Projected global climate change impact on water temperatures in five north central U.S. streams

The effect of projected global climate change due to a doubling of atmospheric CO₂ on water temperatures in five streams in Minnesota was estimated using a deterministic heat transport model. The model calculates heat exchange between the atmosphere and the water and is driven by climate parameters and stream hydrologic parameters. The model is most sensitive to air temperature and solar radiation. The model was calibrated against detailed measurements to account for seasonally variable shading and wind sheltering. Using climate projections from the GISS, GFDL and OSU GCMs as input; stream temperature simulations predict a warming of freely flowing river reaches by 2.4 °C to 4.7 °C when atmospheric CO₂ doubles. In small shaded streams water temperatures are predicted to rise by an additional 6 °C in summer if trees along stream banks should be lost due to climate change or other human activities (e.g. logging). These projected water temperature changes have significant consequences for survival and growth of fishes. Simulation with the complete heat budget equations were also used to examine simplified water temperature/air temperature correlations.     

Reduction of horizontal wind speed in a boundary layer with obstacles

The reduction of horizontal wind speed at hub height in an infinite cluster of wind turbines is computed from a balance between a loss of horizontal momentum due to the drag and replenishment from above by turbulent fluxes. This reduction is derived without assumptions concerning the vertical wind profile above or below hub height, only some basic assumptions on turbulent exchange have been made. Two applications of the result are presented, one considering wind turbines and one pressure drag on orographic obstacles in the atmospheric boundary layer. Both applications are basically governed by the same kind of momentum balance.     

Tectonic implications of paleomagnetic research into Upper Cretaceous magmatic rocks in the Apuseni Mountains, Romania

The paleomagnetism of Upper Cretaceous magmatic rocks from 47 collecting sites (172 samples, 692 specimens) in the Apuseni Mountains was studied. After AF cleaning, characteristic magnetizations were identified for various collecting areas in the study zone, which defined a few spatial and temporal units for which paleomagnetic poles could be derived statistically. At 21 sampling sites the paleomagnetic directions showed a high level of intrasite and intersite consistency, with a mean direction of I_f = −38° and D_f = −100°, with ₉₅ = 6°. The paleomagnetic results show that to reach their present-day position the Apuseni Mountains moved to the north, around 14° with respect to Europe, or around 25° with respect to the geographic poles, between the Campanian and, probably, Late Miocene, while a clockwise rotation, of around 80°, was taking place.     

North Gondwana origin for exotic Variscan rocks in the Rhenohercynian zone of Germany

Continental margin sediments of an exotic nature, which have been thrust over the Rhenohercynian zone of Central Germany, occur mainly in olistostromes of Lower Carboniferous age. A stratigraphy compiled from the exotic rocks reflects the wide spectrum of continental shelf and adjacent basinal facies that existed at least from the Early Ordovician to the Early Carboniferous. Facies and faunal relationships are comparable with those in the Palaeozoic of the western Mediterranean region, Saxothuringia (south-east Germany) and the Barrandian area (Czech Republic), which suggests deposition at the northern margin of the Gondwana Palaeozoic supercontinent. Among the exotic rocks, a Middle Devonian to Early Carboniferous facies, referred to as Flinzkalk, contains sediments showing characteristics of contourites. They may have originated from reworked turbidites, formed under a current which flowed parallel to the North Gondwana margin, similar to the Gulf Stream flowing along eastern North America today.     

Late Pleistocene climate and water budget of the south American Altiplano

Geomorphic evidence from the Peruvian-Bolivian Altiplano indicates that during episodes prior to 28,000 and around 12,500-11,000 yr B.P., lakes covered an area about six and four times as large as at present, respectively. Within the constraints of the heat and water budget, model calculations are used to estimate the precipitation rate that would allow hydrologic equilibrium. On this basis it is suggested that rainfall on the Altiplano during the episodes of enlarged lakes was, respectively, some 300 and 200 mm annum⁻¹ larger than at present, representing increases of about 75 and 50%, respectively. Field evidence suggests that the episodes of enlarged lakes on the Altiplano may have preceded or coincided with periods of maximum glaciation in the neigh-boring Andes. In this region with high elevation of the ice equilibrium line, increased precipitation is particularly conducive to glaciation.     

Alpine structures and metamorphism at the Pillonet Klippe — a remnant of the Austroalpine nappe system in the Italian Western Alps

A detailed petrofabric analysis leads to the following consequences at the Pillonet Klippe, a remnant of the Austroalpine Dent Blanche — Sesia Lanzo nappe system in the Western Alps. Two nappe forming events have to be distinguished: the first one marks the beginning, the second one the end of alpine tectonometamorphic evolution. While the first event is correlated to the early-alpine high-pressure low-temperature subduction zone metamorphism, the second event has no counterpart within the alpine metamorphic history. Post-Lepontine cold thrusts act at c. 250 °C cutting through early-alpine nappe boundaries and pile up a new sequence of nappes with different internal lithologies, structures and relics of late- and early-alpine metamorphism.Early-alpine deformation caused the penetrative first cleavage s₁ and stretching lineation str₁ and, subsequent two acts of folding D₂ and D₃ with axes parallel stretching. Nappe formation during this deformation started cold in a high crustal level and propagated into higher temperatures passing a boundary from clastic to plastic deformation. At the turning point of subduction c. 450 °C were reached, accompanied by static annealing. Until then glaucophane was stable.Late-alpine deformation caused different structures within different units of the latter klippe. They range from spectacular km-size 4th folds with NE-vergency in basement rocks to small 5th folds with NW-vergency in Mesozoic cover rocks. 5th folds postdate a static episode of Lepontine metamorphism with growth of albite porphyroblasts.Temperature had dropped markedly to less than 300 °C, when D₆ thrust faults emerged cutting the klippen units out of their source regions. Thrust nappes develop giving rise to nappe movements over several km in the high structural level of Austroalpine nappes. Thus all fabrics — except D₆ — are transported and are cut by these late and cold thrusts.

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Zusammenfassung Die Pillonet-Klippe ist ein Überrest des Austroalpinen Dent Blanche — Sesia Lanzo Dekkensystems in den italienischen W-Alpen. Detaillierte gefügekundliche Untersuchungen haben dort zu folgenden Ergebnissen geführt:Man muß zwei deckenbildende Deformationsakte unterscheiden. Der erste steht am Anfang, der zweite am Ende der alpinen Deformations-Metamorphose-Geschichte. Decken bilden sich zum ersten Mal bei eoalpiner Subduktion unter Hochdruck-Niedrigtemperatur-Metamorphose. Ein zweites Mal nach Lepontiner Metamorphose, wenn kalte Thrusts bei ca. 250 °C den eoalpinen Deckenbau zerschneiden und zu neuen Decken mit unterschiedlichen Gesteinsbeständen, Strukturen und Relikten der früh- und spät-alpinen Metamorphosen stapeln. Zwischen diesen Deformationsakten läßt sich an der Pillonet-Klippe folgende Gefügeentwicklung beobachten:Während eoalpiner Deformation wird allen Gesteinen eine durchdringende erste alpine Schieferung s₁ und Streckungsfaser str₁ überprägt. Danach folgen zwei Akte der Faltung um Achsen parallel der Streckungsfaser: D₂ und D₃. Die Bildung von Decken während D₁ beginnt kalt und klastisch in einem hohen Krustenstockwerk. Noch während D₁ werden die Gesteine zunehmend geheizt und gelangen in Bereiche plastischer Deformation. Im Wendepunkt der Subduktion sind ca. 450 °C erreicht und eine statische Metamorphose schließt die eoalpine Geschichte ab. Glaukophan ist bis in die statische Temperung stabil.Während spätalpiner Deformation lassen sich in verschiedenen Einheiten der späteren Pillonet-Klippe unterschiedliche Gefügeentwicklungen beobachten. Die Variation reicht von km-großen, NE-vergenten 4. Falten in Altkristallin-Gesteinen bis zu m-großen, NWvergenten 5. Falten in der mesozoischen Bedeckung. Ein Akt statischer Lepontin-Metamorphose mit Albit-Blastese fällt zwischen D₄ und D₅.Nach deutlichem Temperaturabfall bis unter 300 °C werden die Klippen-Einheiten aus ihren Herkunftsgebieten gestanzt und gehen als Decken auf die Reise über mehrere km. Sie benutzen mylonitisierende Thrusts, entsprechend dem hohen Austroalpinen Stockwerk. Damit sind — bis auf die D₆-Deckenbahnen — alle Gefüge der Pillonet-Klippe nicht dort erworben, sondern transportierte Gefüge, die von den späten, kalten Deckenbahnen geschnitten werden.

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Résumé L'Ecaille du Pillonet est une résidu du système de nappes austro-alpines de la Dent blanche-Sesia Lanzo dans les Alpes occidentales italiennes. Des études structurales détaillées ont conduit aux résultats suivants:On doit distinguer dans la formation des nappes deux actes de déformation, le premier au commencement, le second à la fin de l'histoire de la déformation et du métamorphisme alpins. Des nappes se forment pour la première fois au cours de la subduction éoalpine dans des conditions de métamorphisme de haute pression-basse température; une deuxième fois après le métamorphisme lépontien, lorsque des charriages froids, à quelque 250 °C recoupent l'édifice de nappes éoalpines et échafaudent de nouvelles nappes avec des lithologies et structures différentes et des restes du métamorphisme alpin ancien et récent. Entre ces deux actes de la déformation, se sont développées les structures suivantes dans l'Ecaille du Pillonet;Pendant la déformation éoalpine, toutes les roches ont été marquées par une première schistosité pénétrative alpine s₁ et une linéation str₁. Viennent ensuite deux actes de plissement, D₂ et D₃ avec axes parallèles à la linéation. La formation des nappes pendant la déformation D₁ commence dans des conditions froides et clastiques dans un étage crustal superficiel. Encore au cours de D₁ les roches s'échauffant peu à peu et pénètrent dans le domaine de la déformation plastique. Au moment de la subduction, la température de 450 °C est atteinte et un métamorphisme statique cloture l'histoire éoalpine. Le glaucophane reste stable jusqu'alors.Pendant la dernière déformation, différent développements texturaux peuvent être observés dans chacune des entités de la future Ecaille du Pillonet. Ils varient depuis des plis de type 4, de dimension kilométrique, déversés vers le NE dans le cristallin ancien, jusqu'à des plis de type 5, de dimension métrique, déversés vers le NW dans le revêtement mésozoïque. Un métamorphisme lépontin statique avec blastèse albitique survient entre D₄ et D₅.Après une chute notable de la température jusque en dessous de 300 °C, les entités de l'Ecaillé se sont détachées de leur lieu d'origine et ont migré comme nappes sur plusieurs km. à la faveur de charriages mylonitisants correspondant au niveau austroalpin élevé. De sorte que toutes les textures, sauf celles qui sont liées au charriage D₆, n'ont pas été acquises sur place, mais ont été transportées à froid par le dernier charriage.

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. : . , . . , ( 250 °) . : S₁ str₁. D₂ D₃. D₁ , . 450 ° . . . 4- 5- . D₄ D₅. 300 ° . , . . . , D₆, , .

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List of symbols D₁-D₃ 1st to 3rd deformational act of early alpine age - D₄-D₅ 4th and 5th deformational act of late alpine age - D₆ post-Lepontine deformation - s₁ str₁ First cleavage and first stretching lineation of early alpine age - s_2-3 B_2-3 Cleavage planes and axes of 2nd–3rd early alpine folds - s_4-5, B_4-5 Cleavage planes and axes of 4th–5th late alpine folds - s₆, L₆ Thrust planes and lineations of post-Lepontine nappes - km, m, cm, mm kilometre, metre, centimetre, millimetre     

Climate drift in an ocean model coupled to a simple,perfectly matched atmosphere

A very simple, diffusive energy balance atmosphere is coupled to the GFDL ocean circulation model. This provides a useful tool for analyzing climate drift in the ocean model after coupling, and may be used to assess various schemes for minimizing such drift. In the experiment reported here, the atmosphere is constructed in such a way that it provides the ocean model at the moment of coupling with the same fluxes as during spinup. The experiment is therefore equivalent to coupling a perfectly flux-corrected atmosphere model, and is used to investigate the response of the ocean model under these conditions. In spite of the steady, passive, flux-corrected atmosphere, the ocean model drifts to a new equilibrium state after coupling. The transition takes about 2000 years; the new state is characterized by different sites of deep convection and resulting changes in high-latitude SST and global deep temperatures. The mechanism for the transition is an instability of the oceanic convection patterns under the new feedback, felt after coupling. A similar state transition of the ocean model may be triggered by the coupling shock in fully coupled GCMs. If this is so, the transition would contaminate the results of climate scenario experiments, and it would explain part of the residual drift observed in coupled models in spite of the use of flux corrections.     

Hydrochemical investigation of water from the Pleistocene wells and springs, Jericho area, Palestine

Rising salinity levels is one of the significant signs of water-quality degradation in groundwater. The alluvial Pleistocene wells in the Jericho area, Palestine show high salinity and a high susceptibility to contamination. Future exploitation and management of the water resources under these conditions will require an in-depth understanding of the sources and mechanisms of contamination. The Jericho area is located in the basin of the Jordan Valley. The basin is underlain by alluvial deposits of soil, sand and gravel of Quaternary units Q1 and Q2, and marl clay and evaporites of the upper part of unit Q2. This paper deals with the source of salinity in the wells penetrating these units, using hydrochemical tracers. The study reveals three main zones of different salinity by using different diagnostic hydrochemical fingerprinting as tracers for elucidating the sources of salinity. It was concluded that the most probable sources of salinity are (1) the geological formations of the region, which form inter-fingering layers of both the Samara and Lisan formations of Pleistocene age, where the eastern Arab Project aquifers show the highest amount of sulphate. The location and geological formation of these wells within the Lisan suggested that the source of high sulphate content is the dissociation of gypsum. (2) The NaCl water within the same area may also be upwelling from a deep brine aquifer or from a fresh-water aquifer which contains salt-bearing rocks with particles becoming finer from west to east. This noticeable high TDS to the east should be affected by the rate of pumping from the upper shallow aquifer, especially in the wells of the Arab Project which are in continuous pumping during the year. (3) The third possible source of salinity is from anthropogenic influences. This can be easily shown by the increment of nitrate, bromide and sulphate, depending on whether the location of the well is coincident with urban or agricultural areas. This reflects the addition of agricultural chemical effluents or sewer pollution from adjacent septic tanks which are mainly constructed in top gravel in the Samara layer. Further studies are required, using different geochemical and isotopic techniques, to confirm these suggested salinity sources.The revised version was published online in March 2005 with corrections to the order of the authors.     

Palaeoclimate estimates for the Middle Miocene Schrotzburg flora (S Germany): a multi-method approach

We present a detailed palaeoclimate analysis of the Middle Miocene (uppermost Badenian–lowermost Sarmatian) Schrotzburg locality in S Germany, based on the fossil macro- and micro-flora, using four different methods for the estimation of palaeoclimate parameters: the coexistence approach (CA), leaf margin analysis (LMA), the Climate-Leaf Analysis Multivariate Program (CLAMP), as well as a recently developed multivariate leaf physiognomic approach based on an European calibration dataset (ELPA). Considering results of all methods used, the following palaeoclimate estimates seem to be most likely: mean annual temperature ∼15–16°C (MAT), coldest month mean temperature ∼7°C (CMMT), warmest month mean temperature between 25 and 26°C, and mean annual precipiation ∼1,300 mm, although CMMT values may have been colder as indicated by the disappearance of the crocodile Diplocynodon and the temperature thresholds derived from modern alligators. For most palaeoclimatic parameters, estimates derived by CLAMP significantly differ from those derived by most other methods. With respect to the consistency of the results obtained by CA, LMA and ELPA, it is suggested that for the Schrotzburg locality CLAMP is probably less reliable than most other methods. A possible explanation may be attributed to the correlation between leaf physiognomy and climate as represented by the CLAMP calibration data set which is largely based on extant floras from N America and E Asia and which may be not suitable for application to the European Neogene. All physiognomic methods used here were affected by taphonomic biasses. Especially the number of taxa had a great influence on the reliability of the palaeoclimate estimates. Both multivariate leaf physiognomic approaches are less influenced by such biasses than the univariate LMA. In combination with previously published results from the European and Asian Neogene, our data suggest that during the Neogene in Eurasia CLAMP may produce temperature estimates, which are systematically too cold as compared to other evidence. This pattern, however, has to be further investigated using additional palaeofloras.Dedicated to Prof. Dr. Harald Walther, Dresden, on the occasion of his 75th birthday.     

Change in seismic activity in the Tokai region related to weakening and strengthening of the interplate coupling

We investigate the relationship between changes in seismicity and crustal deformations in the Tokai region. We describe how seismicity in the subducted slab increased remarkably in the fall of 2000 and decreased in the fall of 2001, while in contrast, the crust seismicity decreased in the fall of 2000 and increased in the fall of 2001. We note that the trend of horizontal displacement at GPS stations changed coincidentally and we propose interpreting the increase and decrease in seismic activities and the changes in crustal deformations in a unified way based on changes in the state of the interplate coupling, i.e., the back-slip rate was reduced in the fall of 2000 and was partially restored in the fall of 2001. We explain why reduction of the back-slip rate increases seismogenic stress in the slab and decreases stress in the crust. We also describe the substantial positive dilatation observed in the region around Mt. Fuji in the fall of 2000 and suggest that the remarkable increase of low-frequency earthquakes beneath Mt. Fuji in October 2000 may have been caused by deceleration of the converging motion of the Izu micro-plate with the Eurasian plate. The decrease of the subduction velocity of the Izu micro-plate on the Suruga Trough in late 2000 would also have contributed to weakening of the interplate coupling beneath the Tokai region, since reduction of the relative velocity between overriding and subducting plates produces the same effect on the plate interface as a diminishing back-slip rate. However, subduction of the Izu micro-plate on the Suruga Trough was accelerated in early 2003, which may have caused increases in both slab and crust seismicities in that period.