基于情景模拟的天津市滨海新区2020年暴雨内涝风险评估

基于多灾种复合动态风险评估理论,依据滨海新区2020年人口规划、土地利用规划以及社会经济发展计划,根据地面沉降和海平面上升预测结果设计了最不利、适中和最理想化三种情景;在此基础上,自行开发了基于GIS的洪水淹没区计算模块,模拟计算不同重现期暴雨内涝的淹没范围、淹没深度及淹没损失。结果表明:2020年,发生1 000 a一遇、200 a一遇和50 a一遇暴雨时,在最不利的情景一下:天津市滨海新区分别将有32.73%,29.34%和26.01%的土地不同程度受淹,受淹人口分别为338万、305万和264万,淹没损失分别达220.89亿元、181.39亿元和139.12亿元。     

台风Mindulle变性再发展的特征及机理研究

对于2004年台风Mindulle登陆入海再发展进行研究分析。通过演变特征的分析,发现在台风北移时,冷空气入侵台风低层,台风经历一个变性再发展的过程,台风在高层一直保持暖心结构,并且在台风的西侧形成一个冷锋面结构,而在北侧为一个暖性锋面结构,使得暖空气被迫抬升,冷空气也逐渐包围了台风。冷平流与来自暖海面的暖平流交汇使得暖湿的海面对流加剧。同时高空急流入口处辐散区与台风低压的重合和西风槽的东移,对台风的维持和再发展起到了重要的作用。     

一种单线河流渐变符号的绘制方法

单线河流渐变符号的自动绘制是地图制图研究中的常见问题,在分析和总结现有单线河流渐变符号绘制方法的基础上,提出一种基于分段缓冲区技术的渐变线绘制方法,详细论述该方法的实现过程,并通过实例验证了该方法的可行性,为自动绘制单线河流渐变符号提供一种新的思路.     

珠一坳陷始新世文昌组沉积期构造转换对源‒汇体系的控制

An obvious structural transformation between the early and the late stages of the middle Eocene rifting in the ZhuⅠ Depression, which has a significant impact on the formation and evolution of the Paleogene source-to-sink system, has recently been found. Based on comprehensive analysis of seismic, drilling and logging data in the study area, we argue that the structural transformation controls the basic elements of source-to-sink system, such as basin landscape, material source supply, transportation direction and sedimentary style, and affects the deep Paleogene reservoir conditions. Under the restriction of structural transformation, there are two typical source-to-sink models: source migration and fault transformation. Hydrocarbon accumulation related to structural transformation is commonly interpreted by two typical source-to sink models: source migration and fault transformation. The main source of the source migration model migrates under the influence of structural transformation, and the sedimentary boundary, accommodation space and depositional style change accordingly, forming a favorable superimposed and contiguous reservoir target;the supply, transportation and accumulation of provenance in the fault transformation model change orderly in time and space, forming the compound of co-existing fan-delta-beach sedimentary system and reservoir conditions have strong zonation. It is of great significance to explore the characteristics of source to sink system and sand-controlling model under the control of structural transformation in order to find high-quality reservoirs in Paleogene. © 2021, Science Press. All right reserved.     

In situ cosmogenic ~(10)Be dating of the Quaternary glaciations in the southern Shaluli Mountain on the Southeastern Tibetan Plateau

It is generally considered that four-times ice age happened during the Quaternary epoch on the Tibetan Plateau. However, the research on the chronology of the four-times ice age is far from enough. The Shaluli Mountain on the Southeastern Tibetan Plateau is an ideal place for plaeo-glacier study, because there are abundant Quaternary glacial remains there. This paper discusses the ages of the Quaternary glaciations, based on the exposure dating of roche moutonnée, moraines and gla- cial erosion surfaces using in situ cosmogenic isotopes 10Be. It is found that the exposure age of the roche moutonnée at Tuershan is 15 ka, corresponding to Stage 2 of the deep-sea oxygen isotope, suggesting that the roche moutonnée at Tuershan is formed in the last glacial maximum. The expo- sure age of glacial erosion surface at Laolinkou is 130―160 ka, corresponding to Stage 6 of the deep-sea oxygen isotope. The oldest end moraine at Kuzhaori may form at 421―766 kaBP, corre- sponding to Stages 12―18 of the deep-sea oxygen isotope. In accordance with the climate charac- teristic of stages 12,14,16 and 18 reflected by the deep-sea oxygen isotope, polar ice cores and loess sequence, the oldest end moraine at Kuzhaori may form at stage 12 or stage 16, the latter is more possible.     

西天山东塔尔别克金矿区安山岩LA-ICP-MS锆石U-Pb年代学、元素地球化学与岩石成因

东塔尔别克金矿区位于西天山吐拉苏盆地内阿希金矿区南侧,构造上属于伊犁-中天山微板块与准噶尔板块之间的博罗科努早古生代岛弧带西段。东塔尔别克矿区出露有一些安山岩,这些岩石具有典型高镁安山岩特征,如高硅（SiO₂=58.94%~63.85%),具有较高的MgO含量(3.75%~6.59%)和Mg^#(58~69)、高的Cr（94.2×10^-6~241×10^-6）、和Ni（54.5×10^-6~126 ×10^-6）含量,以及低的FeO^T/MgO比值。除了Sr含量略微偏低（235×10^-6~696×10^-6）之外,这些岩石基本显示了埃达克岩的地球化学特征：高的Al₂O₃（15.39%~16.65%）,低Y（9.86×10^-6~14.9×10^-6）含量,以及高的Sr/Y比值(23.8~48.1),无Eu异常,Nb、Ta、Ti亏损等。LA-ICP-MS锆石U-Pb测年结果显示安山岩的年龄为347.2±1.6Ma,为早石炭世。安山岩富集Rb、Th、U 等大离子亲石元素,相对亏损Nb、Ta、Ti等高场强元素,轻重稀土元素分馏明显,具有俯冲带岛弧岩浆的特征。东塔尔别克安山岩可能形成于岛弧环境中,并可能由俯冲的晚古生代北天山洋洋壳以及少量上覆沉积物熔融形成,产生的熔体在上升过程中与地幔橄榄岩发生了相互作用. 熔体-地幔相互作用对区内金矿的形成具有重要意义。     

特种监测网解算中IGS站选取的探讨

利用GAMIT/GLOBK软件处理2011年特种监测网的观测数据,将IGS站的选取分10种方案进行试验,计算结果从基线长度变化、测站坐标、NRMS、基线重复率等方面进行了比较。得出利用GAMIT/GLOBK软件处理该特种监测网时的几点建议:建议选取IGS站为GPS网提供参考框架;IGS站选取的数量不一定最多,但空间上应尽量均匀分布;选取7个IGS站时得到较高精度的结果。在日后处理此类型的特种监测网时对IGS站选取具有一定的参考价值。     

The Q value variations in the preparing pro－cess of rock rupture

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新疆阿尔泰山南缘产于麦兹泥盆纪火山-沉积盆地铅锌矿床稳定同位素特征

麦兹火山-沉积盆地内铅锌矿呈似层状、透镜状,矿石构造以条纹条带状、块状、斑杂状为主,矿物成分相对简单,矿体直接容矿围岩为火山-沉积岩.矿床δ34S值为-20.6‰～-10‰;矿床石英流体包裹体水的δD值为-89.1‰～-49.48‰,δ18OSMOW值为4.7‰～1.2‰.矿化层中方解石的δ13C值介于-6.7‰～-14.3‰之间,δ18O值在10.3‰～12.9‰之间.矿床属火山-沉积岩容矿的块状硫化物矿床,介于典型的火山岩容矿的块状硫化物型矿床(VHMS)和典型沉积岩容矿的硫化物矿床(SEDEX型)之间的过渡类型(一种新类型块状硫化物矿床).