基于卫星高度计的北极海冰厚度变化研究

A modified algorithm taking into account the first year(FY) and multiyear(MY) ice densities is used to derive a sea ice thickness from freeboard measurements acquired by satellite altimetry ICESat(2003–2008). Estimates agree with various independent in situ measurements within 0.21 m. Both the fall and winter campaigns see a dramatic extent retreat of thicker MY ice that survives at least one summer melting season. There were strong seasonal and interannual variabilities with regard to the mean thickness. Seasonal increases of 0.53 m for FY the ice and 0.29 m for the MY ice between the autumn and the winter ICESat campaigns, roughly 4–5 month separation, were found. Interannually, the significant MY ice thickness declines over the consecutive four ICESat winter campaigns(2005–2008) leads to a pronounced thickness drop of 0.8 m in MY sea ice zones. No clear trend was identified from the averaged thickness of thinner, FY ice that emerges in autumn and winter and melts in summer. Uncertainty estimates for our calculated thickness, caused by the standard deviations of multiple input parameters including freeboard, ice density, snow density, snow depth, show large errors more than 0.5 m in thicker MY ice zones and relatively small standard deviations under 0.5 m elsewhere. Moreover, a sensitivity analysis is implemented to determine the separate impact on the thickness estimate in the dependence of an individual input variable as mentioned above. The results show systematic bias of the estimated ice thickness appears to be mainly caused by the variations of freeboard as well as the ice density whereas the snow density and depth brings about relatively insignificant errors.     

附着基粗糙度等因素与海藻密度的相关性研究

海藻附着基表面粗糙度与孢子附着密度有密切的相关性;已经由许多研究证实。但是海藻苗的密度是否仍然受到附着基粗糙度的影响;还缺乏明确的结论。本文以尼龙和亚克力两种材料作为海藻附着基;悬挂于自然海区中使海藻孢子附着并萌发生长;用以研究附着基表面粗糙度对4种海藻密度的影响。结果显示;多管藻、尾孢藻、点叶藻、硬毛藻这4种海藻;在不具沟槽的光滑面;密度显著低于任何有沟槽的粗糙面;但粗糙度不同的附着基之间比较;对海藻密度的影响并不显著。室内培育的海带苗;在尼龙上的密度与粗糙度成正相关;但是将海带苗移至海上培育后;不再与粗糙度有相关性;可能与其假根状固着器下海后的发育有关。本文还试验了海泥、灭活海泥和低栖硅藻3种沉积物与附着基粗糙度对海藻密度的影响;结果表明;沉积物和附着基粗糙度;以及它们的交互作用对海藻密度的影响;因附着基的材料和海藻种类而有差别。     

基于土地利用变化的中国省域碳排放时空差异及碳补偿研究

选择中国30个省级行政区为研究单元,基于土地利用和能源消耗等数据,采用碳排放系数法,对2003~2016年中国土地利用碳源/汇进行计算,探究中国省域土地利用碳排放和碳吸收时空演变,并以碳盈亏时空分析为基础,通过生态补偿系数和经济贡献系数分析碳排放的差异性,以净碳排放量作为基准值进行碳补偿价值的研究。结果表明:① 研究期间碳排放总量和净碳排放量除在2015年出现小幅度下降现象,其余年度均呈现不断增加趋势;碳吸收总量呈现稳中有升的趋势。②土地利用碳吸收的主要载体是耕地和林地,碳汇资源空间差异明显,基本呈现西高东低的分布特征,多数省份在研究期内基本保持一致的碳吸收类型。③ 碳排放总量分布空间差异显著,且主要来自建设用地。④ 依据净碳排放量的区域差异,将其划分为高碳排放区、一般碳排放区、低碳排放区、碳汇区4种类型。⑤ 由于各省域碳补偿标准和净碳排放量的差异导致碳补偿价值区域差异明显。     

A statistical analysis of the power law and the logarithmic law using wind data from a 164 m tower

The wind speed distribution with height is analysed by using hourly data for a full year recorded at 6 levels of a 164 m tower at Nanjing. A statistical error analysis shows that power law and logarithmic law are best applicable when the wind is strong. For the height range from 16 to 164 m, the power law represents the actual speed distribution better than does the logarithmic law.     

农业生态系统模式的优化设计探讨

对农业生态系统模式的优化设计原则、内容、方法与步骤进行了探讨。认为模式优化设计包括5大原则，即区域适宜性原则、实用性原则、经济与市场原则、持续性原则和科学性原则；农业生态系统模式设计的主要内容包括总体目标设计、产业结构设计、时空结构设计、食物链网设计、环境与生态形象设计、物质与资金投放和输入输出设计、技术体系设计、面向对象设计及系统集成与优化；农业生态系统设计的基本程序包括系统环境辨识、系统诊断、系统模型分析和方案设计、系统评价和方案选优、系统运行及反馈修正等内容。     

卫星热红外遥感技术在火山区地热探测中的应用——以内蒙古锡林郭勒火山区为例

能源的全球性短缺以及全球环境问题的日益加剧,使得绿色新能源的研究与开发成为当今世界许多国家的一项重要任务。地热资源作为其中一员其重要性日益凸显。在地热资源的勘查中,传统的地质和地球物理勘探投入高、难度大,而遥感技术具有经济、高效、覆盖范围广等优势,已逐渐成为地热资源探测与调查的一种新技术手段。地热能开发的首选地区往往是新生代火山活动区,因其在相对较小的深度内就能获得很高的温度。本文综述了国内外利用遥感技术探测火山地热的发展历史和研究现状,介绍了这项技术在美国黄石公园、日本阿苏火山以及我国长白山火山和腾冲火山的应用。同时选取内蒙古锡林郭勒盟新生代火山活动构造区作为实例,利用美国NASA陆地卫星Landsat-7 ETM+第6波段的红外遥感数据反演了研究区的地表温度,结合ETM+7-4-1波段组合影像的地质构造解译结果以及其它相关资料对研究区地表温度分布进行了分析。结果表明,区内红外遥感地表温度异常区多位于北东东与北西向构造的交汇处或与环形构造密切相关。本文圈定了7个地表温度异常区作为这一地区下一步地热资源勘查的远景区。     

堰塞坝坝体材料渗流特性研究现状及展望

目前,国内外对地震堰塞坝体稳定性的研究较多,但多数为个例研究。在影响坝体稳定性的众因素中,堰塞坝体的材料组成及其渗透特性对坝体破坏模式有重要的决定作用。本文在前人研究的基础上,从渗流的基本规律、数值模拟、室内试验3个方面总结了针对堰塞坝坝体材料渗流的机理和研究方法。重点分析总结了堰塞坝坝体材料渗透性的研究进展,指出几何条件和水力条件共同决定土体发生渗透变形和渗透稳定性。最后分析了目前针对坝体材料渗透研究存在的问题,提出未来可能的研究方向。     

Defining the range of ecological shelter zones in the shore zone of Three Gorges Reservoir,China

To maintaining a health ecological environment in Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR) area, ecological shelter zones (ESZ) need to be built in the TGR shore zone urgently. Based on the implication and function of ESZ, this study first analyzed the relationships amongst three subsystems of the TGR area, including the upstream production-living land, the downstream reservoir water body, and the ESZ. Then a simple and practical hydrological environment model for controlling the eutrophication of the TGR water body was constructed to determine ESZ range of TGR. Additionally, based on the pollutant degradation efficiency of ESZ and the assimilative capacity of reservoir water body, a raster reverse tracking method was proposed to determine the range of ESZ. Thirdly, take Yangdu town in Zhongxian county as a typical region, the ESZ range under three scenarios of different rainfall intensity, degradation efficiency and inflow water quality that corresponding to the three decisive factors of defining ESZ range were discussed. Finally, the statistical laws of the ESZ’s width at each boundary points were discussed to facilitate the ESZ construction projects, and selected standardized rate at 70, 90, and 99 % were labelled as “General”, “Good” and “Excellent” level to represent the performance of the width of the ESZ range. In conclusion, it suggest “Good” level width as basic width of ESZ, and additionally a special protection zone should be put on upstream environment for the extreme large width at the boundary points.     

地面臭氧的变化规律和计算方法的初步研究Ⅱ.可见光波段

通过对广州鼎湖山近地面O3、NOx、太阳辐射,气象参数等项目的观测和理论分析,研究了地面O3与NOx等微量气体及太阳可见光辐射的变化规律,详细讨论了可见光波段、不同天气条件地面O3与NOx、光化学反应、气溶胶、可见光辐射等之间复杂的关系.提出以光能量传输与守恒的观点来考虑大气中与可见光辐射有关的主要过程,并以此来研究大气光化学过程中所遵循的能量规律,建立了一个简单、实用、省时的统计模式,用于计算地面O3浓度.结果表明:不同情况下,计算值与观测值吻合得均比较一致.