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551.
The null distribution of the lag-k sample serial correlation coefficient (r
k
, k=1,2,3) was investigated by Monte Carlo simulation. For a time series with normal, exponential, Pearson 3, EV1 (Gumbel), or
generalized Pareto (GP) distribution type, the null distribution of its r
k
can be approximated by the normal distribution with mean −1/(n−k) and variance 1/(n−1). But for a time series with the lognormal, EV2 or EV3 (Weibull) distribution type, the null distribution of r
k
is skewed distributed. In such cases, a simulation technique is suggested to construct percentile confidence intervals at
a given significance level. 相似文献
552.
Mt. Qomolangma lies in the collision zone between the fringe of Eurasia plate and Indian plate. The crustal movement there
is still very active so far. In the past three decades China carried out five geodetic campaigns in Mt. Qomolangma and its
north vicinal area, independently or cooperatively with other countries, including triangulation, leveling, GPS positioning,
atmospheric, astronomical and gravity measurements. On the basis of the observation results achieved in the campaigns the
crustal movements in the area were studied and explored. A non-stationary phenomenon both in time and space of the crustal
vertical movement in the area is found. There seems to be some relevance between the phenomenon of non-stationary in time
and seismic episode in China. The phenomenon of non-stationary in space is possibly relevant to the no-homo- geneity of crustal
medium and non-uniform absorption of terrestrial stress. The horizontal crustal movement in the area is in the direction of
NEE at a speed of 6–7 cm per year, and the trend of strike slip movement is manifested evidently in the collision fringe of
Indian plate and Qinghai-Xizang block. 相似文献
553.
Quantitative reconstruction of the lake water paleotemperature of Daihai Lake, Inner Mongolia, China and its significance in paleoclimate 总被引:5,自引:2,他引:5
By measuring Sr/Ca ratios of the ostracod shells (Limnocthere cf. inopinata) in sediments of the Daihai Lake, and combined with Sr2+/Ca2+ ratios of the lake water, this paper obtained paleosalinity of the lake water. Vaporizing experiment of the lake water in
laboratory showed that there was a quantitative relationship between salinity and oxygen isotope. Using this relationship,
oxygen isotope values of the paleo-lake water were calculated. By measuring the oxygen isotope of the authigenic carbonate
in the lake’s sediments, and in combination with the oxygen isotope values of the paleo-lake water, the paleotemperature of
the lake water was calculated. Finally, based on these proxies, the paleoclimate in the lake basin was explored. 相似文献
554.
The non-parametric Mann–Whitney (MW) statistic test has been popularly used to assess the significance of a shift in median
or mean of hydro-meteorological time series. It has been considered that the test is more suitable for non-normally distributed
data and it may be not sensitive to the distribution type of sample data. However, no evidence has been provided to demonstrate
these. This study investigates the power of the test in various circumstances by means of Monte Carlo simulation. Simulation
results demonstrate that the power of the test is very sensitive to various properties of sample data. The power depends on
the pre-assigned significance level, magnitude of a shift, sample size, and its occurrence position within a time series;
and it is also strongly affected by the variation, skewness, and distribution type of a time series. The bigger the magnitude
of a shift, the more powerful the test is; the larger the sample size, the more powerful the test is; and the bigger the variation
within a time series, the less power the test has. The test has the highest power if a shift occurs at the midpoint of a time
series. For the samples with different distribution types, the power of the test is dramatically different. The test has the
highest power for time series with the extreme value type III (EV3) distribution while it indicates the lowest power for time
series with the lognormal distribution. 相似文献
555.
556.
来自南极格罗夫山蓝冰地区的GRV 99027陨石为一无球粒陨石,主要由橄榄石及辉石组成。棕色橄榄石具堆晶结构及镶嵌结构等火成岩浆分异结晶的特征。陨石的矿物模式组成及化学成分显示与SNC族陨石特征相似,特别是与ALHA77005陨石十分接近。后者被确定为二辉橄榄岩质辉玻无球粒陨石类(Lherozolitic-Shergotty,L-S)火星陨石。GRV 99027陨石的矿物化学特征以及FeO/MnO比值也与L-S类相似。可以初步认为GRV 99027陨石为SNC族火星陨石一个新的成员。二辉橄榄岩相当于地球的上地幔成分。陨石来自火星探部,为世界上极为稀有的火星样品,极具研究价值。 相似文献
557.
Research progress of socio-economic water cycle in China 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
China has made great progress in the study of socio-economic water cycle. She has completed national water resources appraisement
and medium to long-term water supply planning. She has been engaging in study on water-deficient regions in North China and
Northwest China for about half a century. For solving water shortage problem in northern China, she has put forward the famous
South-to-North Water Transferring Projects, which has been set as one of the four biggest national projects in the Tenth Five-Year-Plan
period although there are still debates. For promoting water use efficiency, China has been reforming her water management
system, including water right system and water price system. There has already been a case of water right purchase. China
has also done a lot of research on the interaction between human activity, water and ecosystem. For meeting the need of sustainability
and coordinating water resources development and environmental protection, the study of ecological water requirement became
very hot in recent years. There are three focuses of socio-economic water cycle study now in China: water transfer projects
from the south to the north, water resources management and ecological water requirement. 相似文献
558.
According to the principle of the eruption of debris flows, the new torrent classification techniques are brought forward. The torrent there can be divided into 4 types such as the debris flow torrent with high destructive strength, the debris flow torrent, high sand-carrying capacity flush flood torrent and common flush flood by the techniques. In this paper, the classification indices system and the quantitative rating methods are presented. Based on torrent classification, debris flow torrent hazard zone mapping techniques by which the debris flow disaster early-warning object can be ascertained accurately are identified. The key techniques of building the debris flow disaster neural network (NN)real time forecasting model are given detailed explanations in this paper, including the determination of neural node at the input layer, the output layer and the implicit layer, the construction of knowledge source and the initial weight value and so on. With this technique, the debris flow disaster real-time forecasting neural network model is built according to the rainfall features of the historical debris flow disasters, which includes multiple rain factors such as rainfall of the disaster day, the rainfall of 15 days before the disaster day, the maximal rate of rainfall in one hour and ten minutes. It can forecast the probability, critical rainfall of eruption of the debris flows, through the real-time rainfall monitoring or weather forecasting. Based on the torrent classification and hazard zone mapping, combined with rainfall monitoring in the rainy season and real-time forecasting models, the debris flow disaster early-warning system is built. In this system, the GIS technique, the advanced international software and hardware are applied, which makes the system′s performance steady with good expansibility. The system is a visual information system that serves management and decision-making, which can facilitate timely inspect of the variation of the torrent type and hazardous zone, the torrent management, the early-warning of disasters and the disaster reduction and prevention. 相似文献
559.
560.
Velocity profile of a sand cloud blowing over a gravel surface 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
Particle dynamic analyzer (PDA) measurement technology was used to study the turbulent characteristics and the variation with height of the mean horizontal (in the downwind direction) and vertical (in the upward direction) particle velocity of a sand cloud blowing over a gravel surface. The results show that the mean horizontal particle velocity of the cloud increases with height, while the mean vertical velocity decreases with height. The variation of the mean horizontal velocity with height is, to some extent, similar to the wind profile that increases logarithmically with height in the turbulent boundary layer. The variation of the mean vertical velocity with height is much more complex than that of the mean horizontal velocity. The increase of the resultant mean velocity with height can be expressed by a modified power function. Particle turbulence in the downwind direction decreases with height, while that in the vertical direction is complex. For fine sands (0.2–0.3 mm and 0.3–0.4 mm), there is a tendency for the particle turbulence to increase with height. In the very near-surface layer (<4 mm), the movement of blown sand particles is very complex due to the rebound of particles on the bed and the interparticle collisions in the air. Wind starts to accelerate particle movement about 4 mm from the surface. The initial rebound on the bed and the interparticle collisions in the air have a profound effect on particle movement below that height, where particle concentration is very high and wind velocity is very low. 相似文献