Study of statistically correcting model CMAQ-MOS for forecasting regional air quality

Based on analysis of the air pollution observational data at 8 observation sites in Beijing including outer suburbs during the period from September 2004 to March 2005, this paper reveals synchronal and in-phase characteristics in the spatial and temporal variation of air pollutants on a city-proper scale at deferent sites; describes seasonal differences of the pollutant emission influence between the heating and non-heating periods, also significantly local differences of the pollutant emission influence between the urban district and outer suburbs, i.e. the spatial and temporal distribution of air pollutant is closely related with that of the pollutant emission intensity. This study shows that due to complexity of the spatial and temporal distribution of pollution emission sources, the new generation Community Multi-scale Air Quality (CMAQ) model developed by the EPA of USA produced forecasts, as other models did, with a systematic error of significantly lower than observations, albeit the model has better capability than previous models had in predicting the spatial distribution and variation tendency of multi-sort pollutants. The reason might be that the CMAQ adopts average amount of pollutant emission inventory, so that the model is difficult to objectively and finely describe the distribution and variation of pollution emission sources intensity on different spatial and temporal scales in the areas, in which the pollution is to be forecast. In order to correct the systematic prediction error resulting from the average pollutant emission inventory in CMAQ, this study proposes a new way of combining dynamics and statistics and establishes a statistically correcting model CMAQ-MOS for forecasts of regional air quality by utilizing the relationship of CMAQ outputs with corresponding observations, and tests the forecast capability. The investigation of experiments presents that CMAQ-MOS reduces the systematic errors of CMAQ because of the uncertainty of pollution emission inventory and improves the forecast level of air quality. Also this work employed a way of combining point and area forecasting, i.e. taking the products of CMAQ for a center site to forecast air pollution for other sites in vicinity with the scheme of model products "reanalysis" and average over the "area".     

森林沼泽景观区中大比例尺化探找矿工作方法的研究--记大梁金矿的发现

大梁金矿是通过森林沼泽景观区开展1：50000和1：25000地球化学测量及综合地质工作而发现的,证明采用的森林沼泽景观中大比例尺化探方法是行之有效的.     

沙南凹陷古近系中深层砂岩储层特征与岩性油气藏勘探

渤海湾盆地沙南凹陷陡坡带古近系沙河街组二段发育辫状河三角洲相砂岩储集层,该储层受构造位置、埋藏速率、古地温变化、断裂作用的影响,在不同构造区特别是中深层,其物性具有明显的差异性。笔者等利用钻井、测井、地震及分析化验等资料,对中深层砂岩储层沉积相、成岩作用及孔隙演化特征进行研究,提出优质储层的主控因素及演化规律。结果表明,研究区中深层砂岩以岩屑长石砂岩为主,孔隙以粒间溶孔、粒内溶孔为主,储层存在中孔中渗型、中孔低渗型、低孔低渗型和低孔特低渗型4类,且以中孔低渗型为主。储层孔隙总体比较发育,储层整体表现为中等孔隙度、中等渗透率,储层物性较好。对区内优质储层发育的控制因素进行研究表明,富含石英、长石的物源区母岩是区内优质储层发育的物质基础,三角洲分流河道沉积相是优质储层发育的主要沉积相类型,成岩晚期方解石胶结物经过强溶蚀作用是优质储层发育的关键因素。对中深层优质储层时空演化规律分析表明,沙南凹陷南次洼曹妃甸14- e构造区发育辫状河三角洲相砂体,且这些砂体都位于有效烃源岩内,油气运聚条件优越,所以岩性油气藏勘潜力较大。已钻井也证明了区内厚油层的存在,说明该区是沙南凹陷岩性油气藏勘探最有利场所。     

Molecular characterization and expression of the SiUCP2 gene in sea urchin Strongylocentrotus intermedius

Uncoupling protein 2 (UCP2) is a proton transporter located in the inner mitochondrial membrane, and inhibits the formation of adenosine triphosphate and reacti...     

Slope stability FEM analysis and retaining wall design: a case study of clinker in Benxi of Liaoning

Stability is always the most important problem after high slope was excavated. The study analyzed the stress and strain inside the slope by Finite Element Method (FEM) and carried through stress distribution and failure zone, then analyzed the stability of the slope using three different methods and came to the conclusion that it is in unstable condition, so the designed retaining wall was put forward which makes the slope stable.     

灰岩碳氧同位素特征与隐伏花岗岩的关系——以栗木水溪庙矿区为例

对栗木水溪庙矿区泥盆系上统融县组灰岩的碳氧同位素进行了研究,该地区灰岩的碳氧同位素组成可提供隐伏花岗岩隆起及其相关流体的重要信息。受隐伏花岗岩侵入驱动的流体与上覆融县组灰岩发生反应的温度在110℃左右,流体的初始同位素组成为δ18OSMOW=-3‰,δ13CPDB≤-7‰,反应的水岩比值（w/r）可能小于5。这种岩浆水与大气降水的混合流体与围岩之间的水岩反应使得地表灰岩的δ18O和δ13C值降低,产生负异常。研究表明,围岩的δ18O值降低受反应的水岩比值和温度控制;δ13C值降低主要与反应的水岩比值有关。反应的温度越高,w/r值越大,灰岩的碳氧同位素负异常越明显。因此,水溪庙矿区地表出露的碳酸盐地层中的碳氧同位素变化可在地球化学勘查中用于指示下伏花岗岩岩脊的隐伏位置。     

基于粗糙集理论与遗传规划的地表下沉系数预测研究

利用粗糙集理论处理大数据量.消除冗余信息等方面的优势,计算出下沉系数各影响因素的属性重要性,约简了遗传规划训练样本集,建立了基于粗糙集和遗传规划的地表下沉系数预测模型。并与BP神经网络法预测结果进行了对比,结果表明,本模型具有精度高,收敛速度快等特点,将其应用到地表下沉系数预测中是可行的。     

西秦岭杨河-固城一带原“泥盆系“中发现早石炭世化石

西秦岭武山杨河礼县固城一带的原"泥盆纪"地层中,发现了大量属于早石炭世的牙形刺、珊瑚和有孔虫化石,为该区地层的重新划分提供了直接的证据.这对于重新认识该区乃至整个西秦岭地区石炭纪古地理格局、地质演化历史、沉积相和沉积环境等都有重要的意义.     

云南锅底塘东邻唐家坝组＼“大老堡组”界线层型

“云南麻栗坡地区矿产远景调查”及与之匹配的“越北古陆北缘地质构造演化及其成矿效应研究”中,经实测剖面和填图扫面,以“岩石地层单位填图”的要义比照,测区晚寒武世及相涉延及早奥陶世早期的岩石地层单位序列宜为：唐家坝组＼“大老堡组”＼博菜田组。其中,“大老堡组”为新拟建增设单位,也导致相关临叠地层单位现在定义和分割界面的更新。介绍唐家坝组＼“大老堡组”界线层型及其层型界面所反映的沉积环境转换面属性,上、下邻叠岩层联合构成的标志层组合,是融地层学、沉积学为一体“’的优化挟择。     

赣南岐山岩体深熔-幕式岩浆活动:来自锆石U Pb精细年代学研究

武夷山地区加里东期深熔混合岩化-岩浆作用普遍,且两者时代一致或相近,但是加里东期深熔作用的启动时间尚不明确。赣南寻乌县岐山岩体位于武夷山构造带南部,该岩体形成时代缺乏精确的年代学依据。基于锆石LA-ICP-MS U-Pb测年手段,在该岩体中发现两期锆石,早期锆石为深熔成因,晚期为岩浆成因。本次研究获得的晚期锆石形成时代为445~440Ma,具有从外向内年龄渐新的规律,表明该岩体形成于晚奥陶世晚期-早志留世,可能是从源区上升的不同批次岩浆就位的结果,即该岩体为加里东期深熔-幕式、多期次岩浆活动的结果。边缘部位与岩体中心部位分别获得早期深熔锆石加权平均年龄值(458±4Ma)与岩浆锆石加权平均年龄值(460±4Ma),两者在误差范围内一致。表明武夷山地区在加里东早期,大约460Ma左右发生了一期深熔-岩浆活动,为武夷山构造带加里东运动深熔作用的启动时代提供了制约。