短临地震前兆空间非均匀性的定量研究

利用《中国震例》中总结出的短临前兆资料 ,计算了华北地区 1 969～ 1 983年间发生的 1 3次 5级以上地震前各类短临前兆空间群体分布的 CV 值。结果表明 ,震前短临前兆数≥ 6次的 8个震例中 ,有 6个震前短临前兆空间分布的 CV 值明显高于二维连续空间随机均匀分布的 CV值 ,说明短临地震前兆空间分布具有明显的非均匀性。     

A CASE STUDY OF FRONTAL CYCLOGENESIS AND ITS SENSITIVITY TO COASTAL INITIAL CONDITIONS

In this study,the predictability and physical processes leading to the rapid frontal cyclogenesis,that took place in the east coast of the U.S.during 3—4 October 1987,are examined using a nested-grid.mesoscale model with a fine-mesh grid size of 25km.It is shown that the model reproducesreasonably well the cyclogenesis in a coastal baroclinic zone.its subsequent deepening and movementas well as the pertinent precipitation.It is found that the frontal cyclogenesis occurs in a favorablelarge-scale environment with pronounced thermal advection in the lower troposphere and markedpotential vorticity(PV)concentration aloft associated with the tropopause depression.The transportof warm and moist air from the marine boundary layer by the low-level in-shore flow provides thenecessary energy source for the observed heavy precipitation and a variety of weather phenomenareported in the cold sector.Several 24-h sensitivity simulations are performed to examine the relative importance of diabaticheating,adiabatic dynamics and various initial conditions in the frontal cyclogenesis.It is found thatlatent heat release,even though quite intense,accounts for only 25% of the cyclone's total deepeningin this case:the weak impact seems due to the occurrence of latent heating in the cold sector and theupward lifting of the dynamical tropopause by diabatic updrafts.Vorticity budgets show that the low-level thermal advection dominates the incipient stage,whereas the vorticity advection determines therapid deepening rate at the mature stage.The results reveal that the predictability of the presentstorm is closely related to the vertical coupling between the surface cyclone and the upper-level PVcore,which is in turn determined by initial offshore perturbations in the lower troposphere.     

A CONVECTIVE RAINFALL ESTIMATE TECHNIQUE DEVELOPED BY NSMC OF CHINA

In order to reveal the relation between strong convective cloud characteristics and rainfall rate,over 20000 hourly raingauge data from 333 weather stations and the corresponding 4000 convectivecloud infrared images of GMS-4 during the period of 1992—1994 in Henan,Hubei and SichuanProvinces were studied.The results show that cloud top temperature,temperature gradient,thegrowth of cloud,overshooting top and the normalized distance between a cloud covering pixels and thecluster center have certain relations to cloud precipitation.These relations can vary with differentgeographical regions.Based on the study above,a convective rainfall estimation technique wasdeveloped by the scientists in National Satellite Meteorological Center of China.Its average error is30% for daily precipitation with a correlation coefficient of 0.69.     

DISTRIBUTION OF AEROSOL EXTINCTION IN THE LOWER TROPOSPHERE BY MICRO-PULSE LIDAR OBSERVATION

The profiles of aerosol extinction coefficients are investigated by micro-pulse lidar(MPL)combined with the meteorological data in the lower troposphere at Meteorological ResearchInstitute(MRI).Japan.Larger extinction values of aerosol are demonstrated in the nocturnalstable air layer with larger Richardson number,and light wind velocities are favorable for aerosolconcentrating in the planetary boundary layer(PBL).But aerosol extinction coefficients showlarger values over the altitudes of 2.0 to 5.0km where correspond to higher relative humidity(RH).The tops of PBL identified by the aerosol extinction profiles almost agree with ones byradiosonde data.The diurnal variations of aerosol extinction profiles are clearly displayed,intensive aerosol layers usually are formed over the period of mid-morning to 1400 Loeal Time(LT).then elapse in the cloudless late afternoon and nighttime.Thermal eonvection or turbulenttransport from the surfaee probably dominates these temporal and spatial changes of aerosoldistribution.     

Experimental study on countermeasure against liquefaction-induced flotation of manhole using recycled materials packed in sandbags

The 2004 Niigata-ken Chuetsu earthquake in Japan caused serious damage to sewage facilities such as uplift of manholes and settlement of pavement above backfill soil for pipes.This paper deals with shake table tests in a 1 g gravity field on application of recycled materials for ground improvement to mitigation of liquefaction-induced flotation of manhole during earthquakes.The recycled materials used in tests were tire chips made of waste tires and crushed gravels made of waste reinforced concrete,and they were packed in sandbags.From the test results,it was confirmed that the recycled materials packed in sandbags could be treated as one of the countermeasures to restrain the flotation of manholes and settlement of ground surrounded by sandbags.     

Spherical pattern of tide-isostasy model and its application

1Sphericalpatternoftide-isostasymodelThe criterion of strong tide is simultaneous occur-rence of lunar perigean, solar the and lunar tide. If two of them concur simultaneously, it belongs to stronger tide. If three of them(or the former two)simultaneous-l…     

断层模型在火山区形变和重力反演中的应用

利用腾冲火山区1998～2002年的垂直形变和重力测量资料，应用多元Mogi模型对测区的等效岩浆房位置及大小进行了反演计算，得出了最佳拟合值。但当对形变和重力资料联合分析时却发现：实测重力数据比用球形Mogi模型计算所得的值要大得多。为了对此进行合理的解释，提出了断层模型。当岩浆沿断层上升时，充填了断层中原先存在的大量空隙．因而可以只对重力产生影响．而不对形变产生影响。为此沿断层积分得出上升岩浆所产生的重力异常，其结果与实测重力资料拟合得较好。同时断层模型也对负的岩浆源(即岩浆的流失)作出了较为合理的解释。     

Optical Photometric Observations of 7-Ray Loud Blazars

We report results of our optical photometric observations of ten gamma-ray loud blazers, namely: 0219+428 (3C66A), PKS 0420-014 (OA 129), S5 0716+714, 0754+100 (OI 090.4), 0827+243 (OJ248), 1652+398 (Mrk 501), 2200+420 (BL Lacertae), 2230+114 (CTA 102), 2251+158 (3C 454.3) and 2344+514. The observations were carried out in September-October, 2000 using the 70 cm optical telescope at Abstumani Observatory, Georgia. We found intra-day variations in 0420-014, S5 0716+714, BL Lacertae and CTA 102. A variation of 0.3 magnitude over a time scale of about 3 hours was observed in the R passband in BL Lacertae on JD 2451827. We did not detect any variation in 3C 66A, Mrk 501, or 3C 454.3 during our observations. Nor did we detect any clear evidence of variation in 1ES 2344+514 during our two weeks' observing run of the TeV gamma-ray source.     

Gamma-ray Emission from the γ-ray-loud BL Lac Objects

1 INTaoDUCTIONMany blazar-boe active galedes have recelltly been detected in MeVGeV 7-ray energyrange by detectors on board the Compton Ganuna-Ray Obsewtory (Von Mootigny et al. 1995;Hartman et al. 1999). More recently, TeV ends8ion is obsemd in some object8, such as Mrk421 (z = 0.031, Punch et al. l992), Mrk 501 (z = 0.034, Qbo et al. 1996), 1ES 2344 514(z == 0.044, Catanese et al. 1998), PKS 2155304 (z = 0.117, Chadwick et al. 1999), and1ES 1959 650 (z = 0.048, NisWa 1999). Th…     

星系大尺度本动速度

本文从高斯型的初始质量密度扰动出发,采用球对称演化模型计算了星系大尺度本动速度随尺度的分布。采用这样一种模型可以避免通常流体模型中线性增长以及窗函数的假设,对不同的宇宙物质主导成分的讨论表明,在各种情况下本动速度的期待值v_p在大尺度上的分布是随着尺度的增大而逐渐减小,这与流体模型以及宇宙弦模型下的趋势是一致的,但对所有参数的可能取值所作的计算表明,理论结果很难解释Dressler等人在r～60h~(-1)Mpc的尺度上观测到的大的本动速度,这很可能是由于在本星系群(LG)之外r 60h~(-1)Mpc的远处存在着一个大质量的物质凝聚区域。