Impact of Flood Disasters on Taiwan in the Last Quarter Century

The increasing natural disasters, especially floods during the last quarter century, are raising the economic losses in Taiwan. The most severe hazard in Taiwan is flooding induced by typhoons and storms in summer and autumn. By comparing the rivers around the world, the ones in Taiwan have the steepest slopes, the largest discharge per unit drainage area, and the shortest time of concentrations. Rapid urbanization without proper land uses managements usually worsen the flood problems. Consequently, flood hazards mitigation has become the most essential task for Taiwan to deal with. Although the government keeps improving flood defense structures, the flood damage grows continuously. In this article, possible flood mitigation strategies are identified for coping with complex environmental and social decisions with flood risk involved.     

利用重复地震P波走时差观测地壳介质的微动态

基于研究区域地震震相到时资料及地震波数据,给出了两个局部地区地壳介质微动态变化的实例。一个是汶川8.0级地震起始破裂区域,即A区;另一个是三岔口地区,即B区,该区域为活动断裂交汇部位,未发生过大地震,但近年来中小地震频繁。分析A区后发现,在汶川8.0级地震前,部分台站观测的地壳介质微动态出现了中短期异常,震源区正东及北东方向波速升高,反映出地壳介质受到显著挤压而处于硬化阶段;震源区西南方向的波速则比较稳定。分析B区后发现,可能受到汶川8.0级地震的影响,部分台站给出的计算结果在地震前后发生了变化,显示出不同方位地壳介质承压状态的差异。     

首都减灾圈的思考与建议

首都减灾圈,系首都减轻自然灾害预测防治圈。1991年12月20—21日在北京召开了《首都圈自然灾害及其减灾对策研讨会》。本文根据这次会议所提供的材料,在从整体上实现减灾的思想指导下,就首都减灾圈的“成灾背景”、“首都减灾圈的组成”、“首都减灾圈的灾害预测与防治状况”、“首都减灾圈的灾害关联性分析”、“首都减灾圈的减灾实效预估”和“首都减灾圈的减灾对策与实施”等六个带有共同性的问题,进行了讨论。供制定首都圈减灾方案时参考。     

Lake Area Changes and the main causes in the hinterland of Badain Jaran Desert during 1973–2010, China

Lake area information in the Badain Jaran Desert in 1973, 1990, 2000, and 2010 was obtained by visual interpretation and water index analysis of remote sensing images, based on the spatial and temporal characteristics of lake area changes during 37 years. Results indicated that the number of lakes declined from 94 to 82 and the total surface area was reduced by 3.69 km² during 1973–2010. The desert lake area reduced by different degrees in different periods, but this occurred most rapidly during 1973–1990. According to the statistics of lake area changes, lake area decreases mainly occurred in the lakes with areas less than 0.2 km², while the areas of lakes greater than 0.9 km² only fluctuated. The changes of lake areas were probably due to changes in the quantity of underground water supplies rather than the effects of local climate change or human factors.     

Assessment of effectiveness of nature reserves on the Tibetan Plateau based on net primary production and the large sample comparison method

Twenty-one typical coupled large samples were chosen from areas within and surrounding nature reserves on the Tibetan Plateau using the large sample comparison method (LSCM). To evaluate the effectiveness of the nature reserves in protecting the ecological environment, the alpine grassland net primary production (NPP) of these coupled samples were compared and the differences between them before and after their establishment as protected areas were analyzed. The results showed that: (1) With respect to the alpine grassland NPP, the ecological and environmental conditions of most nature reserves were more fragile than those of the surrounding areas and also lower than the average values for the Tibetan Plateau. (2) Of the 11 typical nature reserves selected, the positive trend in the NPP for Manzetang was the most significant, whereas there was no obvious trend in Taxkorgan. With the exception of Selincuo, the annual NPP growth rate in the nature reserves covered by alpine meadow and wetland was higher than that in nature reserves consisting of alpine steppe and alpine desert. (3) There were notable findings in 21 typical coupled samples: (a) After the establishment of the nature reserves, the annual rate of increase in the NPP in 76% of samples inside nature reserves and 82% of samples inside national nature reserves was higher than that of the corresponding samples outside nature reserves. (b) The effectiveness of ecological protection of the Mid-Kunlun, Changshagongma, Zoige and Selincuo (Selin Co) nature reserves was significant; the effectiveness of protection was relatively significant in most parts of the Sanjiangyuan and Qiangtang nature reserves, whereas in south-east Manzetang and north Taxkorgan the protection effectiveness was not obvious. (c) The ecological protection effectiveness was significant in nature reserves consisting of alpine meadow, but was weak in nature reserves covered by alpine steppe. This study also shows that the advantage of large sample comparison method in evaluating regional ecology change. Careful design of the samples used, to ensure comparability between the samples, is crucial to the success of this LSCM.     

江西南部鸡笼嶂组研究的新进展

分析了江西南部鸡笼嶂组划分的现状及存在的问题,提出了龙南盆地和石马剖面的“鸡笼嶂组”属中侏罗世－晚侏罗世早期余田群上部菖蒲组的一部分;菖蒲盆地的“鸡笼嶂组”属早白垩世晚期－晚白垩世早期版石群优胜组。鉴于安远、河岭、蔡坊、岩背等盆地的鸡笼嶂组属晚侏罗世,为火山喷发期的产物,而且整合于鸡笼嶂组之下的上丁组为火山初始期的产物,建议将赣南地区晚侏罗世火山活动形成的上丁组和鸡笼嶂组统称为莲花寨群。指出安远莲     

辽宁鞍山市主要断裂的探测与研究

为了给鞍山市抗震设防区划提供依据,我们采用了以浅层人工地震为主的综合地球物理探测技术,包括浅层人工地震、电法和地质雷达等方法,同时收集了城市已有的物探和钻井资料,并结合野外调查及样品年龄测试对断裂的活动性进行了研究。结果表明,鞍山市存在５条隐伏或半隐伏的断裂,北西向的大石头－宋三台断裂、宁远屯断裂、大阳气断裂和北东向的汤岗子断裂为中更新世断裂,北西向的二台子断裂为早更新世或前第四纪断裂,按活断层义     

The Influence of Vegetation Cover on Summer Precipitation in China： a Statistical Analysis of NDVI and Climate Data

This study provides new evidence for the feedback effects of vegetation cover on summer precipitation in different regions of China by calculating immediate (same season), and one-and two-season lagged correlations between the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and summer precipitation. The results show that the correlation coefficients between NDVI in spring and the previous winter and precipitation in summer are positive in most regions of China, and they show significant difference between regions. The stronger one-and two-season lagged correlations occur in the eastern arid/semi-arid region, Central China,and Southwest China out of the eight climatic regions of China, and this implies that vegetation cover change has more sensitive feedback effects on summer precipitation in the three regions. The three regions are defined as sensitive regions. Spatial analyses of correlations between spring NDVI averaged over each sensitive region and summer precipitation of 160 stations suggest that the vegetation cover strongly affects summer precipitation not only over the sensitive region itself but also over other regions, especially the downstream region.     

2010年4月桂东北一次暖区暴雨天气分析

对2010年4月桂东北一次暖区暴雨天气分析,分析,发现本次过程是由高原南侧的低值系统东移,与副高西北侧西南急流之间形成强烈辐合上升运动造成的;中高纬度稳定的纬向环流和稳定少动的副高为过程提供了很好的环境;高原南侧的低值系统可能与高原的地形摩擦作用有关。     

松辽盆地松科1井上白垩统烃源岩有机碳含量与沉积速率的关系*

与海相盆地相比,陆相湖盆沉积物TOC和沉积速率关系的研究尚处于探索阶段,尤其是在沉积作用对TOC的控制机理研究方面还有待深入。首先运用旋回地层学方法,识别了松科1井南孔上白垩统天文周期,并利用滑动窗口频谱分析方法计算了各窗口的沉积速率及对应的TOC值。以姥鲛烷和植烷(Pr/Ph)比值作为氧化还原条件的指标,以介形虫壳体的δ¹³C作为古生产力大小的指标,对不同环境和不同古生产力条件下TOC和沉积速率的关系进行了探讨。研究表明: 在还原环境下,TOC主要取决于古生产力高低,而沉积速率的影响相对较小,当古生产力较高时,TOC值一般大于1%;反之,TOC值小于1%。但在氧化环境、低古生产力条件下,TOC随着沉积速率先增大后减小,其临界值为11,cm/ka。