卫星热红外和微波遥感资料在地震预报中的应用研究

选取四次典型震例,分别以微波遥感及热红外遥感为研究手段对各发震区的温度进行窗口时间序列扫描,探讨震前陆地表面温度异常特征。研究发现：由热红外遥感及微波遥感反演所得的陆表温度年变形态极为相似,前者特征更为明显;震前并非完全是一个增温过程,有负异常现象存在;大地震的温度异常空间分布特征与断层的展布存在密切关系,温度异常区并非大面积存在,且未呈现明显迁移特征,这一新发现具有明确的物理意义。     

粤闽赣交界区波速比特征研究

根据多台和达法,利用广东、福建、江西三省数字地震观测记录对粤闽赣交界区及邻区波速比特征进行研究,获取了具有参考价值的结果：粤闽赣交界地区沿海一侧明显比内陆地区波速比要高;约在北纬24°,东经114°处,处走向北东方向上是波速变化比较明显的分界线,该分界线可能是由于地下两侧的岩石岩性不同造成的,或与该地区介质物理性质和化学性质存在变异关有,也可能与此地区地震应力场变化有一定关系。     

高层建筑时程分析中地震动时程选择和修改方法研究

合理的地震动时程选择与修改方法对于高层结构的抗震设计具有重要意义,有着广泛的工程应用.本文回顾了建筑抗震设计规范对于输入地震动时程的规定,通过对现有的地震动时程选择与修改方法进行分类和定性分析,挑选了两种与规范要求衔接较好的方法.结合具体算例对两种方法进行了定量分析,结果表明以安评设计谱作为选择指标,利用最小二乘法对选择的地震动时程进行修改,可以得到离散较小且符合规范要求的地震动时程,该成果能够在现行规范要求下为结构的抗震设计提供合理可靠的依据.同时,本文也对未来地震动时程选择与修改方法的研究和发展方向进行了展望,指出条件均值谱和非弹性反应谱将是该领域未来主要的研究方向.     

Yearly tropical cyclone potential impact index in China

A new composite index called the yearly tropical cyclone potential impact(YTCPI)is introduced.The relationship between YTCPI and activities of tropical cyclones(TCs)in China,disaster loss,and main ambient fields are investigated to show the potential of YTCPI as a new tool for short-term climate prediction of TCs.YTCPI can indicate TC activity and potential disaster loss.As correlation coefficients between YTCPI and frequency of landfalling TCs,the frequency of TCs traversing or forming inside a 24 h warning line in China from 1971 to 2010 are 0.58 and 0.56,respectively(both are at a statistically significant level,aboveα=0.001).Furthermore,three simple indexes are used to compare with YTCPI.They all have very close relationships with it,with correlation coefficients 0.75,0.82 and 0.78.For economic loss and YTCPI,the correlation coefficient is 0.57 for 1994–2009.Information on principal ambient fields(sea surface temperature,850 and 500 hPa geopotential heights)during the previous winter is reflected in the relationship with YTCPI.Spatial and temporal variabilities of ambient fields are extracted through empirical orthogonal function(EOF)analysis.Spatial distributions of correlation coefficient between YTCPI and ambient fields match the EOF main mode.Correlation coefficients between YTCPI and the EOF time array for the three ambient fields are 0.46,0.44 and 0.4,respectively,all statistically significant,aboveα=0.01.The YTCPI has the overall potential to be an improved prediction tool.     

Life in extreme environments: Approaches to study life-environment co-evolutionary strategies

The term"extreme environments"describes the conditions that deviate from what mesophilic cells can tolerate.These conditions are"extreme"in the eye of mankind,but they may be suitable or even essential living conditions for most microorganisms.Hyperthermophilic microorganisms form a branch at the root of the phylogenetic tree,indicating that early life originated from extreme environments similar to that of modern deep-sea hydrothermal vents,which are characterized by high-temperature and oxygen-limiting conditions.During the inevitable cooling and gradual oxidation process on Earth,microorganisms developed similar mechanisms of adaptation.By studying modern extremophiles,we may be able to decode the mysterious history of their genomic evolution and to reconstruct early life.Because life itself is a process of energy uptake to maintain a dissipative structure that is not in thermodynamic equilibrium,the energy metabolism of microorganisms determines the pathway of evolution,the structure of an ecosystem,and the physiology of cells."Following energy"is an essential approach to understand the boundaries of life and to search for life beyond Earth.     

Assessment of air temperatures from different meteorological reanalyses for the East Antarctic region between Zhonshan and Dome A

The accuracy of daily mean 2 meter air temperatures from five reanalyses are assessed against in-situ observations from Automatic Weather Stations in East Antarctica for 2005 to 2008.The five reanalyses all explain more than 70%of the average variance,and have annual root mean square errors(RMSE)between 3.4 and 6.9°C.The NOAA reanalyses,NCEP-1,NCEP-2and 20CRv2,have cool biases of 2.5,1.4 and 1.5°C,respectively.The ERA Interim and JCDAS reanalyses have warm biases of 1.7 and 2.0°C.All reanalyses generally perform better in the austral spring and worse in winter and autumn.They also show the best performance at an inland plateau site at 2800 m elevation,but are worst at Dome A,the summit of the East Antarctic ice sheet.In general,ERA Interim is superior to the other reanalyses,probably because of its 4D assimilation scheme.The three NOAA reanalyses perform worst;Their assimilation scheme is more constrained by limited observations and 20CRv2has less input data,assimilating only surface pressure observations.Despite deficiencies and limitations,the reanalyses are still powerful tools for climate studies in the Antarctic region.However,more in-situ observations are required,especially from the vast interior of Antarctica.     

多年冻土区活动层冻融状况及土壤水分运移特征

利用位于典型多年冻土区的唐古拉综合观测场2007年9月1日—2008年9月1日实测活动层剖面土壤温度和水分数据,对多年冻土区活动层的冻结融化规律进行研究;同时,对冻融过程中的活动层土壤液态水含量的变化特征进行分析,探讨了活动层内部土壤水分分布特征及其运移特点对活动层冻结融化过程的影响. 结果表明：活动层融化过程从表层开始向下层土壤发展,冻结过程则会出现双向冻结现象. 一个完整的年冻融循环中活动层冻结过程耗时要远远小于融化过程. 活动层土壤经过一个冻融循环,土壤水分整体呈现下移的趋势,土壤水分逐步运移至多年冻土上限附近积累. 同时,土壤水分含量和运移特征会对活动层冻融过程产生显著的影响.     

歧口凹陷新生界火成岩油藏特征及分布规律

歧口凹陷新生界发育了两类与火成岩相关的油藏：基性火山岩油藏和浅成侵入相辉绿岩蚀变带油藏,两者都为构造-岩性油藏。这两类油藏区域上受岩浆活动带控制,主要集中于NE向和EW向断裂转换带,并受烃源岩分布范围的影响而紧邻烃源岩分布;垂向上受区域盖层控制,集中于沙一中亚段和东三段。在转换带沙一中亚段和东三段内,火成岩能否富集成藏主要取决于储集系统的类型。开放式储集系统一方面利于流体替换使火成岩储集空间中的矿化水被及时排出减少次生矿物的形成,从而保护储集空间;另一方面利于富含有机酸流体进入火成岩储集体,通过溶蚀先期形成的杏仁体、裂缝充填物及火成岩中不稳定的矿物组分,使其储集空间扩大、容积增加,使火成岩的储集性能得以改善;另外,火成岩中的断裂通过与烃源岩的沟通为烃类注入富集成藏提供了必要的输导通道,致使这类储集系统能够富集烃类成藏。封闭式储集系统缺少这些条件,岩浆期后热液流体与成岩流体被包裹在火成岩储集空间内不能被排出,易形成次生矿物充填并堵塞这些空间,丧失其储集性能。部分未被充填的空间往往相互之间难以连通,并与生排烃地层隔绝而成为烃类难以注入的死孔隙,从而使这类储集系统难以聚集成藏。     

top-hat变换与庐枞矿集区大地电磁强干扰分离

作为一种非线性信号处理方法,基于数学形态学的广义形态滤波已经展现出其在大地电磁时间域信号去噪中的作用;然而,广义形态滤波在滤除大地电磁时间域信号中噪声波形的同时,也滤除了时间域信号中包含有用信息的缓变化。针对这一问题,提出一种基于数学形态学top-hat变换的大地电磁时间域噪声压制方案,利用top-hat变换对波峰和波谷的检测能力,采用直线型结构元素,对大地电磁时间域信号进行去噪。用该方法对庐枞矿集区大地电磁实测数据进行处理后,数据的标准差与曲线相似性参数都优于处理前数据,表明所提方法能够去除噪声波形并保留时间域信号的缓变化,恢复受噪声污染的大地电磁时间域信号,提高大地电磁视电阻率曲线的质量。