Preface to the special issue China Seismic Experimental Site (CSES): on-going progresses and future prospects

In 2018, the International Conference for the Decade Memory of the Wenchuan Earthquake in connection to the 4th International Conference on Continental Earthquakes (4th ICCE) and the 12th Assembly of Asian Seismological Commission (ASC) officially announced the establishment of China Seismic Experimental Site (CSES) in the Sichuan-Yunnan region. CSES focuses on the field experiments on a broad spectra of scientific problems in earthquake science, from the tectonics and physics of earthquakes and faulting to the engineering countermeasures for disaster risk reduction. In spring of 2021, approved by the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress of China, CSES as a key state scientific infrastructure was enlisted in the 14th national five-year plan (2021–2025) of economic and social development and the long-term vision of 2035, which is considered as a major step for promoting earthquake science in China. Since 2018, the planning, construction and functioning of CSES have attracted much attention in earthquake science (CSES, 2020a, b, c; Wu ZL et al., 2021a, b, c, d). This special issue of Earthquake Science, similar to other publications (e.g., Li YG et al., 2021), reflects a profile of the on-going works of CSES, by CSES, and for CSES. Totally 8 articles are included in the present issue, covering some aspects of research scopes of CSES.     

2020年7月12日河北省唐山市古冶区MS5.1地震数值预测

1 研究背景地震预报中测震学指标广泛应用于地震异常分析.顾瑾平等(2001)研究了多项指标综合预测概率,得出综合概率值在0.5以上时,对应地震率80％,测震学指标有其物理意义,若出现高综合概率值时应关注.2020年7月12日,在河北省唐山市古冶区发生MS 5.1后期强余震(39.78°N,118.44°E),震中位于...     

Pull-apart Basins and the Total Lateral Displacement Along the Haiyuan Fault Zone in Cenozoic

ＩＮＴＲＯＤＵＣＴＩＯＮＩｔｉｓｄｅｂａｔｅｄａｂｏｕｔｔｈｅｔｏｔａｌｌａｔｅｒａｌｄｉｓｐｌａｃｅｍｅｎｔａｌｏｎｇｔｈｅｍａｉｎｂｏｕｎｄａｒｙｆａｕｌｔｓｏｆｉｎｔｒａｐｌａｔｅｂｌｏｃｋｓｉｎｅａｓｔｅｒｎＡｓｉａｃｏｎｔｉｎｅｎｔｉｎＣｅｎｏｚｏｉｃｅｒａ .Ｉｎｔｈｅ 1 970ｓｏｆ2 0ｔｈｃｅｎｔｕｒｙ ,ｓｏｍｅｓｃｉｅｎｔｉｓｔｓｈａｄｅｓ ｔｉｍａｔｅｄｌａｔｅｒａｌｄｉｓｐｌａｃｅｍｅｎｔｂａｓｅｄｏｎｇｅｏｍｏｒｐｈｉｃｄａｔａ .Ｔｈｅｙｐｒｏｐｏｓｅｄｔｈａｔｔｈｅｔｏｔａｌｄ…     

地脉动水平/竖向谱比表征地震动场地效应的有效性及其修正

近年来,地脉动水平/竖向谱比法广泛应用于获取场地卓越频率工作中,但在指示地震动放大系数方面是偏小的。利用KiK-net台网403个台站共21万余组数据,通过对比分析地脉动水平/竖向谱比MHVR和地震动水平/竖向谱比EHVR,发现二者的谱形和峰值频率基本一致,但幅值存在差异。根据MHVR谱形将场地分为6类,建立将MHVR修正为EHVR的经验方法。当MHVR有可解释的峰值时,实测EHVR和修正后MHVR预测值一致性提高。地震动峰值加速度在40 cm/s2以下时,EHVR受场地非线性的影响较小,利用MHVR及其修正方法可有效估计EHVR。     

探头不同耦合方式AE法岩石应力测量效果比较

以凯瑟效应测量岩石试样先存应力,声发射探头与试样的耦合是不共重要环节,国内外学者采用的耦合方法,归结起来主要是面耦合与线耦合两种方式,作者以同一试样作了这两种耦合方法的对比实验,证实地耦合的测量效果优于面耦合,作者指出：使用圆柱状试样不仅制作简便,节省制作费用,而且由于探头与试样作线耦合获得更高的测量精度。     

ENSO事件对我国季节降水和温度的影响

对近40年来ENSO当年和次年我国季节降水和温度异常进行了合成分析和信度检验。结果表明，ENSO当年我国以少雨、低温为主，次年则相反。降水和温度异常季节变化也基本呈相反趋势。长江中下游地区显著降水异常并不发生在夏季，而在ENSO当年春、秋季和次年春季；东北地区最显著的低温也不在夏季，而在ENSO当年秋季至次年春季。根据本文结果对目前ENSO影响研究中的有关问题提出了看法。     

汶川地震断裂带科学深钻井孔附近微震观测问题及微震数据转换

为了配合汶川地震科学深钻,弄清楚钻孔附近浅层的断层面结构,中国地震局地球物理研究所分别在四川省绵竹市天池乡和四川省绵阳市南坝镇布设15套南非矿山地震研究所(IMS)生产的矿山地震仪.分析矿山地震仪天然微震监测中仪器布设、数据采集和数据处理等方面遇到的问题,介绍与该仪器对应的数据的文件格式,并实现该数据与通用地震数据格式SAC二进制格式的转换.     

On stress-forecasting strategy of earthquakes from stress buildup,stress shadow and stress transfer (SSS) based on numerical approach

Global Positioning System (GPS) and Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR), used for monitoring crust deformation, are found to be very promising in earthquake prediction subject to stress-forecasting. However, it is recognized that unless we can give reasonable explanations of these curious precursory phenomena that continue to be serendipitously observed from time to time, such high technology of GPS or InSAR is difficult to be efficiently used. Therefore, a proper model revealing the relation between earthquake evolution and stress variation, such as the phenomena of stress buildup, stress shadow and stress transfer (SSS), is crucial to the GPS or InSAR based earthquake prediction. Here we address this question through a numerical approach of earthquake development using an intuitive physical model with a map-like configuration of discontinuous fault system. The simulation provides a physical basis for the principle of stress-forecasting of earthquakes based on SSS and for the application of GPS or InSAR in earthquake prediction. The observed SSS associated phenomena with images of stress distribution during the failure process can be continuously simulated. It is shown that the SSS are better indicators of earthquake precursors than that of seismic foreshocks, suggesting a predictability of earthquakes based on stress-forecasting strategy.     

Nonlinear optimization method of ship floating condition calculation in wave based on vector

Ship floating condition in regular waves is calculated. New equations controlling any ship＇s floating condition are proposed by use of the vector operation. This form is a nonlinear optimization problem which can be solved using the penalty function method with constant coefficients. And the solving process is accelerated by dichotomy. During the solving process, the ship＇s displacement and buoyant centre have been calculated by the integration of the ship surface according to the waterline. The ship surface is described using an accumulative chord length theory in order to determine the displacement, the buoyancy center and the waterline. The draught forming the waterline at each station can be found out by calculating the intersection of the ship surface and the wave surface. The results of an example indicate that this method is exact and efficient. It can calculate the ship floating condition in regular waves as well as simplify the calculation and improve the computational efficiency and the precision of results.