1988年澜沧—耿马大震序列剪切应力值随时间的变化与强余震预报

1988年11月6日澜沧——耿马大震后,在地震现场,利用澜沧地震台记录的2.5≤M_L≤4.9级地震,以清晰的直达P波初动半周期及时估算剪切应力强度,追踪它们随时间的调整变化,并直接用于对后续强余震的预测和序列发展趋势估计。     

动态应力与地震图像变化的相关性初探

列举11个大地震震例研究了发震断层面剪切运动方向与地震活动特征的相关性,提出由震后地震活动条带判断发震断层面走向的方法,结果表明,动态法判定的发震断层面与其它方法判定的发震断层面非常一致。探讨了动态应力场范围、传播和对基本应力场的加强作用,以及动态应力场展布范围与大面积宏观前兆等问题。     

人工重矿物组份的研究法在岩相古地理研究中的应用——以厂坝王家山组浅变质岩系为例

人工重矿物组份的研究,在变质岩地区是一种经常使用的工作方法。因为它对变质岩地区的地层划分与对比、确定母岩区等是十分有效的。此外,在变质岩地区进行沉积相和再造古地理的研究中,它也有不可忽视的作用。这是由于变质岩区的许多原始沉积构造标志大多遭受改造和破坏。有些标志虽尚能辩认,但毕竟有其一定的局限性。而人工重矿物的研究,可以对沉积相观察和分析的结果进行检验和补充。西秦岭大陆边缘沉积学专题组,在对厂坝矿区王家山组的一套浅变质岩系沉积相观察中,利用了人工重砂组份的研究,三年来已取得了不少的成果。一、王家山组沉积和区域古地理的变化特征厂坝矿区,系由一套浅变质岩系组成的含矿地层。根据浅变质岩系的岩性、沉积学及地球化学组合特征,自下而上可划分为三个组。下部为王家山组陆源碎屑岩,中、上部为结晶灰     

A model for solar radio pulsations at short centimetric band

In this paper, the observed solar radio pulsations during the bursts at 9.375 GHz are considered to be excited by some plasma instability. Under the condition of the conservation of energy in the wave-particle interaction, the saturation time of plasma instabilities is inversely proportional to the initial radiation intensity, which may explain why the repetition rate of the pulsations is directly proportional to the radio burst flux at 9.375 GHz as well as 15 GHz and 22 GHz. It is also predicted that the energy released in an individual pulse increases with increasing the flux of radio bursts, the modularity of the pulsations decreases with increasing the flux of radio bursts, these predictions are consistent with the statistical results at 9.375 GHz in different events. The energy density of the non-thermal particles in these events is estimated from the properties of pulsation. For the typical values of the ambient plasma density (10⁹ cm^–3) and the ratio between the nonthermal and ambient electrons (10^–4), the order of magnitude of the energy density and the average energy of the nonthermal electrons is 10^–4 erg/cm³ and 10 kev, respectively. It is interesting that there are two branches in a statistical relation between the repetition rate and the radio burst flux in a special event on March 11–17, 1989, which just corresponds to two different orders of magnitude for the quasi-quantized energy released in these five bursts. This result may be explained by the different ratios between the thermal and the nonthermal radiations.     

基于客流特征的北京地铁站点类型识别

地铁站点是城市各种社会经济活动的关键节点,不同类型的地铁站点在城市中的区域条件、交通功能、土地利用类型等方面均存在差异,科学的站点分类有助于了解城市功能分区及评价轨道交通基础设施建设状况。本文基于2013年3月份14天工作日地铁刷卡客流量数据,运用引入客流特征的时间序列聚类方法,对北京市195个地铁站点进行分类。研究表明：①地铁站点客流量存在时空差异,也是城市功能分区时空差异的表现之一。②通过引入客流特征的时间序列方法,将地铁站点分为居住导向型、就业导向型、职住错位型、错位偏居住型、错位偏就业型、混合型、综合型及其他型8种不同类型。③利用地铁站点客流量数据,是将空间行为和实体空间进行关联比较的有效途径。     

Spatial and temporal variation of drought index in a typical steep alpine terrain in Hengduan Mountains

This study describes the spatial and temporal variation of a drought index and makes inferences regarding the environmental factors that influence this variability in the Hengduan Mountains. A drought index is typically used to determine the moisture conditions and the magnitude of water deficiency in a given area. Based on data from 26 meteorological stations over the period 1960-2012, the spatial and temporal variations of the drought index were analyzed using a thin plate smoothing splines method that considered elevation as a covariate. The drought index was estimated based on the potential evapotranspiration (E₀) as defined by the Penman Monteith model modified by FAO (1998). The results of the reported analysis showed that the drought index in the Hengduan Mountains has been decreasing since 1960 at a rate of -0.008/a. This represented a progressive shift from the "sub-humid" class, which typified the wider area in the Hengduan Mountains, toward the "humid" class, which appeared in the Hengduan Mountains areas. The drought index was relatively high in the north and low in the south and the variation of the drought index varied with seasons. The drought index showed increasing trends in summer and autumn and it is greater in autumn than in summer, while it showed a decreasing trend in spring and winter. Drought index is inversely proportional to the soil relative humidity and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI).     

Effects of dietary carbohydrate-to-lipid ratio on the growth performance and feed utilization of juvenile turbot (<Emphasis Type="Italic">Scophthalmus maximus</Emphasis>)

A 9-week feeding trial was conducted to investigate the effects of dietary carbohydrate to lipid ratio(CHO:LIP) on the growth performance and feed utilization of juvenile turbot Scophthalmus maximus(initial body weight 8.75 g ± 0.04 g). Four isonitrogenous and isoenergetic low protein level(39%) diets were formulated with increasing ratios of dietary carbohydrate to lipid(2:18, 6:18, 18:12 and 28:6). A high protein level(50%) diet with the 2:12 ratio of carbohydrate to lipid was used as the control. Results showed that the survival rate, contents of moisture, crude protein and ash in muscle were not significantly affected by dietary treatments. With the dietary CHO:LIP ratio increased from 2:18 to 18:12, weight gain rate significantly increased(P < 0.05). Higher dietary CHO:LIP ratio(28:6) resulted in the significantly decreased weight gain rate(P < 0.05). Meanwhile, this treatment also resulted in the highest daily feed intake and liver glycogen content, as well as the lowest feed efficiency(P < 0.05). Muscle glycogen content in fish fed the diet with 2:12 or 2:18 CHO:LIP ratio was significantly lower than those fed with the other three diets(P < 0.05). The present results confirmed that the juvenile turbot can utilize carbohydrate. Furthermore, the appropriate ratio of dietary carbohydrate to lipid was important to the growth and feed utilization of turbot. The proper CHO:LIP ratio based on the growth performance in the present study was determined to be 18:12 when the dietary protein level was 39%.     

渗透性与降雨强度对堆积层滑坡稳定性的影响

本文基于非饱和渗流理论及非饱和土的Fredlund双应力变量强度理论,对一沿岩土接触面滑动的堆积层滑坡模型,分别进行了8种条件下的降雨入渗数值模拟试验,研究了不同土体渗透性及降雨强度对滑坡稳定性的影响。结果表明:(1)堆积层滑坡的稳定性与土体的渗透性有密切关系,在降雨后的短期内,土体渗透性越好,滑面孔隙水压力升高越明显,滑坡的稳定性降低程度越大;(2)降雨期间,埋深较浅的滑面,入渗雨水能够较快到达,对滑坡稳定性的影响较大;(3)在相同的降雨时间内,降雨强度越大,滑坡稳定性降低速率越快;(4)降雨强度影响着滑坡发生的滞后性,在降雨总量一定的条件下,若降雨强度较大,雨停后,滑坡稳定性继续下降的程度较大;(5)降雨总量控制着滑坡的最终稳定性。     

四川盆地区域性暴雨过程的识别及时空变化特征

利用四川盆地104个县级气象站逐日降水量资料,建立了新的四川盆地区域性暴雨过程识别方法,并分析了其时空变化特征。研究结果表明:新的区域性暴雨过程识别方法可以排除孤立暴雨站点的影响,快速准确的识别出区域性暴雨过程。1961—2013年四川盆地共计发生区域性暴雨过程216次,与历史灾情资料在发生时间、范围和强度上都有很好的对应关系。1961—2013年四川盆地区域性暴雨过程次数呈逐渐减少的趋势。区域性暴雨过程综合强度在1991—2013年波动幅度有所增大,并出现逐渐增强的趋势,这可能与区域性暴雨过程持续时间变长和累积雨量增加有关。使用旋转正交函数(REOF)方法对区域性暴雨过程频数进行分区研究,发现最常见的是盆西北型,其次是盆东北型,盆南型出现频次相对最少。3种类型的区域性暴雨过程随时间变化差异明显,尤其近20年盆西北型有逐渐减少的趋势,盆东北型有逐渐增多的趋势,而盆南型则无明显的变化趋势。