Verification and Assessment of Real-time Forecasts of Two Extreme Heavy Rain Events in Zhengzhou by Operational NWP Models

In the present study, the performances of the NWP models on two heavy rainfalls on 20 July and 22 August 2021 over Henan Province were investigated. The impacts of the water vapor transport to the extreme rainfall were further discussed. The results showed that the regional model system in the Guangzhou Meteorological Service generally showed high scores on the extreme rainfall over Henan. The maximum 24h accumulative rainfall by the 24h forecasts by the CMA-GD reached 556 mm over Henan Province. The 24-h and 48-h Threat Score (TS) of heavy rainfall reached 0.56 and 0.64. The comparisons of the Fraction Skill Score (FSS) verifications of the heavy rainfall by CMA-GD and CMA-TRAMS at the radium of 40km reached 0.96 and 0.87. The water vapor transport to the extreme rainfall showed that the vertically integrated water vapor transport (IVT) of the whole layer before the occurrence of the heavy rainfall exhibited a double-eyes distribution in case 7 · 20. The north eye over Henan reached the same magnitude of IVT as the typhoon eye (Cempaka) over south China. The IVT over the lower troposphere (<500 hPa) showed an overwhelming magnitude than the upper level, especially in the planetary boundary layer (<700 hPa). More practical technical needs to be developed to improve its performances on the forecasting of extreme rainfall, as well as more experiments need to be conducted to examine the effects of the specific terrain and physical schemes on the extreme rainfall.     

Composition and major sources of organic compounds in urban aerosols

Total suspended particles (TSP), collected during June 2002 to July 2003 in Guangzhou, a typical economically developed city in South China, were analyzed for the organic compound compositions using gas chromatography–mass spectrometry (GC/MS). Over 140 organic compounds were detected in the aerosols and grouped into different classes including n-alkanes, hopanoids, polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, alkanols, fatty acids, dicarboxylic acids excluding oxalic acid, polyols/polyacids, lignin products, phytosterols, phthalates and water-soluble sugars. The total amounts of the identified organic compounds including unresolved complex mixture (UCM) ranged from 3112 ng/m³ in spring to 5116 ng/m³ in winter, comprising on seasonal average 2.8% of TSP. Primary organic compounds peaked in winter although there are no heating systems burning fuels in Guangzhou. The highest saccharide levels occurred in fall due to agricultural activities. This study demonstrated that utilization of fossil fuels, biomass burning, soil resuspension and plastic/refuse burning are the major contributors to the identified organic compounds in the urban atmosphere of South China.     

气象综合信息电子屏在新农村建设中的应用及思考

通过对气象综合信息电子屏应用情况进行分析和探讨,得出一些应用初步结论和思考,以期抛砖引玉,使该项工作能在新农村建设中加快应用步伐,为真正解决农村信息覆盖"最后一公里"的瓶颈提供参考.     

显著经验正交函数分析及其在淮河流域暴雨研究中的应用

经验正交函数分解（EOF）是气候特征研究中常用的分析方法,但由于方法本身的原因,EOF 主要模态不一定都能有效揭示资料场包含的气候模态。利用中国基本站和基准站1950—2009年逐日降水资料,运用显著经验正交函数分解（Disˉ tinct EOF,DEOF）方法研究了淮河流域暴雨的统计特征。结果表明 DEOF 第1模态呈现了淮河流域暴雨量在南北方向上存在相反的变化,即流域中部、南部偏多（偏少）时,北部则偏少（偏多）,第1主成分具有显著的16—17 a 周期性变化,表明流域南北的旱涝变化存在年代际振荡;第2模态表现了淮河流域中部暴雨量的异常变化,第2主成分有明显的线性趋势,说明近50年来流域中部地区暴雨量有明显的上升趋势,并且在1990年前后由偏少转为偏多。对比 DEOF 和 EOF 的分析结果,发现DEOF 能排除资料场中与随机扩散模型相关性较高的空间特征,能抓住与随机扩散模型有显著差异的分布特征并凸出显示出来,能从较强的背景噪声中凸出物理信号,因而能更好地估计真实的气候模态。     

The Madden-Julian oscillation in the Canadian Climate Centre general circulation model

The Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) simulated by the Canadian Climate Centre general circulation model (CCC GCM) is identified by a principal oscillation pattern (POP) analysis and compared with that observed in the real atmosphere. The results are based upon two integrations of the CCC GCM, one with a parameterization of penetrative cumulus convection (EXP1) and the other with a moist convective adjustment scheme (EXP2). The signal of MJO can be detected in both integrations as the first POP of the 200 hPa velocity potential along the equator. The disturbances show a distinctive wave number one structure with the strongest local amplitude found in the longitudes corresponding to the region of the Asian monsoon. The phase speed of the eastward wave propagation is higher in the eastern Pacific and lower in the monsoon region where the convective activities are strongest. These features are in good agreement with the observations. The energy spectrum of the velocity potential peaks at the frequency corresponding to a period of about 38 days for EXP1, which is somewhat shorter compared to the observed periods of 40–50 days. On the other hand, two spectral peaks can be clearly identified for EXP2, one with a period of 24 days and the other with a much longer period, somewhere near 112 days. Both peaks appear statistically significant at 95% level. Long term data of the observed atmosphere show little indication of such spectral separation. The horizontal patterns identified by the POP analysis resemble to some extent the baroclinic response of tropical flow to a heat source travelling with the speed of MJO. At the upper level, Rossby wave energy propagates westward with winds generally following the height contours, whereas Kelvin wave energy propagates to the east from the heat source with strong cross-contour flow near the equator. At the lower level, the patterns are essentially reversed. The model-generated precipitation and diabatic heating are examined by compositing against the moving MJO. It is found in EXP2 that the composite heating distribution is coherent with the flow pattern only in a certain sector of the equator, depending on whether the fast or slow mode is used to determine the reference point. The composite vertical heating profile of a slower mode tends to have a maximum found at a lower level. The sensitivity of simulated MJO to the cumulus convection scheme in the model is discussed. Received: 19 December 1994 / Accepted: 11 July 1995     

毫米波测云雷达的系统定标和探测能力研究

毫米波测云雷达是中国自主研制的一部双线偏振全相干8.6 mm波长的测云雷达.本文在介绍该雷达系统的参数和技术特点的同时;重点阐述了厂家用外接仪表对该雷达天线系统、发射机系统以及接收机系统等硬件参数进行测试的方法,检验了雷达回波功率动态范围的定标和测量参数的定标结果;并从理论计算,配合试验区域内另外两部10cm波长的天气...     

雷达定量降水动态分级Z-I关系估算方法

利用高时空分辨率的雷达定量降水估测和预报(RQPE和RQPF)对洪水监测、发布洪水警报起重要指导作用，目前国内外对其研究的方法主要采用概率配对法、Z-I关系法和基于Z-I关系的数学算法校正法，这些方法均存在强调某一因素忽略其它因素的问题，并且对短时强降水，尤其是极强降水低估严重。从统计和个例两方面对比分析了四种雷达定量降水方法的误差，致力于寻找一种将雷达回波反射率预报场反演为降水场时误差较小的技术方法，能改进对短时强降水、特别是极强降水严重低估问题的方法，并且该方法也能在业务应用中方便、快速、精确实现。对比研究结果表明：动态分级Z-I关系法是一种对雷达QPE和回波反射率预报场反演降水场都较好的方法，并且改进了对短时强降水、尤其是大于55 mm/h的短时极强降水低估的问题；在业务计算中仅需15秒，能满足6分钟更新一次计算结果的需要，而且不依赖气候统计，便于移植。     

3维数字地球快速缓冲区分析算法

提出一种应用在3维数字地球中的通过图形处理器(GPU)快速实现矢量数据缓冲区分析的算法。使用一张4通道的纹理图作为容器将地理实体的矢量数据传入GPU,利用GPU的高效并行特性,将目标缓冲区纹理中的每个像素所对应的矢量坐标与原实体进行距离量算,在一次渲染中得到缓冲区纹理,最后提取出缓冲区纹理的边界。选择中国的流域和湖泊矢量数据,将本文算法与两种传统的CPU算法进行了缓冲区分析计算、测试和对比。结果显示,本文算法相对于传统矢量算法效率提高了9—16倍,相对于传统栅格算法效率提高11—20倍。实验证明,该算法计算简单,效果明显,特别是随着数据量增大,缓冲区计算速度显著优于传统算法,并能有效解决传统矢量法缓冲区分析中的数据自相交问题。     

基于PSInSAR的成都地区地表沉降空间分布研究

针对成都地区土地规划利用的需要,采用永久散射体合成孔径雷达干涉测量技术(Permanent Scatterer InSAR,PSInSAR)对成都地区地表沉降空间分布情况进行了实验研究。结果表明,在该研究时段内研究区域最大沉降量达到24 mm,最大抬升量达到18 mm。研究区西北至东南方向地表在研究时段内发生了抬升,东北至西南方向出现了地表沉降现象,并对可能造成地表沉降的主要原因进行了分析。     

富互联网应用程序技术在地理信息系统开发中的应用研究

结合富互联网应用程序技术的最新进展,以Adobe公司的Flex技术为例,研究了基于四叉树的地图金字塔数据模型与瓦片双缓存技术、Flex与地理信息服务的三种后台交互技术,以及Flex的组件及其皮肤属性、动画、滤镜和FXG图形格式等各种用户体验技术在GIS开发中的应用.