Earthquake seismograms that show Doppler effects due to crack propagation

Summary. Examples are presented of earthquake P -wave pulses seen on broadband seismograms, to show that on such recordings the pulse shapes are more clearly seen than on conventional short-period and long-period seismograms. Most of the broadband seismograms have been chosen because they show marked differences between the pulse lengths of P and those of the surface reflections. In addition some of the pulses appear to have smooth onsets and abrupt trailing edges so that the onset of the pulse is difficult to observe and the largest amplitude arrivals seen on the seismogram coincide not with the onset of motion but with the termination of motion: that is the large arrivals mark stopping phases of motion.
We assume that the differences in pulse length are due to the effects of a moving source – that is a Doppler effect – and that the pulses with smooth onsets and abrupt trailing edges can be modelled simply by a source propagating on a line with low radiation amplitude at the start of motion. A trial and error method guided by a published fault plane solution is then used to obtain a fit between observed and computed seismograms for one of the earthquakes. This process leads to an estimate of the crack speed of about 1.4 times the 5-wave speed.
The errors that may arise in estimating source depths and orientation, if stopping phases are not recognized as such, is discussed.     

Numerical solution of the dam failure problem by the random choice method

A numerical solution of the dam failure problem as described by the one-dimensional shallow water equations is presented. The construction of the solution is based on the random choice method consisting in the superposition of locally theoretical solutions and sampling techniques. The search of the optimal sampling is performed through the application of the random choice method to the scalar wave equation. The dam failure problem is then solved and a comparison with the theoretical solution is presented. It is shown that the random choice method computes the bore with almost infinite resolution, represents exactly the constant state behind it and calculates the depression wave with great accuracy.     

The ocean’s role in setting the mean position of the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone

Through study of observations and coupled climate simulations, it is argued that the mean position of the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) north of the equator is a consequence of a northwards heat transport across the equator by ocean circulation. Observations suggest that the hemispheric net radiative forcing of climate at the top of the atmosphere is almost perfectly symmetric about the equator, and so the total (atmosphere plus ocean) heat transport across the equator is small (order 0.2 PW northwards). Due to the Atlantic ocean’s meridional overturning circulation, however, the ocean carries significantly more heat northwards across the equator (order 0.4 PW) than does the coupled system. There are two primary consequences. First, atmospheric heat transport is southwards across the equator to compensate (0.2 PW southwards), resulting in the ITCZ being displaced north of the equator. Second, the atmosphere, and indeed the ocean, is slightly warmer (by perhaps 2 °C) in the northern hemisphere than in the southern hemisphere. This leads to the northern hemisphere emitting slightly more outgoing longwave radiation than the southern hemisphere by virtue of its relative warmth, supporting the small northward heat transport by the coupled system across the equator. To conclude, the coupled nature of the problem is illustrated through study of atmosphere–ocean–ice simulations in the idealized setting of an aquaplanet, resolving the key processes at work.     

A global climatology of extreme rainfall rates in the inner core of intense tropical cyclones

The localized rain rate maxima (R_M) of the inner core region of intense tropical cyclones (TCs) are investigated using Version 6 of the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission Multi-satellite Precipitation Analysis data-set from 1998 to 2010. Specifically, this study examines the probabilities of R_M exceeding 25 mm h^?1 (P25) in intense TCs. The 25 mm h^?1 R_M is the 90th percentile of all R_M observations during the study period. The descending order of P25 observed from intense TCs for the six major ocean basins is: the North Indian Ocean, the Atlantic Ocean, the Northwest Pacific Ocean, the South Pacific Ocean, the South Indian Ocean, and the East-central Pacific Ocean. The six major basins have been subdivided into 29 sub-basins to discern regional variability of R_M. P25 increases with increasing TC category in all major basins, except for the South Pacific. Sub-basins with intense TCs that produce extreme rainfall rate maxima include the Bay of Bengal, the South Philippine Sea, the East China Sea, the north coast of Australia, southeast Melanesia, and the Northwest Atlantic. Sub-basins with a higher proportion of category 5 (CAT5) observations than category 3 (CAT3) observations tend to have a greater P25 beyond 60 km from the storm center.     

Mediated climate change in Britain: Scepticism on the web and on television around Copenhagen

Copenhagen 2009 was a major moment in the development of climate change as an issue. But climate sceptics before and during this event, sought to influence the nature of debate, and for this reason, the way Copenhagen was covered in the mass media was particularly important. This paper outlines the contours of contrarian arguments and claims, and assesses their reflection in the coverage at Copenhagen. The focus is on television, and extends to the assessment of internet - both modes of mass communication underrepresented in the existing literature. The results suggest a higher profile for contrarians and scepticism than is perhaps healthy, and speak to the role of these mass media, now and in the future, particularly with regard to the issue of public comprehension of the issues involved.