Effect of climate change on watershed system: a regional analysis

Climate-induced increase in surface temperatures can impact hydrologic processes of a watershed system. This study uses a continuous simulation model to evaluate potential implications of increasing temperature on water quantity and quality at a regional scale in the Connecticut River Watershed of New England. The increase in temperature was modeled using Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) high and low warming scenarios to incorporate the range of possible temperature change. It was predicted that climate change can have a significant affects on streamflow, sediment loading, and nutrient (nitrogen and phosphorus) loading in a watershed. Climate change also influences the timing and magnitude of runoff and sediment yield. Changes in variability of flows and pollutant loading that are induced by climate change have important implications on water supplies, water quality, and aquatic ecosystems of a watershed. Potential impacts of these changes include deficit supplies during peak seasons of water demand, increased eutrophication potential, and impacts on fish migration.     

Modeling the electric structures of two thunderstorms and their contributions to the global circuit

This study examines the electricity in two thunderstorms, typical for their respective locales (the Great Plains and the New Mexico mountains), by modeling them as a set of steady-state horizontal layers of external currents. The model electric sources, corresponding to the charge separation processes in the thundercloud, are embedded in an exponential conducting atmosphere. The source parameters are determined by fitting the model electric field to measured profiles. The resulting currents to the ionosphere (i.e., the Wilson current) from the two storms are 0.53 A and 0.16 A, while the calculated electrical energies of the storms are 2.3 × 10¹⁰ J and 2.8 × 10⁹ J, respectively. The more vigorous storm is estimated to transfer 16 000 C in the global circuit during 8.5 h of its lifetime, while the weaker mountain storm transferred about 1200 C in its entire 2-h lifetime. Removal of the screening charge layer from above the updraft region in one modeled storm leads to only a small increase in the net Wilson current of less than 3%, while it provides a substantial local disturbance of the electric field. Overall, the model findings indicate that differences in the Wilson currents and electrical energies of the two storms result from differences in their internal dynamical and electrical structures as well as their geographical locations.     

Automatic Detection of Limb Prominences in 304 Å EUV Images

A new algorithm for automatic detection of prominences on the solar limb in 304 Å EUV images is presented, and results of its application to SOHO/EIT data discussed. The detection is based on the method of moments combined with a classifier analysis aimed at discriminating between limb prominences, active regions, and the quiet corona. This classifier analysis is based on a Support Vector Machine (SVM). Using a set of 12 moments of the radial intensity profiles, the algorithm performs well in discriminating between the above three categories of limb structures, with a misclassification rate of 7%. Pixels detected as belonging to a prominence are then used as the starting point to reconstruct the whole prominence by morphological image-processing techniques. It is planned that a catalogue of limb prominences identified in SOHO and STEREO data using this method will be made publicly available to the scientific community.     

Rayleigh wave magnitude scaleM s

Summary TheM _s Rayleigh wave magnitude formula is revised for purposes of eliminating the variable effects of near distances and propagation pats on the values computed from standard long period seismograms. The improved formulation employs a revised distance correction function and period dependent path correction that normalisesM _s to large teleseismic distance, 20 second values. The method for computing the path corrections is described. The magnitude scale presented here givesM _s values which are within ±0.1 magnitude units of the Gutenberg and Prague magnitude formulae.     

Ion balance,acid-base regulation,and chloride cell function in the common killifish,Fundulus heteroclitus—a euryhaline estuarine teleost

The common killifish,Fundulus heteroclitus, is a euryhaline teleost common throughout estuaries of eastern North America. This symposium paper reviews the important contributions of the killifish to our present understanding of ionoregulation in seawater (SW) fish and their mechanisms of euryhalinity, and presents new data developing the killifish as a freshwater (FW) model system. Experiments on killifish have characterized (i) drinking in SW and its reduction in FW; (ii) the adaptive roles of the kidney to SW and FW conditions; (iii) the instantaneous (Phase I) and delayed (Phase II) reductions in Na⁺ outflux that occur upon transfer from SW to FW; (iv) the importance of prolactin secretion in the Phase II effect; (v) the cortisol-stimulated induction of branchial Na⁺, K⁺-ATPase that occurs upon transfer from FW to SW; (vi) the accompanying changes in morphology of the mitochondria-rich (MR) or “chloride cells” on the gills; (vii) the localization of this Na⁺, K⁺-ATPase activity to the basolateral membrane of chloride cells; and (viii) the NaCl-secretory function of these cells in SW. The opercular epithelium, which is rich in chloride cells, has been used as an in vitro model to characterize the mechanisms and control of NaCl secretion in SW fish. Much less is known about gill function in fresh water (inward NaCl transport), primarily due to the absence of a comparable freshwater model. Here we show that killifish acclimated to dilute FW ([NaCl] = 1 mmol I^?1) possess large numbers of MR cells on the opercular epithelium. When mounted in vitro with FW on the outside, the preparation develops a large inside negative transepithelial potential (TEP) that is a Na⁺ diffusion potential. By the Ussing flux ratio criterion, Na⁺ fluxes are passive, but a small active influx of Cl^? occurs, an observation that supports the involvement of MR cells in active Cl^? uptake. This FW opercular epithelium if bathed with isotonic saline on both sides does not secrete Cl^?, indicating that the MR cells indeed are of the FW type. In vivo, the fish exhibits a high rate of Na⁺ influx and outflux; Cl^? outflux is much lower, and there is no detectable Cl^? influx. Experimental variation of FW [NaCl] reveals a saturable, low affinity Na⁺ uptake mechanism, a Cl^? influx mechanism that is activated only at much higher concentrations, and no evidence of exchange diffusion. Acid-base disturbance appears to be corrected by differential regulation of the outflux components only. Hence, the FW killifish ionoregulates somewhat differently from the few other FW teleosts that have been examined, and its opercular epithelium will serve as a very useful model system.     

An improved snow hydrology for GCMs. Part 1: snow cover fraction,albedo, grain size,and age

A new, physically-based snow hydrology has been implemented into the NCAR CCM1. The snow albedo is based on snow depth, solar zenith angle, snow cover pollutants, cloudiness, and a new parameter, the snow grain size. Snow grain size in turn depends on temperature and snow age. An improved expression is used for fractional snow cover which relates it to surface roughness and to snow depth. Each component of the new snow hydrology was implemented separately and then combined to make a new control run integrated for ten seasonal cycles. With the new snow hydrology, springtime snow melt occurs more rapidly, leading to a more reasonable late spring and summer distribution of snow cover. Little impact is seen on winter snow cover, since the new hydrology affects snow melt directly, but snowfall only indirectly, if at all. The influence of the variable grain size appears more important when snow packs are relatively deep while variable fractional snow cover becomes increasingly important as the snow pack thins. Variable surface roughness affects the snow cover fraction directly, but shows little effect on the seasonal cycle of the snow line. As an applicaion of the new snow hydrology, we have rerun simulations involving Antarctic and Northern Hemisphere glaciation; these simulations were previously made with CCM1 and the old snow hydrology. Relatively little difference is seen for Antarctica, but a profound difference occurs for the Northern Hemisphere. In particular, ice sheets computed using net snow accumulations from the GCM are more numerous and larger in extent with the new snow hydrology. The new snow hydrology leads to a better simulation of the seasonal cycle of snow cover, however, our primary goal in implementing it into the GCM is to improve the predictive capabilities of the model. Since the snow hydrology is based on fundamental physical processes, and has well-defined parameters, it should enable model simulations of climatic change in which we have increased confidence.This paper was presented at the Second International Conference on Modelling of Global Climate Variability, held in Hamburg 7–11 September 1992 under the auspices of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology. Guest Editor for these papers is L. Dümenil     

Deformation mechanisms in experimentally deformed plagioclase feldspars

Optical and transmission electron microscopy have been used to study the microstructures in a series of plagioclase feldspars which had been experimentally deformed in compression. The observations show that deformation takes place by three mechanisms: (1) brittle fracture, (2) twinning and (3) slip due to the generation and motion of dislocations. Optical “deformation lamellae” are shown to be due to bunches of microfractures and to walls of tangled dislocations. Twins and fractures are often intimately associated and dislocations are often generated at fracture steps or voids. Moving dislocations apparently always generate a strip of fault in the slip plane. This, together with structural considerations as well as the visibility of dislocations (under various diffracting conditions) and the orientation of the applied stress, has made it possible to determine the slip systems which have operated in the deformed specimens.     

Precise age determinations and petrogenetic studies using the KCa method

High precision mass spectrometric determination of calcium isotope ratios allows the ⁴⁰K → ⁴⁰Ca radioactive decay to be used for dating a much broader range of geologic materials than is suggested by previous work. ${}^{40}\text{Ca}{}^{42}\text{Ca}$ is used to monitor enrichments in ⁴⁰Ca and can be measured to ±0.01% (2σ) using an exponential mass discrimination correction (Russell et al., 1978) and large ion currents. The earth's mantle has such a low $\text{K}\text{Ca}$ (～0.01) that it has retained “primordial” ${}^{40}\text{Ca}{}^{42}\text{Ca}\text{= 151.016}$ ± 0.011 (normalized to ${}^{42}\text{Ca}{}^{44}\text{Ca}\text{= 0.31221}$), as determined by measurements on two meteorites, pyroxene from an ultramafic nodule, metabasalt, and carbonatite. ${}^{40}\text{Ca}{}^{42}\text{Ca}$ ratios can be conveniently expressed relative to this value as ?_Ca in units of 10^?4. To test the method for age dating, a mineral isochron has been obtained on a sample of Pikes Peak granite, which has been shown to have concordant KAr, RbSr, and UPb ages. Plagioclase, K-feldspar, biotite, and whole rock yield an age of 1041 ± 32 m.y. (2σ) in agreement with previous age determinations (λ_K = 0.5543 b.y.^?1, $\text{λ}{}_{\mathrm{\beta ?}}\text{λ}{}_{\mathrm{<mtext>K</mtext>}}\text{= 0.8952}$, ⁴⁰K = 0.01167%). The initial ${}^{40}\text{Ca}{}^{42}\text{Ca}$ of 151.024 ± 0.016 (?_Ca = +0.5 ± 1.0), indicates that assimilation of high K/Ca crust was insufficient to affect calcium isotopes. Measurements on two-mica granite from eastern Nevada indicate that the magma sources had K/Ca ≈ 1, similar to intermediate-composition crustal rocks. These results show that the KCa system can be used as a precise geochromometer for common felsic igneous and metamorphic rocks, and may prove applicable to sedimentary rocks containing authigenic K minerals. The relatively short half-life of ⁴⁰K, the non-volatile daughter, and the fact that potassium and calcium are stoichiometric constituents of many minerals, make the KCa system complementary to other dating methods, and potentially applicable to a variety of geologic problems.