南海北部a波和b波的生成与传播特征的数值研究

本文基于真实地形、潮汐的高分辨率三维MITgcm海洋环流模式,对南海北部a波（大振幅波列形式）和b波（孤立子形式）的生成与传播特征进行了数值研究。首先,我们总结和分析了这些波动的生成与传播特征。然后我们计算了吕宋海峡的能量收支。能量的生成在一天内有三个极大值,其中最大值对应a波的生成。吕宋海峡西边界的能通量一天内有两个极大值,较大的那个对应a波的生成而另一个对应b波的生成。我们设计了敏感性试验来探究吕宋海峡东西海脊对a、b波的生成和传播造成的影响。通过对比敏感性实验和标准试验的结果,发现对于a波的生成东海脊必不可少,但西海脊几乎没有影响。西海脊削弱了a波的振幅但未对a波波速造成明显的影响。b波来自于从东海脊生成的扰动信号。西海脊加强了这个扰动信号但减慢了它的传播速度。     

基于ConvLSTM的广西短临降水预报

针对传统雷达回波外推算法在快速增长或消散降水过程预报精度较低的问题,利用华南雷达回波拼图资料数据,建立ConvLSTM回波外推模型,对广西区域范围进行短临降水预报研究.采用气象业务中的正确率(POD)、临界成功指数(CSI)及误报率(FAR)评判标准检验预报模型,并将ConvLSTM与光流法的预报结果进行对比分析.结果...     

塔里木盆地库车坳陷烃源岩生成甲烷的动力学参数及其应用

根据压力下黄金管封闭体系热模拟实验结果 ,应用 Kinetics和 GOR- Isotope Kinetics专用软件 ,获得了塔里木盆地库车坳陷三叠系—侏罗系烃源岩的生烃动力学参数及碳同位素动力学参数。库车坳陷侏罗系煤、煤系泥岩及三叠系泥岩热解生成甲烷具有各自的活化能分布范围 ,分别是 197～ 2 6 8k J/ mol、180～ 2 6 0 k J/ mol、2 14～2 89k J/ m ol,频率因子各为 5 .2 6 5× 10 1 3s- 1、9.76 1× 10 1 1 s- 1、2 .2 70× 10 1 4s- 1 ,反映它们的生烃行为有所差异 ;其相应的碳同位素动力学参数也有差别 ,平均活化能分别是 2 2 8k J/ mol、2 0 5 k J/ mol、2 31k J/ mol。在此基础上 ,应用这些动力学参数 ,并结合地质背景 ,进一步探讨了依南 2气藏天然气的成因和运聚成藏模式。研究表明 ,依南 2气藏天然气主要来源于库车坳陷阳霞凹陷中心侏罗系煤系烃源岩 ,主要聚气时间为 5～ 0 Ma,对应 Ro 为 1.2 5 %～ 1.95 % ,天然气散失率为 2 5 %～ 30 %。该研究对塔里木盆地 ,乃至我国其他地区天然气藏的成因评价与成藏过程研究具有参考和借鉴意义。     

南极冰盖内部等时层研究进展综述

南极冰盖内部等时层记录了不同时期冰盖表面的特征及其演变,蕴含了丰富的冰下环境信息。目前,已成为研究大空间尺度与长时间尺度上南极冰盖演化及其底部环境的重要媒介。地球物理观测和数值模拟技术的综合使用,实现了南极冰盖内部等时层在大陆尺度上的可视化。通过这些内部等时层,冰川学研究将南极冰盖内部的古冰流与千年至百万年时间尺度的地貌及冰下环境的变化细节联系起来,得到了一系列数量化的结果。针对南极冰盖,综述产生内部等时层的冰盖动力学物理机理及其在冰川学上的应用,评估在五个方面的运用:(1)深冰芯断代与选址;(2)冰盖动力学过程;(3)冰盖物质平衡;(4)冰盖稳定性;(5)冰下环境。另外,基于对内部等时层的已有认识,对未来在内部等时层研究中可能需要强化的领域进行了归纳:(1)发展更精细描述并测试内部等时层结构时空变化的数值模拟技术框架面临的挑战;(2)如何从内部等时层蕴含的信息推断鉴别以目前南极冰盖作为初始条件的冰盖质量变化;(3)为获得更高分辨率的内部等时层结构图像,得到关于冰盖内部冰体形变与演化的更多数量化信息,如何强化冰盖冰下环境的重复观测。     

Safety assessment for dams of the cascade reservoirs system of Lancang River in extreme situations

Numerous dams have been constructed in the midstream and downstream regions of Lancang River, which form a complex cascade reservoirs system. The safety of dams is critical for water resource management of the whole system. To check the safety of dams, this study used the MIKE 11 model to simulate flood routing along the Lancang River from Xiaowan dam to Jinghong dam under extreme situations of 100-, 500-, 1000-, 5000-, and 10,000-year design floods throughout the whole cascade reservoirs system. The design flood events used as the input for the MIKE 11 model contains the design flood hydrograph of the upstream reservoirs and corresponding flood hydrographs of the intermediate areas. The design flood hydrograph of the upstream reservoirs was obtained using the Equal Frequency Factor Method, and the corresponding flood hydrograph of the intermediate areas was obtained using the Equivalent Frequency Regional Composition Method. The results show that all dams are safe for the 100-, 500-, 1000-, and 5000-year design flood situations throughout the whole cascade reservoirs system, whereas the Manwan and Jinghong dams have a risk of overtopping under a 10,000-year design flood. The curves showing the relationship between the highest water level and return period for the dams are also presented.     

一类非线性系统次优控制的灵敏度法

本文研究一类非线性定常系统的次优控制问题。通过在系统中引入 1个灵敏度参数并将系统变量关于灵敏度参数展开 Maclaurin级数 ,使求解最优控制的非线性两点边值问题化为一族线性两点边值问题。利用截取最优控制级数的有限项求得系统的次优控制律。仿真实例表明 ,该方法对非线性系统次优控制律的设计是有效的     

Characteristic analysis of wind field and sea wave field over the NW Pacific Ocean

The NW Pacific Ocean is not onIy the only transportation way between America andAsia, but also the source influencing on inIand climate and marine variability of adjacentseas in China. Based on ship observation data during l950 - l995 in the NW Pacific,with data from several hundreds to 30 thousand in every 5"x5" grid network, throughanalyzing the monthly mean directions of prevailing wind, wave and swelI, wind speed,pressure, wave height and frequencies of gaIe of 6 and 8 sca1e, high sea…     

Analysis of influencing factors on fine sediment flocculation in the Changjiang Estuary

Based on the test data in dynamic water and static water, the main factors, which influence the fine sediment flocculation, are analyzed with a gray model method of correlation theory. It is shown that the main influencing factors are water temperature, settling time, salinity, grain size, sediment concentration and current velocity according to the correlation coefficients. Among them, the salinity and the sediment grain size are critical type influencing factors (CrTIF); the settling time, the sediment concentration and the velocity are continuous type influencing factors (CoTIF); and the water temperature has the characteristics of both. When the critical values of CrTIF are reached or exceeded, the fine sediments will be flocculated, but values of CrTIF will not influence the settlement strength of floes. The influence of CoTIF is continuous. The values of the CoTIF will not only influence the occurrence of flocculation but also the settlement strength of the floes.     

具有小时滞的线性系统次优控制的无滞后转换法

该文研究线性时滞定常系统的次优控制问题。根据无滞后转换法的思想 ,先引入状态向量的增量 ,将其视为附加扰动输入 ,再利用微分方程的逐次逼近法 ,将既含有时滞项又含有超前项的两点边值问题化为既不含时滞项又不含超前项的两点边值问题族。然后 ,把第 N次逼近得到的控制律近似为系统的最优控制律 ,得到次优控制律。并用实例仿真验证了该算法的有效性。该方法可使小时滞系统的迭代次数大大减少 ,因此尤其适合于小时滞系统的次优控制。     

Processing Multibeam Backscatter Data

A new highly precise source of data has recently become available using multibeam sonar systems in hydrography. Multibeam sonar systems can provide hydrographic quality depth data as well as high-resolution seafloor sonar images. We utilize the seafloor backscatter strength data of each beam from multibeam sonar and the automatic classification technology so that we can get the seafloor type identification maps. In this article, analyzing all kinds of error effects in backscatter strength, data are based on the relationship between backscatter strength and seafloor types. We emphasize particularly analyzing the influences of local bottom slope and near nadir reflection in backscatter strength data. We also give the correction algorithms and results of these two influent factors. After processing the raw backscatter strength data and correcting error effects, we can get processed backscatter strength data which reflect the features of seafloor types only. Applying the processed backscatter strength data and mosaicked seafloor sonar images, we engage in seafloor classification and geomorphy interpretation in future research.