地震综合前兆场建场方法初探

初步建立了一种能反映地震前兆时空演化全貌的无量纲、归一化可迭加的信息场———综合前兆场．通过对研究区（东经１１３°～１２５°,北纬３２°～４４°）前兆场时空演化过程的分析发现,地震前前兆场由正常的低值离散逐渐发展为围绕震中呈高值封闭状态,震后恢复正常．该方法的独特之处在于,避开了某些单项异常对应某具体源的分析,而是只考虑异常．根据前兆场的变化可以确定震源的大致位置     

山东新城金矿床的叠加晕模式

１９８７年研究了Ⅰ号矿体地球化学异常特征,下部异常显示有深部盲矿前缘晕叠加,１９９４年探明的Ⅴ号矿体正好与其对应。１９９７年继续研究和建立了新城金矿的原生叠架晕模式,并用模式进行了预测。     

应用计算机“推导”位场圆滑滤波及二次导数公式的方法

根据台劳级数展开式,将窗口内网格结点位场数据在计算点展开,且对应点两两相加,由最小二乘法求得窗口内网格结点的圆滑滤波算子和二次导数算子,将此算子与观测的位场数据褶积,就可得到位场圆滑后的数据及水平、垂直二次导数。     

论燕北地区辽代的气候特点

本文利用《辽史》中“帝王纪”、“游幸表”、“食货志”和同时代“宋人使辽语录”中所记载的有关旱、涝、冻灾记录,对928～1109年共182年间燕北地区的历史气候进行了复原。研究结果表明,辽代燕北地区的干湿变化过程中,早期以干为主,中、晚期以湿为主。1080年前后为一气温剧烈下降时期,比黄淮海地区的同期变化要早约30年。     

应用地理信息进行无资料地区流域水文模拟研究

无资料或资料缺乏地区的流域径流模拟是水文学研究中的一个重要的课题.提出了应用地理信息系统分析流域的地理信息参数,进行降雨径流模拟的水文模型.该模型中,产流计算采用美国水土保持局(SCS)的径流曲线数法,流域汇流则采用经本文作者改进的三角形单位线.着重阐述了利用地理信息系统,从流域的地理信息中分析和确定模型参数,还简要介绍了该模型在爱尔兰Dodder河上的应用情况.     

当前欧美海洋科学研究动态评析

重点介绍了当前欧美资助海洋科学研究的基本情况、优先资助领域和重要研究计划等,对欧美当前海洋科学研究的基本特点做了简要分析;并提出了我国下世纪初的海洋科学研究优先发展领域。     

新疆西克尔地区微震波谱的初步研究

为探索大地震发生前孕震区内微震辐射波谱的变化,在新疆西克尔地区,用选频测震仪对微震波谱进行了观测和研究。选频测震仪分为6个频道,各道中心频率分别为6.0周、8.1周、15.7周、30.0周、50.0周、75.0周。初步结果表明:在一个地震系列中,随着临近较强地震（M_L≥3.2）的发生,微震P波在10周-60周频率范围内的谱值增高,其置信水平一般在70％以上。较强地震发生以后,微震P波在相应频率范围内的谱值下降。 文中还简要地分析了选频地震记录的物理意义,并对较强地震前,微震辐射波谱变化的原因作了初步说明。     

COULOMB STRESS CHANGE ON ACTIVE FAULTS IN SICHUAN-YUNNAN REGION AND ITS IMPLICATIONS FOR SEISMIC HAZARD

Coulomb stress change on active faults is critical for seismic hazard analysis and has been widely used at home and abroad. The Sichuan-Yunnan region is one of the most tectonically and seismically active regions in Mainland China, considering some highly-populated cities and the historical earthquake records in this region, stress evolution and seismic hazard on these active faults capture much attention. From the physical principal, the occurrence of earthquakes will not only cause stress drop and strain energy release on the seismogenic faults, but also transfer stress to the surrounding faults, hence alter the shear and normal stress on the surrounding faults that may delay, hasten or even trigger subsequent earthquakes. Previously, most studies focus on the coseismic Coulomb stress change according to the elastic dislocation model. However, the gradually plentiful observation data attest to the importance of postseismic viscoelastic relaxation effect during the analysis of seismic interactions, stress evolution along faults and the cumulative effect on the longer time scale of the surrounding fault zone. In this paper, in order to assess the seismic hazard in Sichuan-Yunnan region, based on the elastic dislocation theory and the stratified viscoelastic model, we employ the PSGRN/PSCMP program to calculate the cumulative Coulomb stress change on the main boundary faults and in inner blocks in this region, by combining the influence of coseismic dislocations of the M≥7.0 historical strong earthquakes since the Yongsheng M7.8 earthquake in 1515 in Sichuan-Yunnan region and M≥8.0 events in the neighboring area, and the postseismic viscoelastic relaxation effect of the lower crust and upper mantle. The results show that the Coulomb stress change increases significantly in the south section of the Xianshuihe Fault, the Anninghe Fault, the northern section of the Xiaojiang Fault, the southern section of the Longmen Shan Fault, the intersection of the Chuxiong-Jianshui Fault and the Xiaojiang Fault, and the Shawan section of the Litang Fault, in which the cumulative Coulomb stress change exceeds 0.1MPa. The assuming different friction coefficient has little effect on the stress change, as for the strike-slip dominated faults, the shear stress change is much larger than the normal stress change, and the shear stress change is the main factor controlling the Coulomb stress change on the fault plane. Meanwhile, we compare the Coulomb stress change in the 10km and 15km depths, and find that for most faults, the results are slightly different. Additionally, based on the existing focal mechanism solutions, we add the focal mechanism solutions of the 5 675 small-medium earthquakes(2.5≤M≤4.9)in Sichuan-Yunnan region from January 2009 to July 2019, and invert the directions of the three principal stresses and the stress shape factor in 0.1°×0.1° grid points; by combining the grid search method, we compare the inverted stress tensors with that from the actual seismic data, and further obtain the optimal stress tensors. Then, we project the stress tensors on the two inverted nodal planes separately, and select the maximum Coulomb stress change to represent the stress change at the node. The results show that the cumulative Coulomb stress change increase in the triple-junction of Sichuan-Yunnan-Tibet region is also significant, and the stress change exceeds 0.1MPa. Comprehensive analysis of the Coulomb stress change, seismic gaps and seismicity parameters suggest that more attention should be paid to the Anninghe Fault, the northern section of the Xiaojiang Fault, the south section of the Xianshuihe Fault, the southern section of the Longmen Shan Fault and the triple-junction of the Sichuan-Yunnan-Tibet region. These results provide a basis for future seismic hazard analysis in the Sichuan-Yunnan region.     

东亚地区沙尘气溶胶影响硫酸盐形成的模式评估

利用STEM-II三维区域大气化学模式,耦合沙尘气溶胶表面相过程,研究了1994年3月1日至14日间东亚地区沙尘气溶胶对硫酸盐形成的影响。结果表明,SO2气体在沙尘气溶胶表面上进行的非均相氧化过程是硫酸盐形成的一条重要途径,由这条途径提供的硫酸盐占其总浓度的20%～50%。 并发现在模拟时段,沙尘暴过程主要影响沙尘源地下游的中国东部地区硫酸盐的分布,使得那里的硫酸盐浓度增加60%以上。     

里下河地区梅雨量的可能异常和变化规律

本文利用50年代以来的观测资料,分析了里下河地区梅雨期降水量的基本特征,对若干年一遇的可能梅雨量异常和变化规律进行了初步研究。得出里下河地区梅雨量具有5年和3年周期的变化,并且阜宁的降水量是异常小中最小的,兴化的降水量是异常大中最大的。