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GRAPES集合卡尔曼滤波资料同化系统Ⅰ:系统设计及初步试验 总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5
集合卡尔曼滤波资料同化方法,可以用集合样本统计出随天气形势变化的误差协方差,是当前资料同化领域的研究热点。主要介绍了GRAPES集合卡尔曼滤波资料同化系统的设计以及初步的试验结果。针对集合卡尔曼滤波同化实际观测资料难以实施的问题,采用成批观测同化的顺序同化方法进行多变量的集合卡尔曼滤波同化;为了滤除有限集合数造成的误差相关噪音和缓解求逆矩阵不满秩的问题,在水平和垂直方向都采用了Schur滤波;建立了与GRAPES预报模式的垂直坐标和预报变量一致的模式面集合卡尔曼滤波系统;集合样本的生成考虑了模式变量的空间相关和模式变量之间的相关,通过利用三维变分分析中的控制变量变换得到模式变量扰动场。通过比较GRAPES集合卡尔曼滤波资料同化系统和GRAPES区域三维变分资料同化系统的单点观测资料同化分析结果,对比背景误差相关系数的分布,验证了GRAPES集合卡尔曼滤波系统的正确性。此外,同化区域探空观测资料试验结果表明,GRAPES集合卡尔曼滤波资料同化系统能够得到合理的分析,并且具有实际运行能力。对分析结果进行12h预报表明,GRAPES集合卡尔曼滤波资料同化系统的分析协调性不如三维变分资料同化系统。 相似文献
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Ma Wentao~ Xu Changpeng~ Yuan Jingli~ Li Hai’ou~ Xu Xiwei~ Zhang Xindong~ Zhang Lanfeng~ 《中国地震研究》2011,25(3):273-285
In accordance with the requirements of the National Key Technology R&D Program of the 11th "Five-year Plan",a densified seismic network consisting of 26 seismic stations was established at the Three Gorges Reservoir area in the section of Hubei Province in March 2009(21 short-period seismographs,5 broadband digital seismographs).From March to December,2009,a total of 2,995 ML-0.8~2.9 earthquakes were detected during the trial impounding of the Three Gorges Reservoir(water level rose from 145 m to 172.8m).Using the double difference earthquake location algorithm,2,837 earthquakes were precisely re-located.The results show that the pattern of small local earthquake swarms in the Three Gorges Reservoir area took on a linear distribution or mass-like cluster distribution,the mass-like clusters of events were generally within a distance of 5 km from waterfront,and the linear distribution of the earthquakes could be extended to a distance of 16 km away from the waterfront.In the Hubei section of the Three Gorges Reservoir,earthquakes were mainly concentrated in the northern end of the Xiannvshan and Jiuwanxi faults near the Xiangxihe River,and along the banks of the Yangtze River at the west of Xietan township and the Shenlongxi area on the northern bank in the Badong region,with focal depths less than 10km,and 4km in average.Earthquake frequency in the reservoir region had a positive correlation with reservoir water level fluctuations,indicating that the seismicity belongs to reservoir induced earthquakes.Along the Shenlong River in the reservoir area,earthquakes showed three linear distributions in the northern Badong county,and distributed according to Karst distribution.There are underground rivers in the carbonate strata.When the reservoir was impounded,water permeated into the underground rivers,thus inducing earthquakes.Earthquakes in the areas on the cross-river segment of Xiannvshan fault,the Jiuwanxi fault and at the areas west of Xietan,Shazhen and Xizhen,may be related to the softening of discontinuities,such as the Nukou fault,the Xiannvshan fault,or the bedding joints,which would lead to failure of rock masses,thus,inducing earthquakes.However,convincing conclusions about the triggering mechanism still need further study.Additionally,near the areas south of Wenhua and Yanglin of Zigui county and at Rangkou town east of Badong county,mining-induced earthquakes occurred at the mines nearby,and on the shores of the reservoir are some collapse earthquakes. 相似文献
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Feng Bao Yingjie Zha Zhenjie Wang Mengcheng National Geophysical Observatory School of Earth Space Sciences University of Science Technology of China Hefei China 《地震学报(英文版)》2011,(2):229-237
To better understand repeatability of strong earthquakes in previously ruptured zones during one seismogenic period, we studied the rupture zones of the doublet of M6 earthquakes in Zhongba region of southcentral Tibet, China, in 11 July 2004 and 7 April 2005, respectively. We focused on the overlapping degree of two strong quakes’ aftershock areas one week after the mainshocks by using the SQH station in China Seismic Network and a 68-stations temporary broadband seismic array, a part of the international ... 相似文献
547.
Michael H.Ritzwoller 《地震学报(英文版)》2011,(1):55-64
We discuss two array-based tomography methods,ambient noise tomography (ANT) and two-planewave earthquake tomography (TPWT),which are capable of taking advantage of emerging large-scale broadband seismic arrays to generate high resolution phase velocity maps,but in complementary period band:ANT at 8-40 s and TPWT at 25-100 s period.Combining these two methods generates surface wave dispersion maps from 8 to 100 s periods,which can be used to construct a 3D v S model from the surface to ~200 km depth.As an i... 相似文献
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提出了一种基于空间微分块与动态球判定策略的k近邻快速搜索算法。该算法以空间包围盒为基础,首先对空间进行微分块,将离散点分配到子空间;然后,以计算点为球心建立动态球,确定k近邻候选点。球半径可根据空间包围盒的大小、离散点数量和k近邻点数进行估算和优化。实验结果表明,该算法可快速完成k近邻搜索,运行稳定可靠。 相似文献
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在俄罗斯达吉斯坦共和国早白垩世地层中,极少见到菊石化石,但是可以利用地层中腕足动物化石组合为基础划分贝利阿斯阶(Berriasian)、凡兰吟阶(Valanginian)、上下欧特里夫维阶(Lower and Uppet Hauterivian)和下巴雷姆阶(Lower Barremian)地层. 相似文献