地面中—β尺度强锋区激发的特大暴雨过程分析

受0012号台风（派比安）外围影响，2000年8月30日02时至31日08时，在江苏省东北部发生了一次具有局域性、突发性、高强度、超历史、灾情重等特征的特大暴雨，分析研究发现，在台风外围第二象限，江苏东北部地面存在中-β尺度的能量锋区，此能量锋区是构成产生、维持特大暴雨的中-β尺度的天气系统。利用锋生函数对此能量锋区的发生发展进行诊断，结果表明，锋生函数的变形项起了决定性作用，辐合项也有较明显的贡献，非绝热加热在锋生初期有作用，但对锋区的维持，其贡献并不明显，进一步用二维中尺度方程对锋区进行数值模拟，结果显示，在能量锋附近驱动产生了涡旋，在涡旋上升支，将高能区的暖湿空气向上输送而成云致雨，在涡旋下沉支，通过下沉气流使雨迅速下落，同时拖曳冷空气使地面降温，使得锋区维持和加强，致使雨强增幅，综合分析表明，中-β尺度能量锋区形成以后，通过锋区附近的中-β尺度的辐合线，中低压，中高压以及锋区附近驱动的扰动涡旋等中-β尺度的天气系统间的相互作用，导致了这次江苏省东北部高强度的特大暴雨。     

南宁市夏季影响大气污染的气象条件分析

通过数值统计、相关分析方法对南宁市 2 0 0 1年夏季大气污染与气象条件的关系进行分析 ,得到一些初步结果 ,为南宁市的大气污染预报提供参考     

加入WTO气象部门如何更好地为我省农业发展服务

加入世贸组织，就山西农业发展而言，机遇与挑战并存，我省农业生产对自然条件的依赖性还比较大，作为气象部门，要积极研究加世贸可能给我省农业带来的新变化，探索气象为农业服务的新思路，新办法，尽实施山西省扩展开发利用空中水资源工程计划，缓解干旱对农业生产的严重影响，搞好气候区划，促进名优特产的集约化生产，在气象服务产品的精深加工上下功夫，发挥信息科技优势，积极推动气象服务向产业化发展。     

宁夏贺家口子地区晚新生代地层序列及其构造意义

对宁夏贺家口子新生代剖面进行了详细的岩石地层和磁性地层研究，并重点标定了晚第三纪和早第四纪地层的年代。结合相应的地层接触关系和沉积相研究，获得了该剖面构造事件序列信息。认为：青藏高原东北边缘的海原－同心弧形构造束地区强烈的新生代构造变形开始于10MaBP左右，并经历了多个变形阶段。贺家口子剖面所揭示出来的这种构造变形特征，在青藏高原东北边缘地区具有区域意义。     

辽宁阜新排山楼金矿的40Ar/39Ar成矿年龄

排山楼大型金矿床产于辽西高级变质太古宙花岗岩-绿岩带中,受绿岩中、上部层位的基性-中酸性火山岩系和东西向韧性剪切带控制。容矿岩石主要是变质安山质-英安质火山岩类。为解决主矿体的形成时代,选取含金石英细脉浸染状矿石中的石英测定了⁴⁰Ar/³⁹Ar年龄为2105.2±10.4Ma。谱线特征为马鞍型,其底坪年龄为石英的结晶年龄。由此提出排山楼金矿的成因主要与吕梁期的东西向韧性剪切带有关。     

南极菲尔德斯半岛六种藻类和地衣植物的X荧光分析

为了研究南极的植物与环境间的关系 ,探讨植物在南极环境监测中的作用 ,在无标样条件下 ,利用微束 X荧光分析法对南极菲尔德斯半岛的 6种藻类和地衣植物进行了元素分析。其中藻类植物有孔石莼 (Ulva pertusa)、海膜 (H alymenia sp.)和大型鞘丝藻 (Lyngbya major) ,地衣植物有筛石蕊 (Cladonia borealis)、喇叭石蕊 (C.fimbriata)和松萝 (Usnea sp.)。研究结果发现 ,不同的藻类植物对各种元素的吸收能力不同 ,在 XRF(X射线荧光 )谱中 ,孔石莼比海膜含有更多的元素 ,象 As、Br和 Rb,Cu和 Zn的含量也较高。在大型鞘丝藻中 ,K比 Ca少 ,Zn的含量较高。在 3种地衣植物中 ,其 XRF谱中的元素种类组成非常相似 ,只是 Mn、Fe、Cu和 Zn等元素的相对含量有些差异     

Design of environmental decision support system and its application to water quality management

1 IntroductionEnvironmental decision support systems could be divided into two categories by their organizational form and system functions. One is regional environmental analytical system based on commercial GIS and assisted by environmental models, such as BASINS developed by the American NEPA using ARC/VIEW as its user platform and including QUAL2E and NPSM as its prediction tools. The other is environmental information and prediction system based on mathematical models, such as…     

High precision glacial–interglacial benthic foraminiferal Sr/Ca records from the eastern equatorial Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea

Glacial–interglacial variation in the marine Sr/Ca ratio has important implications for coral Sr thermometry [J.W. Beck et al., Science 257 (1992) 644–647]. A possible variation of 1–3% was proposed based on ocean models [H.M. Stoll and D.P. Schrag, Geochim. Cosmochim. Acta 62 (1998) 1107–1118]. Subsequently, studies have used fossil foraminifera to test this prediction [P.A. Martin et al., Geochem. Geophys. Geosyst. 1 (1999); H.M. Stoll et al., Geochim. Cosmochim. Acta 63 (1999) 3535–3547; H. Elderfield et al., Geochem. Geophys. Geosyst. 1 (2000)]. But whether some component of foraminiferal Sr/Ca variation can be uniquely ascribed to seawater Sr variation is still not clear. To address this question, we developed cleaning and analysis techniques and measured Sr/Ca ratios on individual shells of the modern benthic foraminifer Cibicidoides wuellerstorfi. We showed that different size shells have different Sr/Ca ratios; however, samples with shell sizes of 355–500 μm appear to have normally distributed Sr/Ca ratios (1σ=1.8%). For multi-shell measurements (with estimated errors of 0.12–0.39%), the ratio varied by as much as 7.2±0.5% during the last glaciation for two Caribbean records at the same site and by 3.7±0.5% over the past 40,000 yr for one record from the Sierra Leone Rise in the eastern equatorial Atlantic. The two Caribbean records are very similar indicating that the behavior of shell Sr uptake was identical locally and that the shell Sr/Ca ratio faithfully reflects the local environment. The Atlantic record differs from the Caribbean records by as much as several percent. Thus, the foraminiferal Sr/Ca changes cannot be solely due to changes in seawater Sr/Ca unless the glacial deep ocean had spatial variation in Sr/Ca well in excess of the modern ocean. Certain similarities between the three records do exist. Notably, the rate of change of Sr/Ca is similar between 9 and 0 ka (−0.25%/kyr) and between 25 and 16 ka (+0.16%/kyr). This suggests that during these intervals, benthic foraminiferal Sr/Ca was affected by similar large-scale variables. One of these variables may be the average marine Sr/Ca ratio; however, comparison with model predictions [H.M. Stoll and D.P. Schrag, Geochim. Cosmochim. Acta 62 (1998) 1107–1118] suggests other factors must also be considered. The discrepancies between the two sites may be related to the different water mass histories for the Caribbean and eastern Atlantic. Our results suggest that variation of the seawater Sr budget only partially contributed to C. wuellerstorfi Sr/Ca records, while other significant factors still need to be quantified. At present we cannot confidently determine past seawater Sr/Ca variation from our foraminiferal records.     

兰山采场下盘边坡岩体结构面的分析与研究

通过对兰家火山露天矿边坡岩体中结构面的研究分析，论述了不同类型的结构面对边坡稳定性的影响程度，强调生产矿山开展岩体结构面分析研究的重要意义。     

“十五”期间我省地震分析预报数据库建设展望

本文阐述了地震分析预报数据库在地震中短期预报系统中的重要性 ,同时具体提出建立该数据库系统所用的方法和技术途径 ,并给出预期的成果。另外 ,本文还介绍了建立该数据库系统的有利条件极其存在的困难 ,并对解决困难提出了建议。