南堡油田海域的冰情对工程作业的影响

通过对2005-2011年冬季南堡油田海域海冰监测资料进行统计、分析,给出了该海域海冰时空分布特征,在分析了海冰对海上工程作业的影响以及海冰防灾减灾所面临形势的基础上,结合油田实际提出了防冰减灾工作的具体建议.     

Future projection of East China Sea temperature by dynamic downscaling of the IPCC_AR4 CCSM3 model result

Future temperature distributions of the marginal Chinese seas are studied by dynamic downscaling of global CCSM3 IPCC_AR4 scenario runs.Different forcing fields from 2080-2099 Special Report on Emissions Scenarios(SRES) B1,A1,and A2 to 1980-1999 20C3M are averaged and superimposed on CORE2 and SODA2.2.4 data to force high-resolution regional future simulations using the Regional Ocean Modeling System(ROMS).Volume transport increments in downscaling simulation support the CCSM3 result that with a weakening subtropical gyre circulation,the Kuroshio Current in the East China Sea(ECS) is possibly strengthened under the global warming scheme.This mostly relates to local wind change,whereby the summer monsoon is strengthened and winter monsoon weakened.Future temperature fluxes and their seasonal variations are larger than in the CCSM3 result.Downscaling 100 years’ temperature increments are comparable to the CCSM3,with a minimum in B1 scenario of 1.2-2.0°C and a maximum in A2 scenario of 2.5-4.5°C.More detailed temperature distributions are shown in the downscaling simulation.Larger increments are in the Bohai Sea and middle Yellow Sea,and smaller increments near the southeast coast of China,west coast of Korea,and southern ECS.There is a reduction of advective heat north of Taiwan Island and west of Tsushima in summer,and along the southern part of the Yellow Sea warm current in winter.There is enhancement of advective heat in the northern Yellow Sea in winter,related to the delicate temperature increment distribution.At 50 meter depth,the Yellow Sea cold water mass is destroyed.Our simulations suggest that in the formation season of the cold water mass,regional temperature is higher in the future and the water remains at the bottom until next summer.In summer,the mixed layer is deeper,making it much easier for the strengthened surface heat flux to penetrate to the bottom of this water.     

Pollen morphology of selected tundra plants from the high Arctic of Ny-(A)lesund, Svalbard

Documenting morphological features of modem pollen is fundamental for the identification of fossil pollen, which will assist researchers to reconstruct the vegetation and climate of a particular geologic period. This paper presents the pollen morphol- ogy of 20 species of tundra plants from the high Arctic of Ny-Alesund, Svalbard, using light and scanning electron microscopy. The plants used in this study belong to 12 families： Brassicaceae, Caryophyllaceae, Cyperaceae, Ericaceae, Juncaceae, Papav- eraceae, Poaceae, Polygonaceae, Ranunculaceae, Rosaceae, Salicaceae, and Scrophulariaceae. Pollen grain shapes included： spher- oidal, subprolate, and prolate. Variable apertural patterns ranged from 2-syncolpate, 3-colpate, 3-（-4）-colpate, 3-（-5）-colpate, 3-colporate, 5-poroid, ulcerate, ulcus to pantoporate. Exine ornamentations comprised psilate, striate-perforate, reticulate, mi- croechinate, microechinate-perforate, scabrate, granulate, and granulate-perforate. This study provided a useful reference for com- parative studies of fossil pollen and for the reconstruction of paleovegetation and paleoclimate in Svalbard region of Arctic.     

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Geographical differences and influencing factors of rural energy consumption in Southwest mountain areas in China: A case study of Zhaotong City

China is a mountainous country,and Southwest mountain areas cover the most mountain areas in China and have the most serious problems.Taking Zhaotong city as the study area,based on 902 rural household questionnaires of 11 villages in 2 counties and Tobit model,this paper analyzes the geographical differences and influencing factors of energy consumption for non-production purposes of rural households living in different terrain conditions.This research finds that:(1) Coal takes up the main part of energy consumption in valley areas and coal consumption is mainly affected by per capita cultivated land area,household income,proportion of rural household energy expenditure in total expenditure,coal price,and family population size.Firewood takes up the main part of energy consumption in high mountain areas and firewood consumption is mainly affected by per capita firewood forest area,distance to purchase coal,household income,electricity price,and coal price.(2) Only when the distance is greater than 20 kilometers,that is the average distance of rural households living in middle mountain areas(1,600m~1,800m) to purchase coal,the transportation condition has a significant impact on coal consumption.(3) In high mountain areas,prices of coal and electricity are the main factors influencing energy consumption choice of rural households.Too high prices of coal and electricity would to some extent lead rural households to choose firewood as the main energy consumption type.Compared to coal,rural households prefer to choose electricity.     

Changes in ecosystem carbon stocks following grassland afforestation of semiarid sandy soil in the southeastern Keerqin Sandy Lands, China

The ecological consequences of grassland afforestation in arid/semiarid sandy regions are not well known with respect to tree species and stand age. The present study quantifies the changes in above- and belowground carbon (C) stocks following afforestation in the southeastern Keerqin Sandy Lands with species of Mongolian pine and poplar. We studied 15-, 24-, and 30-year-old Mongolian pine plantations, 7-, 11-, and 15-year-old poplar plantations, and adjacent grasslands. The results show that total ecosystem C stocks increased following grassland afforestation. Aboveground C stocks increased at a rate of 2.75 Mg C ha⁻¹ yr⁻¹ in the poplar plantations, and 1.06 Mg C ha⁻¹ yr⁻¹ in the Mongolian pine plantations. Mineral soil C stocks decreased during the early stage of forest establishment, but recovered with increasing stand age. Root C stock increased significantly in the Mongolian pine plantations, but the poplar plantations showed no such increase relative to the grassland. Our results indicate that afforestation of the grassland in the southeastern Keerqin Sandy Lands would sequester more C than would continuous grassland. Tree species selection and stand developmental age should be considered in planning future afforestation projects.     

2013年广西平果震群尾波衰减特征研究

2013年6~7月在广西平果县中铝广西分公司3号排泥库附近出现密集小震群活动。本文搜集本次震群中146次可用于计算尾波的ML1.0地震的近距离台站数字地震波形,利用波形高信噪比的尾波时间域信号,采用计算尾波品质因子Q_C(f)值的Sato模型,通过滤波及去除环境噪声,计算了地震波传播路径上的尾波Q_C(f)值;拟合Q_C(f)值与频率f之间的关系,分析了排泥库区域地震波衰减的时空特征。根据信噪比及计算要求,从近场7个台站的记录中挑选出273条三分向记录,计算尾波衰减参数,得到尾波Q_C(f)与频率f的关系为:Q(f)=(69.07±40.09)f~(0.90±0.23)。结果表明,本区域为低衰减区域,库区Q值相对较高,地震波衰减较慢,且Q值对频率的依赖性不强,研究区介质非均匀性程度低,介质较为稳定。     

地热观测台网监测效能评估综合分析

地热观测台网监测效能评估是优化与完善前兆观测系统、提高在地热观测台网在防震减灾中效能的重要环节。评估内容主要包括观测环境、观测系统、观测质量和观测资料应用等方面,以省局和台站自评为基础,学科组结合日常管理对各测点进行综合分析,找出影响地热观测台网监测效能的主要因素,并相应地提出了合理解决方案。     

川滇M≥6.7强震的二维坐标系与时间预测研究

20世纪以来,川滇地区M≥6.7强震时间间隔具有良好的规律性,其地震发生的年份可组成一个二维时间坐标系,并据此建立川滇地区的强震时间预测模型。预测分析表明：未来16年,川滇地区可能存在发生4次6.7级以上地震发生的风险,2012-2021及2025-2029年均有M≥6.7强震信号,且未来强震可能发生在2014-2015、2019与2027年前后。     

福建海坛岛北部海岸带冲积扇沉积构造及其发育模式

海岸带冲积扇作为海陆过渡带中的重要沉积地貌单元,蕴藏有丰富的"陆-海-气"耦合作用及其古地理环境变化信息。本文选取福建海坛岛北部的海岸带冲积扇(大砂山)为研究对象,在大砂山表层布设6条累计长度约700m的探地雷达(GPR)测线,结合剖面观察解译以获取大砂山内部沉积构造和沉积序列信息。结果显示:GPR探测图像很好地显示约20m深度范围内的沉积构造信息,可以识别出9种沉积构造雷达相,这些雷达相总体上反映了海岸带冲积扇以泥石流和沟谷洪流为主、并交替有海岸风沙作用的沉积构造特征。综合三维沉积构造信息可知,大砂山为两个冲积扇侧向连接而成的复合体。结合野外地质地貌考察和砂样粒度分析,认为该冲积扇发育过程可分为四个阶段:(1)晚更新世末次间冰期,海岸带老红砂堆积形成"红色沙漠";(2)晚冰期时频发的暴雨洪水,携带南部山区的风化碎屑物质堆积在海岸带形成了冲积扇主体,并覆盖在老红砂剥蚀面上;(3)全新世早中期气候湿润,河流下切侵蚀冲积扇,形成大砂山基本形态;(4)全新世晚期,全球气候转冷,海岸风沙作用兴起,塑造成为现代大砂山的地貌特征。