Multi-scale analysis of global temperature changes and trend of a drop in temperature in the next 20 years

Summary A novel multi-timescale analysis method, Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD), is used to diagnose the variation of the annual mean temperature data of the global, Northern Hemisphere (NH) and China from 1881 to 2002. The results show that: (1) Temperature can be completely decomposed into four timescales quasi-periodic oscillations including an ENSO-like mode, a 6–8-year signal, a 20-year signal and a 60-year signal, as well as a trend. With each contributing ration of the quasi-periodicity discussed, the trend and the 60-year timescale oscillation of temperature variation are the most prominent. (2) It has been noticed that whether on century-scale or 60-year scales, the global temperature tends to descend in the coming 20 years. (3) On quasi 60-year timescale, temperature abrupt changes in China precede those in the global and NH, which provides a denotation for global climate changes. Signs also show a drop in temperature in China on century scale in the next 20 years. (4) The dominant contribution of CO₂ concentration to global temperature variation is the trend. However, its influence weight on global temperature variation accounts for no more than 40.19%, smaller than those of the natural climate changes on the rest four timescales. Despite the increasing trend in atmospheric CO₂ concentration, the patterns of 20-year and 60-year oscillation of global temperature are all in falling. Therefore, if CO₂ concentration remains constant at present, the CO₂ greenhouse effect will be deficient in counterchecking the natural cooling of global climate in the following 20 years. Even though the CO₂ greenhouse effect on global climate change is unsuspicious, it could have been excessively exaggerated. It is high time to re-consider the trend of global climate changes.     

用VB语言实现地震动态演示

Ｖ Ｂ 编程语言提供了图形环境,能可视化的设计窗体和控件。本文介绍了应用该设计语言的特性如何实现地震资料的动态显示过程。     

Effects of mineral-organic fertilizer on the biomass of green Chinese cabbage and potential carbon sequestration ability in karst areas of Southwest China

The karst mountain areas of Southwest China contain barren farmland soils and suffer from nutritional and water deficiencies that affect crop productivity. Hence,it is imperative to apply suitable fertilizers to restore soil fertility and maintain crop yield. The aim of this study is to investigate the effects of mineral-organic fertilizer(MOF)made of potassic rock and organic waste on the growth of crops. For this purpose, green Chinese cabbage grown using three different fertilization methods including MOF,inorganic fertilizer(IF), and a control was evaluated. We determined soil water content, agronomic characteristics,and biomass of green Chinese cabbage in different treatments. Furthermore, surface runoff from the pot experiments and soil leachate from pot experiments were collected to determine water temperature, pH, and cation and anion concentrations. The results demonstrate thatMOF can improve the soil water-holding capacity of soil,and the basic agronomic characteristics of the cabbage treated with MOF were superior to those with IF. Using MOF can promote the increase in cabbage biomass.Additionally, the concentration of inorganic carbon(largely in the form of HCO_3^-) in surface runoff water treated by MOF was higher than the other treatments, establishing carbon sequestration potential. This work provides a novel and environmentally friendly fertilization pattern in karst areas, which will improve crop yield and also increase the carbon sequestration potential of crops.     

Analysis and comparison of the tidal gravity observations obtained with LCR-ET20 spring gravimeter

Introduction The tidal variation signals of the solid Earth recorded with the modern measuring techniques can be used to provide effectively the means to cognize the Earths motion, deformation and structure character, especially to monitor the material motion in the Earths interior. In the recent 20 years, the distribution character of the global gravity field has made great progress since the continuous and deep theoretical studies in geophysics and geodesy domains. The successful manufactur…     

燕山板内造山带中段近东西向中生代右行走滑构造系统

阐述了分布燕山板内造山带中段的近东西向中生代右行走滑构造系统的几何学与运动学特征,指出该右行走滑断裂系统由古北口－平泉断裂和密云－喜峰口－锦西断裂两条主干断裂,以及夹于其间的北西向张性断层和张裂脉,北东向压性断层和褶皱等共同组成,近东西向主干断裂具有右行右列“P破裂”结构形式,北西向的张性断层和张裂脉则具有“T破裂”性质,主干断裂与北东向压性断裂和褶皱构成了一幅右行走滑双重构造（strike-slip duplexs)格局,而不是不同期次变形的产物。该走滑断裂系统形成于侏罗纪末一早白垩世初（147－132Ma),由于它恰好构成了位于辽西的走向北东,向南东逆冲的逆冲推覆构造系统与冀北,冀西北地区北东走向,上盘向北西逆冲的推覆构造的转换和调节部位,所以本文提出了一个右行走滑构造系统的统一构造模式,在该模式中,辽西和冀北,冀西北同时代而运动方向相反的逆冲构造系统分别构成了近东西向右行走滑系统的断盘前缘挤压逆冲构造区,认为惦记山板内造山带总体构造格局的区域构造作用方式是：在总体北西一南东向挤压的一级构造应力场作用下,造山带北部的块体相对于中生代华北地台为主体的块体做向东的右景下,燕山板内造山带可能构成了亚洲东部另一个重要的“挤出构造带”或“逃逸构造域”,这种推测需要得到北部东西向断裂系具有同期左行走滑运动的支持。     

使用DOS批处理文件备份自动气象站数据

从备份自动站数据文件的实际需要出发,通过实例由浅及深地介绍了用DOS批处理文件多目的地、多方式备份自动站数据的方法,包括本机备份、备份到局域网、备份到网络服务器以及自动备份等。     

基于“天地图”的地震专题图自动出图技术研究与实现——以陕西省为例

结合地震应急中对专题图产出的要求,研究"天地图-陕西"的切片方式和服务方式,在Arc GIS中实现了天地图瓦片数据与矢量数据相结合。通过研究数据库监听技术、基于Python语言和Arc Py包的出图技术,实现地震三要素的自动获取和影响场产出,并最终实现了基于天地图数据的地震专题图自动产出,完全无需人工操作,提高了专题图出图效率。     

2010年10月24日周口太康MS4．6地震的震源机制解

利用河南省区域地震台网的近震波形资料,采用近震时间域方法,反演2010年10月24日16点58分太康 MS 4．6地震的地震矩张量,结果显示,该地震为走滑型地震。结合震后灾害考察,认为太康地震发生在周口-太康断裂上。     

Effects of Anthropogenic Disturbance on Sediment Organic Carbon Mineralization Under Different Water Conditions in Coastal Wetland of a Subtropical Estuary

The changes in soil organic carbon(C) mineralization as affected by anthropogenic disturbance directly determine the role of soils as C source or sink in the global C budget. The objectives of this study were to investigate the effects of anthropogenic disturbance(aquaculture pond, pollutant discharge and agricultural activity) on soil organic C mineralization under different water conditions in the Minjiang River estuary wetland, Southeast China. The results showed that the organic C mineralization in the wetland soils was significantly affected by human disturbance and water conditions(P 0.001), and the interaction between human disturbance activities and water conditions was also significant(P 0.01). The C mineralization rate and the cumulative mineralized carbon dioxide-carbon(CO_2-C)(at the 49th day) ranked from highest to lowest as follows: Phragmites australis wetland soil aquaculture pond sediment soil near the discharge outlet rice paddy soil. This indicated that human disturbance inhibited the mineralization of C in soils of the Minjiang River estuary wetland, and the inhibition increased with the intensity of human disturbance. The data for cumulative mineralized CO_2-C showed a good fit(R~2 0.91) to the first-order kinetic model C_t = C_0(1 – exp(–kt)). The kinetic parameters C_0, k and C_0 k were significantly affected by human disturbance and water conditions. In addition, the total amount of mineralized C(in 49 d) was positively related to C_0, C_0 k and electrical conductivity of soils. These findings indicated that anthropogenic disturbance suppressed the organic C mineralization potential in subtropical coastal wetland soils, and changes of water pattern as affected by human activities in the future would have a strong influence on C cycling in the subtropical estuarine wetlands.