Low-dimensional chaos and fractal properties of long-term sunspot activity

Two primary solar-activity indicators sunspot numbers(SNs)and sunspot areas(SAs)in the time interval from November 1874 to December 2012 are used to determine the chaotic and fractal properties of solar activity.The results show that(1)the long-term solar activity is governed by a low-dimensional chaotic strange attractor,and its fractal motion shows a long-term persistence on large scales;(2)both the fractal dimension and maximal Lyapunov exponent of SAs are larger than those of SNs,implying that the dynamical system of SAs is more chaotic and complex than SNs;(3)the predictions of solar activity should only be done for short-to mid-term behaviors due to its intrinsic complexity;moreover,the predictability time of SAs is obviously smaller than that of SNs and previous results.     

西天山海西中期花岗岩的地质特征及其构造环境

海西中期花岗岩是西天山加里东褶皱带内规模最大的一次岩浆活动。本文从岩石学、矿物学、岩石化学和地球化学等方面对该期花岗岩的成因类型、岩浆起源和形成的构造环境进行了探讨，认为海西中期花岗岩以Ｉ型为主，Ｓ型次之，在空间上成对分布，花岗岩浆起源于地壳；海西中期花岗岩形成于活动大陆边缘岛孤环境．     

ANALYSIS ON AGRICULTRUAL INFORMATION DEMAND——Case of Jilin Province

With the rapid development of agricultural informalization in the world, the demand of agricultural information has been a focus in the international agriculture and information fields. Based on the investigation, this paper presented the four characteristics of the demand of agricultural information in China, includingregionality, seasonality, great potential demand and variation in kind and level. The factors infuencing the demand of agricultural information were analyzed by the Optimized Less Square （OLS） method. The result shows that, of all factors influcing agricultural information demand, the most important one is economy, the second is facility of information pass, and knowledge and education of user, credit of agricultural information service system and production situation follow. Taking Jilin Province as an example, this article also elaborated the agricultural information demand status, and deduced the regression model of agricultural information demand and verified it by the survey in rural Jilin.     

CIRCULAR-ECONOMY MODELS OF ANIMAL HUSBANDRY INDUSTRY IN JILIN PROVINCE

1INTRODUCTION The circular-economyisan efficient resources metabolic process, based on principles of ecology and system engi- neering.Withcoupledstructure andthe complex ecolo- gical and economic evolution, it has the characteristics of overall integrity, coordination, and circulation (WANG, 2005). Compared with the traditionalecono- mic model, the circular-economy requires the technical model of production process to be changed from the opening flow pattern that is "resourcesconsumption…     

Events of decadal thermocline variations in the South Pacific Ocean

1 INTRODUCTION It has been suggested that interior thermal anomalies that subduct into the subtropics of the North Pacific may propagate to the equatorial region of the Pacific (Russell, 1994; Deser et al., 1996; Gu and Philander, 1997; Huang and Huang an…     

Discovery of the 'missing' mode in HR 1217 by the Whole Earth Telescope

HR 1217 is a prototypical rapidly oscillating Ap star that has presented a test to the theory of non-radial stellar pulsation. Prior observations showed a clear pattern of five modes with alternating frequency spacings of 33.3 and 34.6 μHz, with a sixth mode at a problematic spacing of 50.0 μHz (which equals  1.5×33.3 μHz)  to the high-frequency side. Asymptotic pulsation theory allowed for a frequency spacing of 34 μHz, but Hipparcos observations rule out such a spacing. Theoretical calculations of magnetoacoustic modes in Ap stars by Cunha predicted that there should be a previously undetected mode 34 μHz higher than the main group, with a smaller spacing between it and the highest one. In this Letter, we present preliminary results from a multisite photometric campaign on the rapidly oscillating Ap star HR 1217 using the 'Whole Earth Telescope'. While a complete analysis of the data will appear in a later paper, one outstanding result from this run is the discovery of a newly detected frequency in the pulsation spectrum of this star, at the frequency predicted by Cunha.     

青藏块体及周缘潜在震源与强震关系研究

利用1993－1999、1999－2001年青藏块体东北以及1991－2000年中国大陆GPS水平运动年速率资料，基于单一力源模型，反演获得了青藏块体及其周缘地区2000－2001年10次地震的震前资料反映的潜在震源参数，所得力源中心位置距实际震中的距离相对较小，其中2000年景泰5．9、2001年宁蒗5．8、昆仑8．1及格尔木3次5．7、5．8级地震均在50km左右；2000年兴海6．6、2001年年施甸5．9、永胜6．0级地震不到100km；2001年雅江6．0级地震最远（121km）。此外，1999－2001年青藏块体东北缘地区的反演结果表明，沿东昆仑构造带的昆仑山口－达日及库玛断裂向东至甘东南、甘青交界区域，可能仍存在潜在震源。     

对二郎坪群火神庙组物质组成的质疑与再认识

经研究证明，前人建立的二郎坪群火神庙组确有少量的亚碱性双峰式火山岩。这些火山岩零星地分布在几个地区，走向不连续，出露宽度一般为数百米。构成该组主体的是一条规模宏伟的侵入岩带，其岩石组合为辉长岩－闪长岩－石英闪长岩－斜长花岗岩－花岗岩，总体上表现为正序岩浆演化序列。这些侵入岩普遍经历了三个阶段的变形变质作用，即第一阶段为韧性变形；第二阶段为静态重结晶；第三阶段为带状褶劈理，表现了复杂而漫长的构造演化史。     

固体潮潮汐因子的特征频谱及其应用

本文应用非线性谱分析中的最大熵谱分析方法（ＭＥＭ）、和一般线性功率谱的分析方法，对固体潮潮汐因子的时间序列进行了综合研究，指出固体潮潮汐因子的时间序列中普遍存在明显的半月左右周期的特征频谱；将其应用于地震前兆的分析与探索，对固体潮潮汐因子特征频谱中的前兆变化特征进行了解释，得出结论：半月左右周期的频率域，是固体潮观测中前兆响应的一个重要主频域。     

Contribution to diffuse gamma-rays in the Galactic Centre region from unresolved millisecond pulsars

Diffuse gamma-rays in the Galactic Centre region have been studied. We propose that there exists a population of millisecond pulsars in the Galactic Centre, which emit GeV gamma-rays through synchrotron-curvature radiation as predicted by outer gap models. These GeV gamma-rays from unresolved millisecond pulsars probably contribute to the diffuse gamma-ray spectrum detected by EGRET which displays a break at a few GeV. We have used a Monte Carlo method to obtain simulated samples of millisecond pulsars in the Galactic Centre region covered by EGRET  (∼ 15)  according to the different period and magnetic field distributions from observed millisecond pulsars in the Galactic field and globular clusters, and superposed their synchrotron-curvature spectra to derive the total GeV flux. Our simulated results suggest that there probably exist about 6000 unresolved millisecond pulsars in the region of angular resolution of EGRET, the emissions of which could contribute significantly to the observed diffuse gamma-rays in the Galactic Centre.