天然地震数值模拟与实例对比

为了解决长时间正演模拟的不稳定性问题, 实现天然地震波场长时间数值模拟.在高阶有限差分数值模拟的基础上, 给出了多轴向完全匹配吸收边界(M-PML)二维划分方式, 讨论了M-PML吸收边界转换系数P的取值对其吸收能力与截断误差对数值模拟有效信号的影响.实现了二维弹性波高阶有限差分的长时间数值模拟.采用2013年12月16日湖北省巴东县地震及余震信息, 对该地震数据进行了数值模拟, 并与武汉、秭归两台站数据进行了分析和讨论, 验证该正演模拟方法的正确性和有效性.为天然地震波场传播规律、成像和震相识别及震源定位等研究提供了基础.      

极化方位角补偿信息支持下的植被参数反演

SAR图像中散射目标的散射矩阵受极化方位角(POA)的影响会改变散射体的散射特性,散射矩阵是极化干涉SAR (PolInSAR)估计不同极化状态下复相干性的基础。本文根据极化方位角产生机制,建立了多视情况下基于极化方位角补偿的极化干涉相干性估计模型,分析了极化方位角补偿对相干性估计方法和不同散射机制下相干性估计的影响程度,研究了基于三阶段法与极化方位角补偿的植被参数反演。利用L波段SIRC全极化SAR图像为实验数据验证极化方位角补偿对极化干涉相干性估计和植被参数反演的可行性。实验结果表明,极化方位角补偿能够改变不同极化状态相干性分布规律,提高相干直线拟合精度,改善植被参数反演的可靠性和合理性。     

汉江上游晏家棚段全新世古洪水研究

通过对汉江上游详尽的野外考察,在湖北郧县晏家棚河段全新世黄土—古土壤地层中发现3层典型古洪水滞流沉积物。在沉积学的基础上,使用OSL技术断代,确定3期特大洪水事件分别在1 000~900 a BP,1 800~1 600 a BP和3 200~2 800 a BP期间发生。采用"古洪水SWD尖灭点高程法"确定这3期古洪水事件的洪峰水位介于176.20~176.73 m。运用Arc GIS耦合HEC-RAS水力模型,推求这3期古洪水事件的洪峰流量介于53 770~55 950 m3/s,并从多种角度验证了该模型计算结果的科学性和合理性。将此结果与实测洪水和历史洪水资料接续,构成万年尺度洪水水文数据序列,得到汉江上游晏家棚河段万年一遇和千年一遇洪水的流量分别为59 100和45 200m3/s。采用HEC-RAS模型对研究河段进行古洪水模拟,方法科学,结果可靠。将该河段洪水水文数据序列有效地延长到万年尺度,极大地提高了设计洪水的可靠性。     

可靠性空间分析初探

从工程和生命科学的可靠性概念出发,结合地理信息科学的自身特点,强调空间数据及分析的全过程质量和分析结果的决策可用性。首次给出了可靠性空间分析的概念,分析了可靠性空间分析的特点、面临的主要问题和研究方法,探讨了可靠性空间分析的主要理论、研究方向和应用领域,促进了空间分析从不确定性研究向可靠性空间分析方向的发展。     

中国建设用地变化的空间分异特征

采用变异系数、希尔指数与空间自相关方法对我国2002—2008年建设用地变化的区域差异及空间相关性进行了探讨。结果显示:(1)2002—2008年我国区域建设用地的变化差异总体上呈减小趋势,但区域差异仍较为明显。(2)我国区域建设用地的增长呈现明显的空间二元结构,东部地区"高高"聚集,西部地区"低低"聚集。当前我国土地利用处于"倒U"型变化曲线的顶部区域,土地利用的压力依然很大,应根据土地利用变化的差异性及空间相关性,科学地制定区域土地供给政策。     

Holocene environmental change inferred from the loess–palaeosol sequences adjacent to the floodplain of the Yellow River, China

Chinese loess deposits are generally considered to be the product of dust storms and dust falls from the central Asia arid zones that were transported across China by the northwesterly continental monsoon. In contrast, the Zhengzhou Loess found southeast of the Loess Plateau, adjacent to the floodplain of the Yellow River, records a different eolian regime and dust source. The Zhengzhou Loess was investigated by field observations, measurements of magnetic susceptibility, particle-size distribution, loss-on-ignition, CaCO₃ and chemical contents. Both field observations and the laboratory results indicate that, during the last glacial, the Zhengzhou Loess was supplied by two different eolian regimes and dust sources, one was from the fresh flood deposits of the Yellow River driven by the northeast winds from the low-lying floodplain, and the other was from the dust storms and dust falls that traveled across the Loess Plateau driven by the northwesterly continental monsoon from the central Asian arid lands. The early Holocene, 11,500–8500 a BP, was a transition during the change in eolian regime and dust source because of the weakened northwesterly monsoon along with the global climatic amelioration. Following the retreat of the northwesterly monsoon from the onset of the mid-Holocene Climatic Optimum at 8500 a BP, dust supply from the drifting sand zone on the Yellow River floodplain became dominant because of the intensified strength of the northeast winds from the Bohai Sea. From 3100 a BP onwards, climatic aridity and extensive human disturbance have resulted in intensive eolian processes causing the incursion of the drifting sand into the Zhengzhou Loess zone. These results show that loess accumulation is more complex than traditionally assumed. The origin of loess deposits elsewhere outside the Loess Plateau may be related to dust sources derived from alluvial sediments of major river systems.