全文获取类型
收费全文 | 879篇 |
免费 | 33篇 |
国内免费 | 21篇 |
专业分类
测绘学 | 8篇 |
大气科学 | 121篇 |
地球物理 | 191篇 |
地质学 | 364篇 |
海洋学 | 30篇 |
天文学 | 191篇 |
综合类 | 4篇 |
自然地理 | 24篇 |
出版年
2021年 | 13篇 |
2020年 | 13篇 |
2019年 | 11篇 |
2018年 | 13篇 |
2017年 | 13篇 |
2016年 | 23篇 |
2015年 | 27篇 |
2014年 | 28篇 |
2013年 | 43篇 |
2012年 | 41篇 |
2011年 | 42篇 |
2010年 | 34篇 |
2009年 | 40篇 |
2008年 | 47篇 |
2007年 | 31篇 |
2006年 | 33篇 |
2005年 | 36篇 |
2004年 | 31篇 |
2003年 | 23篇 |
2002年 | 28篇 |
2001年 | 19篇 |
2000年 | 22篇 |
1999年 | 19篇 |
1998年 | 15篇 |
1997年 | 7篇 |
1996年 | 13篇 |
1995年 | 11篇 |
1994年 | 14篇 |
1993年 | 10篇 |
1992年 | 8篇 |
1991年 | 17篇 |
1990年 | 9篇 |
1989年 | 6篇 |
1988年 | 11篇 |
1987年 | 8篇 |
1986年 | 7篇 |
1985年 | 8篇 |
1984年 | 12篇 |
1983年 | 13篇 |
1981年 | 16篇 |
1980年 | 12篇 |
1979年 | 7篇 |
1978年 | 12篇 |
1977年 | 8篇 |
1976年 | 13篇 |
1975年 | 8篇 |
1974年 | 6篇 |
1973年 | 10篇 |
1972年 | 6篇 |
1960年 | 4篇 |
排序方式: 共有933条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
101.
102.
103.
Mathematical Geosciences - Geological facies modeling is a key component in exploration and characterization of subsurface reservoirs. While traditional geostatistical approaches are still commonly... 相似文献
104.
105.
106.
Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
Doug M. Smith Adam A. Scaife George J. Boer Mihaela Caian Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes Virginie Guemas Ed Hawkins Wilco Hazeleger Leon Hermanson Chun Kit Ho Masayoshi Ishii Viatcheslav Kharin Masahide Kimoto Ben Kirtman Judith Lean Daniela Matei William J. Merryfield Wolfgang A. Müller Holger Pohlmann Anthony Rosati Bert Wouters Klaus Wyser 《Climate Dynamics》2013,41(11-12):2875-2888
We present the first climate prediction of the coming decade made with multiple models, initialized with prior observations. This prediction accrues from an international activity to exchange decadal predictions in near real-time, in order to assess differences and similarities, provide a consensus view to prevent over-confidence in forecasts from any single model, and establish current collective capability. We stress that the forecast is experimental, since the skill of the multi-model system is as yet unknown. Nevertheless, the forecast systems used here are based on models that have undergone rigorous evaluation and individually have been evaluated for forecast skill. Moreover, it is important to publish forecasts to enable open evaluation, and to provide a focus on climate change in the coming decade. Initialized forecasts of the year 2011 agree well with observations, with a pattern correlation of 0.62 compared to 0.31 for uninitialized projections. In particular, the forecast correctly predicted La Niña in the Pacific, and warm conditions in the north Atlantic and USA. A similar pattern is predicted for 2012 but with a weaker La Niña. Indices of Atlantic multi-decadal variability and Pacific decadal variability show no signal beyond climatology after 2015, while temperature in the Niño3 region is predicted to warm slightly by about 0.5 °C over the coming decade. However, uncertainties are large for individual years and initialization has little impact beyond the first 4 years in most regions. Relative to uninitialized forecasts, initialized forecasts are significantly warmer in the north Atlantic sub-polar gyre and cooler in the north Pacific throughout the decade. They are also significantly cooler in the global average and over most land and ocean regions out to several years ahead. However, in the absence of volcanic eruptions, global temperature is predicted to continue to rise, with each year from 2013 onwards having a 50 % chance of exceeding the current observed record. Verification of these forecasts will provide an important opportunity to test the performance of models and our understanding and knowledge of the drivers of climate change. 相似文献
107.
Tele-connecting local consumption to global land use 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Globalization increases the interconnectedness of people and places around the world. In a connected world, goods and services consumed in one country are often produced in other countries and exchanged via international trade. Thus, local consumption is increasingly met by global supply chains oftentimes involving large geographical distances and leading to global environmental change. In this study, we connect local consumption to global land use through tracking global commodity and value chains via international trade flows. Using a global multiregional input–output model with sectoral detail allows for the accounting of land use attributed to “unusual” sectors – from a land use perspective – including services, machinery and equipment, and construction. Our results show how developed countries consume a large amount of goods and services from both domestic and international markets, and thus impose pressure not only on their domestic land resources, but also displace land in other countries, thus displacing other uses. For example, 33% of total U.S. land use for consumption purposes is displaced from other countries. This ratio becomes much larger for the EU (more than 50%) and Japan (92%). Our analysis shows that 47% of Brazilian and 88% of Argentinean cropland is used for consumption purposes outside of their territories, mainly in EU countries and China. In addition, consumers in rich countries tend to displace land by consuming non-agricultural products, such as services, clothing and household appliances, which account for more than 50% of their total land displacement. By contrast, for developing economies, such as African countries, the share of land use for non-agricultural products is much lower, with an average of 7%. The emerging economies and population giants, China and India, are likely to further increase their appetite for land from other countries, such as Africa, Russia and Latin America, to satisfy their own land needs driven by their fast economic growth and the needs and lifestyles of their growing populations. 相似文献
108.
Zsolt Kővári Katalin Oláh János Bartus Klaus G. Strassmeier Michael Weber Albert Washuettl John B. Rice Szilárd Csizmadia 《Astrophysics and Space Science》2006,304(1-4):375-377
Doppler images are presented for the RS CVn-type binary ζ And. Our upgraded Doppler imaging code TempMapε takes into account the distorted geometry of the primary giant component. On the maps several low latitude spots are restored with a temperature contrast of about 1000 K. Some weak polar features are also found. Cross-correlation of the consecutive Doppler-maps suggests solar-like differential surface rotation. 相似文献
109.
Abstract— We report the first petrologic examination of all stone meteorites of Fayette County, Texas. The 10 stones represent four or five different fall events. The three recovered Bluff stones represent two falls. Bluff (a), which includes the 145.5-kg Bluff #1 stone, is classified as L5(S4), whereas Bluff (b) is classified as L4(S3) and is represented by a single stone. The studied Cedar stones are classified as H4(S3), and all four Cedar stones appear to define a strewnfield. Round Top (a), classified as L5(S3) and represented by two stones, is unrelated to either Bluff or Cedar. Round Top (b) [H4(S3); 1 stone], whose exact provenance is unknown, might be a transported fragment of the Cedar shower. 相似文献
110.
Andreas F. Voegele Christofer S. Tautermann Andreas Hallbrucker Erwin Mayer Klaus R. Liedl 《Icarus》2004,169(1):242-249
Sulfurous acid (H2SO3) has never been characterized or isolated on Earth. This is caused by the unfavorable conditions for H2SO3 within Earth's atmosphere due to the high temperatures, the high water content and the oxidizing environment. Kinetic investigations by means of transition state theory showed that the half-life of H2SO3 at 300 K is 1 day but at 100 K it is increased to 2.7 billion years. Natural conditions to form H2SO3 presumably require cryogenic SO2 or SO2/H2O mixtures and high energy proton irradiation at temperatures around 100 K. Such conditions can be found on the Jupiter moons Io and Europa. Therefore, we calculated IR-spectra of H2SO3 which we compared with Galileo's spectra of Io and Europa. From the available data we surmise that H2SO3 is present on Io and probably but to a smaller extent on Europa. 相似文献