濑溪河流域地貌对泸县MS6.0地震发震构造变形的响应及其指示作用

以12.5 m 数字高程模型数据为基础,采用数字地貌分析方法提取了濑溪河流域的高程剖面和面积-高程积分（HI）等地貌参数,分析了2021年9月16日四川盆地东南部泸县M_S6.0地震震中附近区域地貌与构造活动的响应关系。结果显示:震中西侧的螺观山和梯子崖背斜在震中的南北两端存在明显的缩短量差异;HI条带状低值区的展布方向与流域内构造的方向一致,HI高值区位于华蓥山两条断裂夹持的谷地,但在震中附近存在WNW向的HI低值带。综合分析认为,泸县地震震中附近应存在一走向为WNW的隐伏构造,它不仅调节了螺观山和梯子崖背斜在震中南北两端的缩短量差异,也使得HI值受其影响呈低值特征,该结果与震源机制解结果、等震线长轴走向以及余震空间展布的优势方向相一致。      

A new hybrid method for establishing point forecasting,interval forecasting,and probabilistic forecasting of landslide displacement

Natural Hazards - In addition to its inherent evolution trend, landslide displacement contains strong fluctuation and randomness, and omni-directional landslide displacement prediction is more...     

新疆西准噶尔早石炭世沉积地层的物源及构造环境

沉积物的地球化学和碎屑锆石特征在沉积岩物源分析及构造背景的研究中具有较为重要的作用.对克拉玛依后山地区早石炭世包古图组和太勒古拉组碎屑岩样品(共42个)进行了岩石学和地球化学研究,结果显示,这套碎屑岩的主量元素SiO₂含量为54.64%~73.14%,Al₂O₃含量相对较高(11.89%~19.36%),(TFe₂O₃+MgO)含量比较高(3.97%~9.99%),反映岩石化学成熟度偏低.岩石稀土元素含量变化较大,在83×10-6~252×10-6之间变化,无Ce异常,Eu呈微弱负异常,具有低的∑REE等特征,与大洋岛弧型砂岩相似.采自这2个组的碎屑锆石U-Pb定年结果表明,包古图组有340 Ma和440 Ma两个主峰值,主要来源于石炭纪、志留纪的源岩;太勒古拉组碎屑锆石主峰值为325 Ma,其年龄与地层年龄很接近,推测其主要来源于同沉积石炭纪岩石.根据主、微量及稀土元素等多个构造环境判别图解的综合分析,结果表明早石炭世包古图组和太勒古拉组沉积物的物源特征及沉积构造背景较为相似,主要为大洋岛弧-大陆岛弧环境下的中酸性火山岩,夹有少量基性火山岩.      

典型复杂地形风能预报的精细化研究

选取江苏和内蒙古分别作为中国沿海滩涂与内陆复杂高原山地的典型地形代表,通过中尺度模式WRF V3.3.1两种不同边界层参数化方案(YSU/MRF)的对比检验,选择WRF/Noah/YSU作为典型地形的风场预报系统,并利用该预报系统对2010年研究区域分别进行了1 km水平分辨率、10 min时间分辨率的48 h风场滚动预报,进一步通过功率谱检验、风向风速玫瑰图检验、季节变化检验,以及日变化检验表明,WRF/Noah/YSU的风场预报方案能够较准确地预报出测风塔的风场特征和风场的能量频谱分布,风场的日变化与季节变化的预报特征基本与测风塔观测结果一致。预报系统对春、秋季的预报效果优于夏季,日变化的预报效果因地形而异,无统一变化规律。     

南宁市霾的特征分析

利用1993年至2012年南宁市观测站资料,分析了南宁市近20年霾的变化特征。结果表明:从2000年以来南宁霾日数上涨明显。霾的出现有明显的季节变化,冬季在冷锋经过后气温下降、地面被冷高压控制,风速减小,近地层形成逆温时出现;夏季主要在热带低压外围的下沉气流影响下出现。南宁市出现的霾绝大部分为轻度霾(能见度在3km至10km),并且发生霾天气时,相对湿度六成以上介于70%~80%之间。     

Isotopic composition of dissolved boron and its geochemical behavior in a freshwater-seawater mixture at the estuary of the Changjiang （Yangtze） River

The isotopic composition of dissolved boron, in combination with the elemental concentrations of B, Cl and salinities in freshwater-seawater mixed samples taken from the estuary of the Changjiang River, the largest one in China, was investigated in detail in this study. Brackish water and seawater samples from the estuary of the Changjiang River were collected during low water season in November, 1998. Boron isotopic compositions were determined by the Cs2BO^＋2-graphite technique with a analytical uncertainty of 0.2‰ for NIST SRM 951 and an average analytical uncertainty of 0.8‰ for the samples. The isotopic compositions of boron, expressed in δ^11B, and boron concentrations in the Changjiang River at Nanjing and seawater from the open marine East Sea, China, are characterized by δ^11B values of -5.4‰ and 40.0‰, as well as 0.0272 and 4.43 mg B/L, respectively. Well-defined correlations between δ^11B values, B concentrations and Cl concentrations are interpreted in terms of binary mixing between fiver input water and East Sea seawater by a process of straightforward dilution. The offsets of δ^11B values are not related to the contents of clastic sediment and to the addition of boron. These relationships favor a conservative behavior of boron at the estuarine of the Changjiang River.     

CGCS2000板块运动模型建立方法研究

使用国家级CORS站数据,建立了CGCS2000板块运动模型,该模型可以提供高精度的速度场,实现2000历元至当前历元的点位的归算。     

SDM与GIS的集成模式探讨

信息时代,知识爆炸,要从海量空间数据中发现隐含的、有价值的潜在知识,必须采用新的手段和方法。对空间数据挖掘与GIS集成,提出了3种可行的集成模式：数据能讯模式、耦合模式和嵌入模式。     

Streamflow change of major rivers over the Tibetan Plateau during the last half century and its possible causes

The streamflow on the Tibetan Plateau (TP) plays an important role in the water supply of Asia's main river basins. To enhance understanding of hydrologic cycle under the pronounced warming over the TP, this study comprehensively investigates the streamflow changes at the upstream of six major rivers (Yellow River, Yalong River, Jinsha River, Lancang River, Nu River, and Yarlung Zangbo River) originating from the TP, and then diagnoses their possible causes by analysing the impacts of climate variability and human activities. Results indicate that these six major rivers studied have generally insignificant increasing trends in annual streamflow during the last half century, except for two stations. The significant increase appears at the Tuotuohe station in the headwater area of Jinsha River, while the dramatic decrease occurs at the Yunjinghong station in the downstream of Lancang River. In terms of climate factors, the six river basins show a distinct warming trend, along with a noticeable increase in precipitation over the central and northern regions. Pan evaporation, wind speed, sunshine duration, and relative humidity have been found to gradually decrease in most areas. As for the Tuotuohe station, both warming-induced meltwater and increasing precipitation might jointly contribute to the increasing streamflow. But for the Yunjinghong station, the results simulated by the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) model indicate that human activities, especially for the impoundment processes of Xiaowan and Nuozhadu dams, significantly influenced the streamflow, contributing to approximately 69% of the streamflow reduction during 2009–2013. In the context of accelerated global warming, greater attention should be paid to hydrometeorological changes on the TP to offer further insights for the water resources management of the ‘Asian Water Tower’.