Statistical Downscaling for Multi-Model Ensemble Prediction of Summer Monsoon Rainfall in the Asia-Pacific Region Using Geopotential Height Field

The 21-yr ensemble predictions of model precipitation and circulation in the East Asian and western North Pacific （Asia-Pacific） summer monsoon region （0°-50°N, 100° 150°E） were evaluated in nine different AGCM, used in the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation Climate Center （APCC） multi-model ensemble seasonal prediction system. The analysis indicates that the precipitation anomaly patterns of model ensemble predictions are substantially different from the observed counterparts in this region, but the summer monsoon circulations are reasonably predicted. For example, all models can well produce the interannual variability of the western North Pacific monsoon index （WNPMI） defined by 850 hPa winds, but they failed to predict the relationship between WNPMI and precipitation anomalies. The interannual variability of the 500 hPa geopotential height （GPH） can be well predicted by the models in contrast to precipitation anomalies. On the basis of such model performances and the relationship between the interannual variations of 500 hPa GPH and precipitation anomalies, we developed a statistical scheme used to downscale the summer monsoon precipitation anomaly on the basis of EOF and singular value decomposition （SVD）. In this scheme, the three leading EOF modes of 500 hPa GPH anomaly fields predicted by the models are firstly corrected by the linear regression between the principal components in each model and observation, respectively. Then, the corrected model GPH is chosen as the predictor to downscale the precipitation anomaly field, which is assembled by the forecasted expansion coefficients of model 500 hPa GPH and the three leading SVD modes of observed precipitation anomaly corresponding to the prediction of model 500 hPa GPH during a 19-year training period. The cross-validated forecasts suggest that this downscaling scheme may have a potential to improve the forecast skill of the precipitation anomaly in the South China Sea, western North Pacific and the East Asia Pacific regions, wh     

Experiment on Dust Flux During Duststorm Periods over Desert Area

The present study investigates the characteristics of turbulent transfer and the conditions for dust emission and transport using the dust concentration and micrometeorological data obtained during dust events occurring in the spring of 2004 over the Hunshandake desert area. The turbulent exchange coefficients and turbulent fluxes of momentum and heat are calculated. The relationships between dust flux, friction velocity, and wind speed are also explored. The results show that thermal turbulence is dominant during daytime of non-dusty days. The dynamic turbulence increases obviously and the sensible heat flux reduces by different degrees during dust events. There is an efficient downward transfer of momentum before duststorm occurrence, and both the dynamic turbulence and the thermal turbulence are important in the surface layer. The dynamic turbulence even exceeds the thermal turbulence during severe duststorm events. The values of dust flux vary in the range of -5 5, -30 30, and -200-300 μg m^-2 s^-1 during non-dusty days, blowing dust, and duststorm events, respectively. A slight upward transport of dust is observed during non-dusty days. The dust flux gradually varies from positive to negative during duststorm periods, which indicates the time evolution of dust events from dust rising to stably suspending and then deposition. The dust flux is found to be proportional to u＊^3. The threshold values of wind speed and friction velocity are about 6 and 0.4 m s^-1, respectively.     

Geochemistry of peridotite xenoliths in alkali basalts from Jeju Island, Korea

Abstract   Ultramafic xenoliths in alkali basalts from Jeju Island, Korea, are mostly spinel lherzolites with subordinate amounts of spinel harzburgites and pyroxenites. The compositions of major oxides and compatible to moderately incompatible elements of the Jeju peridotite xenoliths suggest that they are residues after various extents of melting. The estimated degrees of partial melting from compositionally homogeneous and unfractionated mantle to form the residual xenoliths reach 30%. However, their complex patterns of chondrite-normalized rare earth element, from light rare earth element (LREE)-depleted through spoon-shaped to LREE-enriched, reflect an additional process. Metasomatism by a small amount of melt/fluid enriched in LREE followed the former melt removal, which resulted in the enrichment of the incompatible trace elements. Sr and Nd isotopic ratios of the Jeju xenoliths display a wide scatter from depleted mid-oceanic ridge basalt (MORB)-like to near bulk-earth estimates along the MORB–oceanic island basalt (OIB) mantle array. The varieties in modal proportions of minerals, (La/Yb)_N ratio and Sr-Nd isotopes for the xenoliths demonstrate that the lithospheric mantle beneath Jeju Island is heterogeneous. The heterogeneity is a probable result of its long-term growth and enrichment history.     

39Ar‐40Ar dating of the Zagami Martian shergottite and implications for magma origin of excess 40Ar

Abstract— The Zagami shergottite experienced a complex, petrogenetic formation history (McCoy et al. 1992, 1999). Like several shergottites, Zagami contains excess ⁴⁰Ar relative to its formation age. To understand the origin of this excess ⁴⁰Ar, we made ³⁹Ar‐⁴⁰Ar analyses on plagioclase and pyroxene minerals from two phases representing different stages in the magma evolution. Surprisingly, all these separates show similar concentrations of excess ⁴⁰Ar, ?1 × 10^?6 cm³/g. We present arguments against this excess ⁴⁰Ar having been introduced from the Martian atmosphere as impact glass. We also present evidence against excess ⁴⁰Ar being a partially degassed residue from a basalt that actually formed ?4 Gyr ago. We utilize our experimental data on Ar diffusion in Zagami and evidence that it was shock‐heated to only ?70 °C, and we assume this heating occurred during an ejection from Mars ?3 Myr ago. With these constraints, thermal considerations necessitates either that its ejected mass was impossibly large, or that its shock‐heating temperature was an order of magnitude higher than that measured. We suggest that this excess ⁴⁰Ar was inherited from the Zagami magma, and that it was introduced into the magma either by degassing of a larger volume of material or by early assimilation of old, K‐rich crustal material. Similar concentrations of excess ⁴⁰Ar in the analyzed separates imply that this magma maintained a relatively constant ⁴⁰Ar concentration throughout its crystallization. This likely occurred through volatile degassing as the magma rose toward the surface and lithostatic pressure was released. These concepts have implications for excess ⁴⁰Ar in other shergottites.     

朝鲜半岛冠帽地块的基底属性:来自银德洞变质侵入杂岩的锆石U-Pb年代学和岩石地球化学证据

地体基底建造的甄别和表征是联结华北克拉通与朝鲜半岛早期演化历史的基本纽带。针对朝鲜半岛前寒武纪基底建造研究方面的薄弱环节,本文表征了冠帽地块清津地区银德洞出露的变质深成侵入杂岩。3个代表性样品的SIMS锆石U-Pb定年结果显示,早期中性片麻岩记录的岩浆侵入年龄为约2.53 Ga,晚期钾长花岗质片麻岩记录的岩浆侵入年龄为约2.51 Ga,表明银德洞变质杂岩形成于新太古代晚期。参考变质杂岩的岩石地球化学特征,其原岩组成可能包括石英闪长岩和钾长花岗岩,大体上可与全球典型的岩浆型紫苏花岗岩系列相类比。结合3个样品变化较大的锆石εH f(t)值(-1.7~+10.5),我们推测银德洞变质侵入杂岩可能形成于玄武质下地壳岩石的部分熔融及其后的结晶分异作用,代表了活动大陆边缘岩浆弧环境下的典型产物。银德洞变质杂岩归属于新太古代岩浆弧根部岩浆岩建造的研究认识,不仅为判定冠帽地块与华北克拉通东部的吉南和龙地块以及辽北清原地块之间的亲缘性提供了岩石学证据,而且暗示这些地块在新太古代共同处在一个类似于安第斯活动大陆边缘的构造环境。