The Asymmetrical Eruption of a Quiescent Filament and Associated Halo CME

We will present detailed observations of the asymmetrical eruption of a large quiescent filament on 24 November 2002, which was followed by a two-ribbon flare, three coronal dimmings, endpoint brightenings, and a very fast halo-type coronal mass ejection (CME). Before the eruption, the filament lay along the main neutral line (MNL) underneath a single-arcade helmet streamer with a simple bipolar configuration. However, photospheric magnetic fields on both sides of the filament showed an asymmetrical distribution, and the filament and MNL were not located just at the center of the streamer base but were closer to the eastern leg of the streamer arcade. Therefore, instead of erupting along the streamer’s symmetrical axis, the filament showed a nonradial and asymmetrical eruption. It lifted from the eastern flank of the streamer arcade to impact the western leg directly, leading to an asymmetrical CME that expanded westward; eventually the streamer was disrupted significantly. Accordingly, the opposite-polarity coronal dimmings at both sides of the filament forming in the eruption also showed an asymmetrical area distribution. We thus assume that the streamer arcade could guide the filament at the early eruption phase but failed to restrain it later. Consistent with previous results, these observations suggest that the global background magnetic field can impose additional action on the initial eruption of the filament and CME, as well as the dimming configuration.     

基于精确Zoeppritz方程的储层含油气性预测方法

流体指示因子和泊松比作为重要的指标参数在储层含油气性预测中发挥着至关重要的作用,大量学者开展了这两个参数的直接反演研究.然而,现有反演方法主要是以精确Zoeppritz方程的近似公式为正演方程,近似公式诸多的假设条件及较低的计算精度极大地限制了这类方法在复杂储层的应用效果.因此,为了提升储层含油气性预测精度,文中提出了一种新的基于精确Zoeppritz方程的流体因子和泊松比反演方法.首先,借助敏感流体因子定量分析法对现有流体指示因子进行优选,并将传统形式的精确Zoeppritz方程改写为包含该优选流体指示因子和泊松比的新形式.然后,基于新方程构建贝叶斯理论框架下的非线性反演目标函数.同时,为了进一步提升流体因子和泊松比对储层的刻画精度,在假设背景先验模型服从高斯分布的同时引入服从微分拉普拉斯分布的块约束项.最后,借助泰勒级数展开对上述非线性目标函数进行求解.合成数据和油田数据验证结果表明新方法能够稳定合理地估计流体指示因子和泊松比,且精度远高于基于近似公式的传统方法.此外,实际数据测试表明新方法能够有效提升储层含油气性预测精度,降低不确定性.     

A modified Raupach's model applicable for shear-stress partitioning on surfaces covered with dense and flat-shaped gravel roughness elements

A commonly used measure to prevent soil wind erosion is to cover the surface with gravel. Gravel can inhibit soil erosion by covering the surface directly, changing the airflow field near the surface and sharing the shear stress of wind. Similar to other roughness elements, the protective effect of gravel on soil is usually expressed in terms of the ratio of the shear stress on the exposed soil surface to the total shear stress on the rough surface due to wind, i.e. through a shear-stress partitioning model. However, the existing shear-stress partitioning models, represented by Raupach's model (RM93), are only applicable when the lateral coverage of the roughness elements, λ < 0.10, and the applicability of the models to flat-shaped roughness elements is unclear. The purpose of this study is to verify the applicability of RM93 for dense and flat-shaped gravel roughness elements by using shear-stress data from wind-tunnel measurements pertaining to roughness elements with different densities (0.013 ≤ λ ≤ 0.318) and flat shapes (height-to-width ratios in the range 0.20 ≤ H/W ≤ 0.63), and to modify RM93 to enhance its predictive ability. The results indicate that RM93 cannot accurately predict the shear-stress partitioning for surfaces covered by densely distributed and flat-shaped gravel roughness elements. This phenomenon occurs because, when roughness elements are distributed densely or are flat-shaped, the proportion of the shear stress on the top surface of the roughness elements (τ_c) to the total shear stress (τ) is large; in this case, τ_c plays a dominant role and serves as an essential component in the shear-stress partitioning model. Consequently, RM93 is modified by incorporating τ_c into the calculation of τ. Under conditions of λ < 0.32 and H/W > 0.2, the modified RM93 can yield satisfactory predictions regarding the shear-stress partitioning.     

云南地区强震前小震调制比特征分析

利用调制比时空扫描方法,对1973—2014年云南地区M_S≥6.0地震进行回溯性研究,分析强震前区域小震调制比时空演化过程。结果显示,从小震调制比异常开始至发震的持续时间为1.5 a之内,调制比异常的最高值需大于0.57,强震多发生在调制比为最高值时或其后14个月内异常区边界或内部调制比显著高值附近,震级随异常持续时间的延长大致呈增加的趋势;小滇西—滇西北地区的强震多发生在调制期内;从分区来看,滇西南强震多发生在调制比为最高值（R_m≥0.57）后6个月内的异常边界处,尤其是3个月内,滇西北强震多发生在最高值（R_m≥0.67）后7—12月内异常区内显著高值附近,滇东北强震多发生在最高值（R_m≥0.67）时的异常区内。     

鄂尔多斯盆地致密油储层启动压力梯度对比分析

为探讨非常规致密砂岩油藏储层启动压力梯度问题,以鄂尔多斯盆地HQ、HS地区长6、长8储层为研究对象,开展启动压力实验,对比分析不同储层的启动压力梯度.研究表明,单相水状态水相、束缚水状态油相,均具有随渗透率降低,拟启动压力梯度、真实启动压力梯度升高的趋势.当渗透率低于0.3×10-3 μm2,拟启动压力梯度、真实启动压力梯度均随渗透率降低而快速升高.饱和油束缚水状态油相拟启动压力梯度、真实启动压力梯度高于单相水状态水相的拟启动压力梯度、真实启动压力梯度.HQ地区水相、油相的拟启动压力梯度、真实启动压力梯度低于HS地区;长8储层水相、油相的拟启动压力梯度、真实启动压力梯度低于长6储层.研究区储层,水相、油相拟启动压力梯度、真实启动压力梯度由小到大的顺序为HQ地区长8储层、HS地区长8储层、HQ地区长6储层、HS地区长6储层.不同维度对比分析得出的启动压力梯度,对于鄂尔多斯盆地致密油开发具有指导意义,对于其他地区致密油的有效动用仍具有借鉴和示范意义.     

无线节点采集技术在东部复杂地表区地震勘探中的应用及效果

随着东部老油田油气勘探程度的不断提升,后续复杂地质目标的勘探对地震资料的分辨率和成像精度提出了更高要求,导致地震采集方案日趋强化,野外采集作业投入的设备数量急剧增加,地震勘探面临巨大的成本压力.面对东部老油区人口稠密、地表障碍密集的特点,无线节点具有放样不受地物制约、自主连续接收、采集排列可室内灵活定义的优势;与可控震源高效激发技术相配套,可实现复杂地表区三维地震采集的高效作业,从而缩短地震采集工期,缓解地震勘探成本的压力.2020年东方地球物理公司辽河物探处在辽河坳陷SJP地区的三维勘探表明,无线节点采集技术在复杂地表区适用可行,可以有效提高复杂地质目标的成像精度,是东部老油区地震勘探技术经济一体化的发展方向.     

成人肝脏未分化胚胎性肉瘤影像学表现

目的:探讨成人肝脏未分化胚胎性肉瘤（UESL）的CT/MRI表现及病理对照分析。资料与方法:回顾性分析经手术切除并病理证实的UESL 5例患者临床和影像学资料。结果:5例病灶均单发,4例位于肝右叶,1例同时累及肝左右叶。CT/MRI表现为边界模糊的囊实性肿块,囊壁见结节状、不规则软组织密度/信号影,内见厚壁不均分隔,CT平扫呈低密度,内见大片状液化、坏死,MRI平扫呈长T1长T2信号改变,CT/MRI增强扫描壁结节、软组织成分及囊内分隔呈轻度渐进性强化。结论:成人UESL影像表现有一定的诊断价值,有助于提高术前诊断准确率。      

地震安全性评价制度改革的问题与展望

地震安全性评价制度是地震灾害预防制度的重要组成部分,自中华人民共和国成立之初演化发展至20世纪90年代基本成形,并纳入《中华人民共和国防震减灾法》。在深化“放管服”改革中,国务院先后取消了地震安全性评价资质许可和结果审定的行政审批事项,提出施行区域评估。在建立新制度过程中,面临着审批部门须承担委托开展地震安全性评价责任、区域性地震安全性评价与地震小区划及地震区划同质化、地震安全性评价结果质量监管困难、重大建设工程“应评未评”“评而未用”等问题。本文在分析地震安全性评价制度历史变迁、改革现状的基础上,提出地震安全性评价制度改革的展望,以期为地震安全性评价制度改革和《中华人民共和国防震减灾法》《地震安全性评价管理条例》修订提供参考。     

济阳拗陷特殊生物降解油的初步研究

济阳拗陷草古100平19井奥陶系储层原油,饱和烃馏分均已损失殆尽,仅残余藿烷系列化合物;同时,芳烃馏分化合物也已损失殆尽,仅残余三芳甾烷系列化合物。上述芳烃化合物俱已损失殆尽的蚀变特征,在相关文献中的报道较为少见。原油中不受水洗作用影响的正构烷烃和不受生物降解作用影响的有机硫化合物(苯并噻吩和二苯并噻吩)均已损失殆尽,显然暗示了原油蚀变是遭受水洗作用和生物降解作用共同作用的结果。原油芳烃馏分的“UCM”鼓包幅度明显大于饱和烃馏分的“UCM”鼓包,暗示了芳烃化合物的降解速率平行甚至超过饱和烃的降解速率。原油中低分子量芳烃化合物的快速降解,暗示了油藏可能是在氧化条件下而非在还原条件下发生蚀变的。     

东北地区农业结构转型时期土地利用变化的成因与效应

During the last decade of the 20th century, extensive conversion in agricultural land use took place in Northeast China. The goal of this study is to ascertain its spatial distribution and regional differentiation, determine its causes, and analyze its environmental impact, Especially we attempt to elucidate how institutional constraints have facilitated the change at a time of agrarian restructuring when newly emerging free market was hybridized with the former planned economy. Information on six categories of land use was mapped from interpretation of Landsat TM images recorded in 1990,1995 and 2000. Most of land use changes took place during the first half of the decade, coinciding with abrupt and chaotic changes in government directives. Farmland was changed mainly to woodland,water body and built-up areas while woodland and grassland were converted chiefly to farmland.Spatially, the change from farmland to woodland was restricted to the west of the study area. The change from grassland to farmland took place in the grazing and farming interlocked west. These chaotic and occasionally conflicting changes were largely caused by lack of stability and consistency in agricultural land use policies promulgated. They have exerted adverse impacts on the local environment, including land degradation, increased flooding, and modified climate regime.