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181.
Impacts of rising air temperatures and emissions mitigation on electricity demand and supply in the United States: a multi-model comparison 总被引:2,自引:2,他引:0
182.
A radial velocity study is presented of the cataclysmic variable V378 Pegasi (PG 2337 + 300). It is found to have an orbital period of 0.13858 ± 0.00004 d (3.32592 ± 0.00096 h). Its spectrum and long-term light curve suggest that V378 Peg is a nova-like variable, with no outbursts. We use the approximate distance and position in the Galaxy of V378 Peg to estimate E(B − V) = 0.095, and use near-infrared magnitudes to calculate a distance of 680 ± 90 pc and MV = 4.68 ± 0.70, consistent with V378 Peg being a nova-like. Time-resolved photometry taken between 2001 and 2009 reveals a period of 0.1346 ± 0.0004 d (3.23 ± 0.01 h). We identify this photometric variability to be negative superhumps, from a precessing, tilted accretion disk. Our repeated measurements of the photometric period of V378 Peg are consistent with this period having been stable between 2001 and 2009, with its negative superhumps showing coherence over as many as hundreds or even thousands of cycles. 相似文献
183.
Anne D. Jungblut Michelle A. Allen Brendan P. Burns Brett A. Neilan 《Organic Geochemistry》2009,40(2):258-269
The lipid biomarker composition of microbial mat communities from three meltwater ponds from the McMurdo Ice Shelf, Antarctica, was investigated for the first time. Hydrocarbons, ether-linked components, fatty acids (FAs), wax esters, hopanols and sterols from Fresh, Orange and Salt Ponds were analysed. The dominance of cyanobacteria and the presence of bacterial sulfate reducers were confirmed using signature FAs in all three mats. Wax ester analysis suggested the presence of Chloroflexus spp. The dominance of short chain hydrocarbons, wax esters and FAs indicated that microorganisms are the major source of organic matter in these meltwater ponds. A variety of sterols were present in different relative abundances. The greatest diversity of sterols was in Salt Pond, followed by Fresh Pond, which was attributed to differences in the present eukaryotic diversity. Lipid profiles of the three communities were similar despite the presence of a salinity gradient. Analysis of lipid biomarkers allowed the creation of profiles for these unique Antarctic cryo-ecosystems. This will assist in the comparison of present and past microbial communities and in the monitoring of Antarctic biodiversity in response to global climate change and other environmental perturbations. 相似文献
184.
A composite study of the MJO influence on the surface air temperature and precipitation over the Continental United States 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
The influence of the MJO on the continental United States (CONUS) surface air temperature (SAT) and precipitation is examined based on 30?years of daily data from 1979–2008. Composites are constructed for each of the eight phases of the Wheeler-Hendon MJO index over 12 overlapping three-month seasons. To ensure that the MJO signal is distinguished from other patterns of climate variability, several steps are taken: (a) only days classified as “MJO events” are used in the composites, (b) statistical significance of associated composites is assessed using a Monte Carlo procedure, and (c) intraseasonal frequencies are matched to the unfiltered data. Composites of other fields are also shown in order to examine how the SAT and precipitation anomalies are associated with large-scale circulations providing a link between the tropics and extratropics. The strongest and most significant MJO effects on SAT are found during the northern winter seasons. When enhanced convection is located over the equatorial Indian Ocean, below-average SAT tends to occur in New England and the Great Lakes region. As enhanced tropical convection shifts over the Maritime continent, above-average SAT appears in the eastern states of the US from Maine to Florida. The MJO influence on precipitation is also significant during northern winter seasons. When enhanced convection is located over the Maritime continent, more precipitation is observed in the central plains of the US. Enhanced precipitation also occurs over the west coast of the US when convective activity is stronger over the Indian Ocean. During the northern summer and fall, the MJO impact on precipitation is mainly significant at lower latitudes, over Mexico and southeastern US. 相似文献
185.
Benjamin M. Sleeter Terry L. Sohl Michelle A. Bouchard Ryan R. Reker Christopher E. Soulard William Acevedo Glenn E. Griffith Rachel R. Sleeter Roger F. Auch Kristi L. Sayler Stephen Prisley Zhiliang Zhu 《Global Environmental Change》2012,22(4):896-914
Global environmental change scenarios have typically provided projections of land use and land cover for a relatively small number of regions or using a relatively coarse resolution spatial grid, and for only a few major sectors. The coarseness of global projections, in both spatial and thematic dimensions, often limits their direct utility at scales useful for environmental management. This paper describes methods to downscale projections of land-use and land-cover change from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's Special Report on Emission Scenarios to ecological regions of the conterminous United States, using an integrated assessment model, land-use histories, and expert knowledge. Downscaled projections span a wide range of future potential conditions across sixteen land use/land cover sectors and 84 ecological regions, and are logically consistent with both historical measurements and SRES characteristics. Results appear to provide a credible solution for connecting regionalized projections of land use and land cover with existing downscaled climate scenarios, under a common set of scenario-based socioeconomic assumptions. 相似文献
186.
Colin A. Simpfendorfer Garin G. Freitas Tonya R. Wiley Michelle R. Heupel 《Estuaries and Coasts》2005,28(1):78-85
The distribution and salinity preference of immature bull sharks (Carcharhinus leucas) were examined based on the results of longline surveys in three adjacent estuarine habitats in southwest Florida: the Caloosahatchee
River, San Carlos Bay, and Pine Island Sound. Mean sizes were significantly different between each of these areas indicating
the occurrence of size-based habitat partitioning. Neonate and young-of-the-year animals occurred in the Caloosahatchee River
and juveniles older than 1 year occurred in the adjacent embayments. Habitat partitioning may reduce intraspecific predation
risk and increase survival of young animals. Classification tree analysis showed that both temperature and salinity were important
factors in determining the occurrence and catch per unit effort (CPUE) of immatureC. leucas. The CPUE of <1 year oldC. leucas was highest at temperatures over 29°C and in areas with salinities between 7‰ and 17.5‰ Although they are able to osmoregulate
in salinities from fresh to fully marine, youngC. leucas may have a salinity preference. Reasons for this preference are unknown, but need to be further investigated. 相似文献
187.
Climate change, ambient ozone, and health in 50 US cities 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:2
Michelle L. Bell Richard Goldberg Christian Hogrefe Patrick L. Kinney Kim Knowlton Barry Lynn Joyce Rosenthal Cynthia Rosenzweig Jonathan A. Patz 《Climatic change》2007,82(1-2):61-76
We investigated how climate change could affect ambient ozone concentrations and the subsequent human health impacts. Hourly
concentrations were estimated for 50 eastern US cities for five representative summers each in the 1990s and 2050s, reflecting
current and projected future climates, respectively. Estimates of future concentrations were based on the IPCC A2 scenario
using global climate, regional climate, and regional air quality models. This work does not explore the effects of future
changes in anthropogenic emissions, but isolates the impact of altered climate on ozone and health. The cities’ ozone levels
are estimated to increase under predicted future climatic conditions, with the largest increases in cities with present-day
high pollution. On average across the 50 cities, the summertime daily 1-h maximum increased 4.8 ppb, with the largest increase
at 9.6 ppb. The average number of days/summer exceeding the 8-h regulatory standard increased 68%. Elevated ozone levels correspond
to approximately a 0.11% to 0.27% increase in daily total mortality. While actual future ozone concentrations depend on climate
and other influences such as changes in emissions of anthropogenic precursors, the results presented here indicate that with
other factors constant, climate change could detrimentally affect air quality and thereby harm human health. 相似文献
188.
Seagrass population dynamics and water quality in the Great Barrier Reef region: a review and future research directions 总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6
Seagrasses in the Great Barrier Reef region, particularly in coastal habitats, act as a buffer between catchment inputs and reef communities and are important habitat for fisheries and a food source for dugong and green turtle. Within the Great Barrier Reef region there are four different seagrass habitat types now recognised. The spatial and temporal dynamics of the different types of seagrass habitat is poorly understood. In general seagrass growth is limited by light, disturbance and nutrient supply, and changes to any or all of these limiting factors may cause seagrass decline. The capacity of seagrasses to recover requires either recruitment via seeds or through vegetative growth. The ability of seagrass meadows to recover from large scale loss of seagrass cover observed during major events such as cyclones or due to anthropogenic disturbances such as dredging will usually require regeneration from seed bank. Limited research into the role of pollutants on seagrass survival suggests there may be ongoing impacts due to herbicides, pesticides and other chemical contaminants. Further research and monitoring of seagrass meadow dynamics and the influence of changing water quality on these is needed to enhance our ability to manage seagrasses on the Great Barrier Reef. 相似文献
189.
George W. Luther Shufen Ma Robert Trouwborst Brian Glazer Michelle Blickley Robert W. Scarborough Michael G. Mensinger 《Estuaries and Coasts》2004,27(3):551-560
In 2001, the development of seasonal anoxia was studied in two waterways located at the head of Delaware’s northern inland
bay, Rehoboth Bay. Bald Eagle Creek is a northern tributary of the bay, which has tidal exchange with Torquay Canal (a dead-end
canal) via a short channel with a 1.4 m sill. Mean low water depth in Torquay Canal is about 2 m, but dredging produced over
a dozen depressions with a total water depth of 5.5 m. During the summer of 2000, four major fish kills were reported in Torquay
Canal and Bald Eagle Creek with more than 2.5 million juvenile menhaden (Brevoortia tyrannus) killed. Low O2 concentration was assumed to be the problem but production of toxic H2S is more likely. From late spring 2001, we conducted in situ determination of temperature, salinity, pH, dissolved O2, and H2S in Torquay Canal and Bald Eagle Creek. During spring, water column stratification began in the depressions with warmer and
less salty water observed in the upper layer, and cooler, saltier water below 2 m. O2 was at saturation levels in the surface waters but was not detectable below 2 m by the end of May. The depressions were anoxic
with H2S accumulating to mM concentrations in June. A storm event prior to July 12 mixed these two layers with a subsequent loss
of H2S. The H2S levels again increased in the deep water due to stratification and reached another maximum in late August. Another storm
event occurred at this time resulting in no detectable O2 and up to 400 μM H2S in surface waters. H2S appears to be the primary reason for fish kills in these tributaries. Aerators installed in Torquay Canal on June 21 had
no significant effect on abating stratification and anoxic conditions beyond their immediate area. 相似文献
190.
Late Cretaceous and Cenozoic sea-level estimates: backstripping analysis of borehole data, onshore New Jersey 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
William A. Van Sickel Michelle A. Kominz Kenneth G. Miller† James V. Browning† 《Basin Research》2004,16(4):451-465
Backstripping analysis of the Bass River and Ancora boreholes from the New Jersey coastal plain (Ocean Drilling Project Leg 174AX) provides new Late Cretaceous sea‐level estimates and corroborates previously published Cenozoic sea‐level estimates. Compaction histories of all coastal plain boreholes were updated using porosity–depth relationships estimated from New Jersey coastal plain electric logs. The new porosity estimates are considerably lower than those previously calculated at the offshore Cost B‐2 well. Amplitudes and durations of sea‐level variations are comparable in sequences that are represented at multiple boreholes, suggesting that the resultant curves are an approximation of regional sea level. Both the amplitudes and durations of third‐order (0.5–5 Myr) cycles tend to decrease from the Late Cretaceous to the late Miocene. Third‐order sea‐level amplitudes in excess of 60 m are not observed. Long‐term (108–107 years) sea level was approximately constant at 30–80 m in the Late Cretaceous, rose to a maximum early Eocene value of approximately 100–140 m, and then fell through the Eocene and Oligocene. 相似文献