Dating of multi-period earthquake-triggered rockfalls: a method for revealing paleo-seismic events that occurred along the Yushu fault in the eastern Tibetan Plateau

Landslides - The quantitative study of earthquake-triggered rockfall debris along seismogenic fault zones has proven to be a valid approach for use in identifying paleo-earthquakes and faulting...     

Uncertainty quantification of landslide runout motion considering soil interdependent anisotropy and fabric orientation

Landslides - Natural soils often exhibit an anisotropic fabric pattern as a result of soil deposition, weathering, or filling. This paper aims to investigate the effect of soil interdependent...     

The expert system for earthquake prediction (I)—the overall design and main structure

The Expert System For Earthquake Prediction (ESEP) is summarized in this paper. ESEP embraces three subsystems: long-middle term prediction system, annual prediction system and middle-short term prediction system. Each of the subsystems is composed of seven modules: the controlling module, the data base module, the expert knowledge base module, the method base module, the fact preparation module, the reasoning and decision-making module and the plotting and displaying module. The reasoning model ESEP/R and the knowledge expression model ESEP/K are set up in the ESEP, and new evidence combinations, CON (confine), W (weigh), and SYN (synthesize), have been proposed. The distinctive features of the ESEP are: (1) systemized; (2) several experts’ knowledge can be synthesized; (3) a large amount of data and experts’ experience is embraced; (4) four reasoning models and the synthetic decision-making technic are adopted; (5) several software environments are used; (6) modularization; and (7) possessing the friendly user interfaces. The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,14, 1–8, 1992.     

Climatological distribution of lightning density observed by satellites in China and its circumjacent regions

The 0.5°×0.5°grid resolution distribution of lightning density in China and its circumjacent regions have been analyzed by using the satellite-borne OTD (Apr 1995-Mar 2000) and LIS (Dec 1997-Mar 2003) databases. It is shown that: (i) Firstly, the variability of the lightning density (LD) is particularly pronounced over the different subareas, 9 times greater over the south than the north side of Himalayas Mountains, 2.5 times greater over the eastern than the western area of China. While the maximum and minimum LD are respectively 31.4fl/km2/a (in Guangzhou region) and less than 0.2fl/km2/a (in the desert of western China). Secondly, the LD of China's continent regularly varies with latitude and distance off coast, which is consistent with annual mean precipitation in varying trend. In conclusion, the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, the China's three-step staircase topography and the latitude are three important factors affecting macro-scale characteristics of the LD distribution, (ii) The regional differences     

应用线性合成概率方法探讨青藏高原北部地区强震趋势

基于周期谱分析基础上的线性合成概率预测方法,对青藏高原北部地区Ms≥7.0、Ms≥6.5强震进行了试验性研究,并利用其结果作为预测依据,对青藏高原北部地区强震趋势做了初步估计.利用该方法,本文还对东昆仑断裂带1900年以来的Ms≥7.0强震进行了研究.     

特大地震对震源邻区的增(减)震作用的研究

通过研究中国大陆1910年以来8级以上特大地震和国外几组典型特大地震对震源邻近区域的影响,发现特大地震往往发生在断裂带上,一组或一次特大地震可能使发震断裂部分破裂,而未破裂断裂的构造应力可能增大,又成为大震的空段,该空段短时间内可能会发生大震(起到增震作用);反之,发震断裂完全破裂或没有大震空段,震源邻近区域构造应力可能减小,短时间可能不会发生大震(起到减震作用)。依据这一结果,可对特大地震发生后震源邻近区域的后续大震作短、中期预测。     

地理信息系统空间分析方法及其若干应用

地理信息系统中的核心是空间属性数据库，而管理，分析和应用数据库中数据的空间分析功能和应用模型则是发挥数据库作用的关键部分。衡量一个地理信息系统的好坏，不仅决定于其数据库的数据质量，数据量和更新速度，关键要看其空间功能是否强大，实用具有灵活性。一般来讲，地理信息系统的空间分析有很强的综合性和专业性，也具有很大的灵活性。     

秦岭北坡旅游资源开发利用初探

秦岭北坡是陕西省乃至全国旅游资源密集带之一。但由于开发和管理中存在诸多问题,近年来发展比较缓慢。在综合分析其开发优势和存在问题的基础上,提出了要全面规划,合理开发,走可持续发展之路,实现经济效益,社会效益和生态效益的协调统一。     

太原机场气象网络系统的维护以及UNIX系统常见故障的分析排除

本文阐述了民航气象网络的应用和维护中的一些问题,着重介绍了ＵＮＩＸ系统的维护和常见故障的处理。