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81.
为了制作四川盆地主汛期降水预报对相似方法作了改进,首先是根据四川盆地主汛期降水的前3个特征向量分别寻找有物理基础的前期信号作为预报因子,然后充分考虑各因子对总降水量贡献大小定义因子场的相似,确定相似年,最后引入“集成”的思想,由5个相似年的降水场得到预测年降水的定量客观预报。1981~1994共14年的预报结果准确率高于当前业务预报水平。 相似文献
82.
The paper discusses the various effects of the weight distribution on the roll motion of an LNG carrier based upon model tests results. The tests consisted of extinction tests in calm water as well as roll response tests in regular beam waves.The results of the wave tests were compared with those calculated with the much used simplified equation for pure rolling. 相似文献
83.
Impact of 4DVAR assimilation of rainfall data on the simulation of mesoscale precipitation systems in a mei-yu heavy rainfall event 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
The multi-scale weather systems associated with a mei-yu front and the corresponding heavy precipitation during a particular heavy rainfall event that occurred on 4 5 July 2003 in east China were successfully simulated through rainfall assimilation using the PSU/NCAR non-hydrostatic, mesoscale, numerical model (MM5) and its four-dimensional, variational, data assimilation (4DVAR) system. For this case, the improvement of the process via the 4DVAR rainfall assimilation into the simulation of mesoscale precipitation systems is investigated. With the rainfall assimilation, the convection is triggered at the right location and time, and the evolution and spatial distribution of the mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) are also more correctly simulated. Through the interactions between MCSs and the weather systems at different scales, including the low-level jet and mei-yu front, the simulation of the entire mei-yu weather system is significantly improved, both during the data assimilation window and the subsequent 12-h period. The results suggest that the rainfall assimilation first provides positive impact at the convective scale and the influences are then propagated upscale to the meso- and sub-synoptic scales.
Through a set of sensitive experiments designed to evaluate the impact of different initial variables on the simulation of mei-yu heavy rainfall, it was found that the moisture field and meridional wind had the strongest effect during the convection initialization stage, however, after the convection was fully triggered, all of the variables at the initial condition seemed to have comparable importance. 相似文献
Through a set of sensitive experiments designed to evaluate the impact of different initial variables on the simulation of mei-yu heavy rainfall, it was found that the moisture field and meridional wind had the strongest effect during the convection initialization stage, however, after the convection was fully triggered, all of the variables at the initial condition seemed to have comparable importance. 相似文献
84.
Previous studies have shown that water retention curve (WRC) and the hydraulic conductivity vary because of changes of the void ratio or porosity of soil. However, limited documents pointed out the change of hydraulic properties of soil when compacted to different porosities while considering both of the drying and wetting processes of the WRC. This information is sometimes necessary for research like finger flow analysis or the occurrence of wetting and drying cycles as what would be seen in the field. Therefore, this study aims to examine the change of WRC characteristics with varied porosity considering both of the drying and wetting path in WRC by conducting a sand box experiment. Results show that the same type of sand compacted to various porosities have different hydraulic parameters. Hydraulic conductivities generally decrease with reduced porosities; shape parameter α of the van Genuchten equation (1980) linearly decreases with declining porosity and shape parameter n in a reversal manner for the sands of interest whether in the drying process or wetting process. The unsaturated properties of sand are further characterized by inspecting the variations of moisture content, matric suction and vertical displacement of soil body subject to periodic changes of the water level by another sand box experiment. The outcomes suggest that the saturated water content and residual water content are changing during the wetting–drying process, which can be an implication of the changed properties of WRC. The characteristics of volumetric deformation might be varied as well because of the observation of the dissimilar patterns of the changing vertical displacements among each wetting–drying process. Infiltration patterns of the sands also are identified through numerical modelling by introducing a constant infiltration flux from the surface followed by a no‐influx condition. Results indicate that less water accumulates in the sand near the surface for the sand compacted to higher porosity, but water can move deeper. Hydraulic conductivity is found as the prime factor dominating the evolvement of wetting fronts. However, shape parameters of water retention curves also affect the infiltration pattern to some extent. In addition, different sands with similar porosities can have quite different infiltrating characteristics. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
85.
Tang Yuanjun Tan Dafang Mao Yi 《地球科学》1989,(3)
根据热流式量热计的Tian氏方程,用焦耳效应标定高温卡尔维微量热计。用偏差法得到的灵敏度值与积分法测得的值一致。用回归曲线对灵敏度实验值进行拟合,利用计算机求得灵敏度—温度回归曲线,得到了室温至700℃的全部灵敏度值,从而即可使用微量热计测量此温度范围内的未知样品热效应。 相似文献
86.
87.
设计了一种用于地震预报和地震对策的模型体系。本文简述了建立这一模型体系的必要性,给出了模型体系的设计思想,讨论了模型体系的結构、功能和组成以及建立模型体系的数学方法。 相似文献
88.
本文根据岩石孔隙中的天然气引起介电测井孔隙度减小和密度测井孔隙度增大的原理,建立了双密度重叠找气新方法,消除了岩性的影响,提高了测井找气的分辨率,增加了评价气层的直观性。该方法用于寻找陕甘宁盆地低孔隙白云岩气藏,获得了明显的地质效果。这种方法还可以在其它储层岩性气藏中应用。 相似文献
89.
单纯克山病病区与单纯大骨节病病区生态化学环境的对比研究 总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6
本文对云南省牟定县申平村单纯克山病病区和陕北榆林县蟒坑村单纯大骨节病病区的生态化学环境进行了对比研究,表明两地生态化学环境仍处于低Se水平。申平村人群仍有潜在型克山病病例,蟒坑村人群的骨质病变则出现很高的X线阳性检出率,说明两地的致病因子仍然活跃,从生态系物质含Se量看出,蟒坑村的缺Se程度较申平村高。此外,单纯克山病病区申平村土壤,粮食,人发中的As明显高于蟒坑村和非病区。为此,从As与Se具有 相似文献
90.