非齐次隐马尔可夫降尺度方法对江淮流域夏季逐日降水的模拟及其评估

引入非齐次隐马尔可夫模型(Nonhomogeneous hidden Markov model,NHMM)统计降尺度方法,利用1961—2002年江淮流域夏季逐日降水资料、欧洲中期天气预报中心(ECMWF)的ERA-40再分析资料建立模型,检验其对东部季风区(以江淮流域为代表)夏季日降水的模拟能力,并对比BCC-CSM1.1(m)模式NHMM降尺度前后的模拟效果。结果表明,NHMM降尺度方法通过建立降水概率分布态间转移参数与大尺度环流变量的联系,对江淮流域逐日降水量具有较好的降尺度效果。模拟的各站日降水量概率分布函数(PDF)曲线与观测非常接近,布赖尔评分(Brier Score,S_B)均小于0.11%,显著性评分(Significance Score,Ss)均大于0.84;夏季总降水量、降水日数、中雨日数、降水强度和95%分位降水量指数的多年平均场偏差百分率绝对值低于10%,前3个指数的空间相关系数高于0.9;该方法对各降水指数的年际变率也有一定的模拟能力,模拟得到的各指数的区域平均年际序列与观测序列的相关系数为0.62—0.87。对BCC-CSM1.1(m)模式的模拟结果进行降尺度后,SB较降尺度前平均减小0.57%,Ss平均增大0.23,皆表明降尺度后的概率分布函数曲线更接近于观测;各降水指数在多数台站的偏差百分率绝对值由大于40%降至10%以内,空间相关系数普遍提高至0.8以上。NHMM降尺度方法能够有效提高BCC-CSM1.1(m)模式对江淮流域夏季日降水的模拟能力,相对气候模式具有显著的"增值",未来可进一步利用该方法进行气候变暖背景下的日降水变化预估。     

Displacement and stress distributions under a uniform inclined rectangular load on a cross‐anisotropic geomaterial

In practical engineering, an applied rectangular area load is not often horizontally or vertically distributed but is frequently inclined at a certain angle with respect to the horizontal and vertical axes. Thus, the solutions of displacements and stresses due to such a load are essential to the design of foundations. This article yields the analytical solutions of displacements and stresses subjected to a uniform rectangular load that inclines with respect to the horizontal and vertical axes, resting on the surface of a cross‐anisotropic geomaterial. The planes of cross‐anisotropy are assumed to be parallel to the horizontal ground surface. The procedures to derive the solutions can be integrated the modified point load solutions, which are represented by several displacement and stresses elementary functions. Then, upon integrations, the displacement and stress integral functions resulting from a uniform inclined rectangular load for (1) the displacements at any depth, (2) the surface displacements, (3) the average displacements in a given layer, (4) the stresses at any depth, and (5) the average stresses in a given layer are yielded. The proposed solutions are clear and concise, and they can be employed to construct a series of calculation charts. In addition, the present solutions clarify the load inclinations, the dimensions of a loaded rectangle, and the analyzed depths, and the type and degree of geomaterial anisotropy profoundly affect the displacements and stresses in a cross‐anisotropic medium. Parametric results show that the load inclination factor should be considered when an inclined rectangular load uniformly distributed on the cross‐anisotropic material. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Magnetostratigraphy of deep drilling core SG-1 in the western Qaidam Basin (NE Tibetan Plateau) and its tectonic implications

The Qaidam Basin is the largest intermontane basin of the northeastern Tibetan Plateau and contains a continuous Cenozoic sequence of lacustrine sediments. A ~ 1000-m-deep drilling (SG-1) with an average core recovery of ~ 95% was carried out in the depocenter of the Chahansilatu playa (sub-depression) in the western Qaidam Basin, aimed to obtain a high-resolution record of the paleoenvironmental evolution and the erosion history. Stepwise alternating field and thermal demagnetization, together with rock magnetic results, revealed a stable remanent magnetization for most samples, carried by magnetite. The polarity sequence consisted of 16 normal and 15 reverse zones which can be correlated with chrons 1n to 2An of the global geomagnetic polarity time scale. Magnetostratigraphic results date the entire core SG-1 at ~ 2.77 Ma to ~ 0.1 Ma and yielded sediment accumulation rate (SAR) ranging from 26.1 cm/ka to 51.5 cm/ka. Maximum SARs occurred within the intervals of ~ 2.6–2.2 Ma and after ~ 0.8 Ma, indicating two episodes of erosion, which we relate to pulse tectonic uplift of the NE Tibetan Plateau with subsequent global cooling.     

大别山东端早-中侏罗世地层对构造事件的指示

本文通过对安徽桐城挂车河、宿松河塌下-中侏罗统剖面岩石特征、沉积构造、粒度和碎屑组分的分析,揭示了燕山早期大别山隆升和侵蚀的演化历史,并结合构造变形分析,探讨了研究区区域动力学背景。结果显示,两地在早-中侏罗世时期分别为扇三角洲-半深湖和河道-河泛平原沉积,物源都来自北部的大别山。又因为挂车河剖面富含大别山变质碎屑颗粒,而河塌剖面相对缺少,由此提出大别山带南部在早-中侏罗世时期,东南部比西南部隆升较高,而相比大别山北麓的砾石和碎屑组成,则认为大别山北部隆升剥蚀更快,且剧烈。两剖面碰撞造山-火山岛弧和再旋回造山带大洋物质的物源,指示由北向南海沟-岛弧和盆地的构造格局。依据两地断层面和擦痕产状进行古应力分析,显示研究区晚侏罗世受到了燕山主幕近南北向的挤压应力。桐城挂车河的另一近东西向挤压应力可能表明该时期大别山东南部地区已受古太平洋构造的改造。     

Wave propagation in an inhomogeneous cross‐anisotropic medium

Analytical solutions for wave velocities and wave vectors are yielded for a continuously inhomogeneous cross‐anisotropic medium, in which Young's moduli (E, E′) and shear modulus (G′) varied exponentially as depth increased. However, for the rest moduli in cross‐anisotropic materials, ν and ν′ remained constant regardless of depth. We assume that cross‐anisotropy planes are parallel to the horizontal surface. The generalized Hooke's law, strain–displacement relationships, and equilibrium equations are integrated to constitute governing equations. In these equations, displacement components are fundamental variables and, hence, the solutions of three quasi‐wave velocities, V_P, V_SV, and V_SH, and the wave vectors, $\mathop{\mathop{l}\limits^{\rightharpoonup}}\nolimits_{P}$ $\mathop{\mathop{l}\limits^{\rightharpoonup}}\nolimits_{\mathit{SV}}$, and $\mathop{\mathop{l}\limits^{\rightharpoonup}}\nolimits_{{\mathit{SH}}}$, can be generated for the inhomogeneous cross‐anisotropic media. The proposed solutions and those obtained by Daley and Hron, and Levin correlate well with each other when the inhomogeneity parameter, k, is 0. Additionally, parametric study results indicate that the magnitudes and directions of wave velocity are markedly affected by (1) the inhomogeneous parameter, k; (2) the type and degree of geomaterial anisotropy (E/E′, G′/E′, and ν/ν′); and (3) the phase angle, θ. Consequently, one must consider the influence of inhomogeneous characteristic when investigating the behaviors of wave propagation in a cross‐anisotropic medium. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

基流分割在水文计算中的应用——确定泉水流量

本文运用基流分割法确定鱼卡盆地泉水流量,联合水量平衡法还原鱼卡河上站流量系列资料,为鱼卡盆地水资源评价奠定了基础。     

基于地震资料的小断裂检测技术

煤矿安全生产的形势越来越严峻,查明煤层的构造发育情况,特别是小断层及微断裂的发育情况,是目前煤炭工业迫待解决的一大难题。根据煤田中小断层和断面波的特征,有针对性的提出了小断层高分辨率时频谱处理识别技术和基于断面波特征的微断裂识别方法,模型试验和实际地震资料的应用表明,该方法能够充分挖掘地震资料的有效信息,较好的识别出煤田中的小断层和微断裂。     

Facile Conversion of Alcohols to Olefins by Tosylation and Subsequent SiO2-promoted β-elimination

A convenient and effective procedure was developed for the conversion of alcohol to olefin by tosylation and subsequent β-elimination promoted by silica gel in this study. Treatment of the alcohols with p-toluenesulfonyl chloride in pyridine at 0℃ affords tosylates which undergo β-elimination with silica gel in dichloromethane or chloroform at room temperature, yielding olefinswith high productivity.