中小型水库建设用地地质灾害评估内容与方法——以四川通江县二郎庙水库为例

以通江县二郎庙水库建设用地地质灾害危险性评估为例,介绍类似的中、小型水库工程建设用地地质灾害危险性评估的内容与方法.     

An exploratory analysis of benthic macroinvertebrates as indicators of the ecological status of the Upper Yellow and Yangtze Rivers

This study presents findings of the first systematic analysis of aquatic biotic assemblages in the source region of the Yellow and Yangtze Rivers. It provides an initial basis with which to select representative organisms as indicators to assess the aquatic ecological status of rivers in this region. Macroinvertebrates are considered to be good indicators of long-term environmental changes due to their restricted range and persistence over time. Field investigations of macroinvertebrates were conducted in August 2009 in the source region of the Yellow River, and in July 2010 in the source region of the Yangtze River. Altogether 68 taxa of macroinvertebrates belonging to 29 families and 59 genera were identified. Among them were 8 annelids, 5 mollusks, 54 arthropods and 1 other animal. In the source region of the Yellow River, taxa number, density and biomass of macroinvertebrates were 50, 329 individuals m2 and 0.3966 g dry weight m2, respectively. Equivalent figures for the source region of the Yangtze River were 29, 59 individuals m2 and 0.0307 g dry weight m-2. The lower benthic animal resources in the source region of the Yangtze River are ascribed to higher altitude, higher sediment concentration and wetland degradation. Preliminary findings of this exploratory study indicate that hydroelectric power stations had a weak impact on benthic dwellers but wetland degradation caused by a series of human activities had a catastrophic impact on survival of macroinvertebrates. Ecological protection measures such as conservative grazing and vegetation management are required to minimize grassland degradation and desertification, and reduce soil erosion rate and river sediment discharge.     

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蚌埠地震台测震干扰分析及处理

对蚌埠地震台测震数据中的干扰信号进行分析,并对其进行滤波处理,结果表明,根据干扰源特性分别设计相应的滤波器,能够解决台站测震数据受到的干扰,达到了预期的效果。     

高频GPS数据的单点精密定位法在测震学中的应用

使用武汉大学提供的PANDA软件,对高频GPS数据利用非差精密定位方法进行处理。对观测点记录到的代表不同震级及震中距的几个地震的高频GPS数据分析结果和地震仪进行同震效应的对比分析。结果表明:GPS可以很好的测量地震时期的地震波信号,同时对地表的永久性位移也有一定的反映,可以发展成为新型的GPS地震仪。GPS高频数据对于震级大、震源深的地震其捕获能力更强。GPS高频数据可以对测点强震仪起到很好的补充作用,但其处理软件的精度和模型还有待于进一步的提高。     

Flood season segmentation based on the probability change-point analysis technique

Abstract

The segmentation of flood seasons has both theoretical and practical importance in hydrological sciences and water resources management. The probability change-point analysis technique is applied to segmenting a defined flood season into a number of sub-seasons. Two alternative sampling methods, annual maximum and peaks-over-threshold, are used to construct the new flow series. The series is assumed to follow the binomial distribution and is analysed with the probability change-point analysis technique. A Monte Carlo experiment is designed to evaluate the performance of proposed flood season segmentation models. It is shown that the change-point based models for flood season segmentation can rationally partition a flood season into appropriate sub-seasons. China's new Three Gorges Reservoir, located on the upper Yangtze River, was selected as a case study since a hydrological station with observed flow data from 1882 to 2003 is located 40 km downstream of the dam. The flood season of the reservoir can be reasonably divided into three sub-seasons: the pre-flood season (1 June–2 July); the main flood season (3 July–10 September); and the post-flood season (11–30 September). The results of flood season segmentation and the characteristics of flood events are reasonable for this region.

Citation Liu, P., Guo, S., Xiong, L. & Chen, L. (2010) Flood season segmentation based on the probability change-point analysis technique. Hydrol. Sci. J. 55(4), 540–554.     

固定模糊度的精密单点定位几何定轨方法及结果分析

传统的基于PPP(precise point positioning)模式的定轨方法采用浮点解,导致其定轨精度及可靠性较双差固定解稍差。为了进一步提高PPP模式事后定轨的精度和可靠性,利用2012年1月2～7日全球IGS跟踪站数据计算出当天所有卫星的宽巷和窄巷FCB产品,实现了GRACE卫星固定PPP整数模糊度的精密定轨。并将定轨结果分别与GFZ事后精密轨道、K波段测距结果进行比较,分析其内外符合精度。实验结果表明:与GFZ提供的事后精密轨道相比,GRACE-A卫星单天轨道固定解的精度为R方向2～3cm,T方向大部分优于2cm,N方向优于2cm,较之浮点解的定轨结果3个方向分别改善了约19%、30%、50%;GRACE-B卫星3个方向精度分别为2～3cm、2cm左右、1～2cm,较之浮点解各方向也有同等程度的改善。与K波段测距结果相比,浮点解的KBR残差STD均值为22.6mm,固定解为16.4mm,比浮点解提高了约28%。可见,PPP模糊度固定解明显改善了低轨卫星的定轨精度,能提供更可靠的轨道服务。     

基于RIA的气象信息网络发布关键技术

通过分析气象数据的特点和RIA(Rich Internet Application)技术的优势,为实现气象影像数据的高效发布,对网络地图发布的关键技术进行了详细的研究。主要包括缓存切片的分层分块规则建立,影像数据瓦片缓存目录构建,动态切片生成技术,Flex客户端地图展示技术。结果表明:与传统基于Web的地图发布技术相比,RIA技术具有界面元素丰富,交互响应快,大数据量显示效率高的优势。此外,还能够在改变地图缩放级别时,实现地图数据的快速加载和无缝拼接,这为后续气象GIS平台的开发以及高效运行奠定了基础。     

宽巷载波相位模糊度小数偏差时变特性分析

对使用序贯最小二乘估计非差宽巷FCB的方法进行论述,指出其不足在于事先假定了单天内的(接收机端和卫星端)宽巷FCB稳定不变,而对其时变性质缺少讨论与分析。处理了全球350个IGS测站共10d的GPS观测数据,从站星非差FCB、站间单差FCB序列两方面对接收机端宽巷FCB的时变特性进行详细的分析和讨论。数据处理结果表明:①在没有周跳的连续弧段内非差宽巷FCB的历元平滑结果具有较好的稳定性,使用不少于90个历元(45min)的数据即可收敛到0.1周以内保持精度稳定,因此,建议计算非差宽巷FCB的最短弧段不应少于45min;②接收机端宽巷FCB在每一天内随时间变化速率不一样,一天内最大变化量可以达到0.3周,并且接收机重启会使其重新赋值,破坏FCB值的连续性。关于接收机端宽巷FCB时变特性的分析表明文献[4—5]等的序贯最小二乘法所依据的假设前提并不可靠。为获得更高精度的非差卫星宽巷FCB估值,对于接收机重新启动的观测数据,需要新增一个接收机FCB参数;而对于接收机FCB的时变特性,可以在估计时将其作为随机游走过程进行估计。     

Assessment of correct fixing rate for precise point positioning ambiguity resolution on a global scale

Ambiguity resolution (AR) for a single receiver has been a popular topic in Global Positioning System (GPS) recently. Ambiguity-resolution methods for precise point positioning (PPP) have been well documented in recent years, demonstrating that it can improve the accuracy of PPP. However, users are often concerned about the reliability of ambiguity-fixed PPP solution in practical applications. If ambiguities are fixed to wrong integers, large errors would be introduced into position estimates. In this paper, we aim to assess the correct fixing rate (CFR), i.e., number of ambiguities correctly fixing to the total number of ambiguities correctly and incorrectly fixing, for PPP user ambiguity resolution on a global scale. A practical procedure is presented to evaluate the CFR of PPP user ambiguity resolution. GPS data of the first 3 days in each month of 2010 from about 390 IGS stations are used for experiments. Firstly, we use GPS data collected from about 320 IGS stations to estimate global single-differenced (SD) wide-lane and narrow-lane satellite uncalibrated phase delays (UPDs). The quality of UPDs is evaluated. We found that wide-lane UPD estimates have a rather small standard deviation (Std) between 0.003 and 0.004 cycles while most of Std of narrow-lane estimates are from 0.01 to 0.02 cycles. Secondly, many experiments have been conducted to investigate the CFR of integer ambiguity resolution we can achieve under different conditions, including reference station density, observation session length and the ionospheric activity. The results show that the CFR of PPP can exceed 98.0 % with only 1 h of observations for most user stations. No obvious correlation between the CFR and the reference station density is found. Therefore, nearly homogeneous CFR can be achieved in PPP AR for global users. At user end, higher CFR could be achieved with longer observations. The average CFR for 30-min, 1-h, 2-h and 4-h observation is 92.3, 98.2, 99.5 and 99.7 %, respectively. In order to get acceptable CFR, 1 h is a recommended minimum observation time. Furthermore, the CFR of PPP can be affected by diurnal variation and geomagnetic latitude variation in the ionosphere. During one day at the hours when rapid ionospheric variations occur or in low geomagnetic latitude regions where equatorial electron density irregularities are produced relatively frequently, a significant degradation of the CFR is demonstrated.