Singularity-free Green’s function for EM sources embedded in a stratified medium

We present a method to unify the calculation of Green’s functions for an electromagnetic (EM) transmitting source embedded in a homogeneous stratified medium. A virtual interface parallel to layer interfaces is introduced through the source location. The potentials for Green’s function are derived by decomposing the partial wave solutions to Helmholtz’s equations into upward and downward within boundaries. The amplitudes of the potentials in each stratum are obtained recursively from the initial amplitudes at the source level. The initial amplitudes are derived by coupling with the transmitting sources and following the discontinuity of the tangential electric and magnetic fields at the source interface. Only the initial terms are related to the transmitting sources and thus need to be modified for different transmitters, whereas the kernel connected with the stratified media stays unchanged. Hence, the present method can be easily applied to EM transmitting sources with little modification. The application of the proposed method to the marine controlled-source electromagnetic method (MCSEM) demonstrates its simplicity and flexibility.     

基于电场不连续边界条件的层状介质电磁格林函数计算

给出了适用于全空间层状模型偶极子源格林函数的去奇异性广义描述技术。过源平行于层界面设置一个虚界面,使相邻层界面限制的区域中电磁矢量势函数可以分解为TE模式和TM模式标量势函的叠加,且它们都满足齐次Helmhlotz方程,相应的解可以通过叠加上行波和下行波函数得到。源的奇异性被耦合到切向电磁场所满足的不连续边界条件上,并通过反射系数所描述的振幅递推关系延拓到其他任意层中,实现了全空间任意位置格林函数的计算。该思路被应用到VED源激发的海洋电磁模型数值模拟中,计算结果很好地反映了电磁场在海洋模型中的传播过程,验证了该技术思路的正确性。