排序方式: 共有46条查询结果,搜索用时 78 毫秒
11.
Eduardo Zorita Anders Moberg Lotta Leijonhufvud Rob Wilson Rudolf Brázdil Petr Dobrovolný Jürg Luterbacher Reinhard Böhm Christian Pfister Dirk Riemann Rüdiger Glaser Johan Söderberg Fidel González-Rouco 《Climatic change》2010,101(1-2):143-168
Two European temperature reconstructions for the past half-millennium, January-to-April air temperature for Stockholm (Sweden) and seasonal temperature for a Central European region, both derived from the analysis of documentary sources and long instrumental records, are compared with the output of climate simulations with the model ECHO-G. The analysis is complemented by comparisons with the long (early)-instrumental record of Central England Temperature (CET). Both approaches to study past climates (simulations and reconstructions) are burdened with uncertainties. The main objective of this comparative analysis is to identify robust features and weaknesses in each method which may help to improve models and reconstruction methods. The results indicate a general agreement between simulations obtained with temporally changing external forcings and the reconstructed Stockholm and CET records for the multi-centennial temperature trend over the recent centuries, which is not reproduced in a control simulation. This trend is likely due to the long-term change in external forcing. Additionally, the Stockholm reconstruction and the CET record also show a clear multi-decadal warm episode peaking around AD 1730, which is absent in the simulations. Neither the reconstruction uncertainties nor the model internal climate variability can easily explain this difference. Regarding the interannual variability, the Stockholm series displays, in some periods, higher amplitudes than the simulations but these differences are within the statistical uncertainty and further decrease if output from a regional model driven by the global model is used. The long-term trend of the CET series agrees less well with the simulations. The reconstructed temperature displays, for all seasons, a smaller difference between the present climate and past centuries than is seen in the simulations. Possible reasons for these differences may be related to a limitation of the traditional ‘indexing’ technique for converting documentary evidence to temperature values to capture long-term climate changes, because the documents often reflect temperatures relative to the contemporary authors’ own perception of what constituted ‘normal’ conditions. By contrast, the amplitude of the simulated and reconstructed inter-annual variability agrees rather well. 相似文献
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Alessandro Fabbrizio Roland Stalder Kathrin Hametner Detlef Günther Katharina Marquardt 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》2013,166(2):639-653
We present new partition coefficients for various trace elements including Cl between olivine, pyroxenes, amphibole and coexisting chlorine-bearing aqueous fluid in a series of high-pressure experiments at 2 GPa between 900 and 1,300 °C in natural and synthetic systems. Diamond aggregates were added to the experimental capsule set-up in order to separate the fluid from the solid residue and enable in situ analysis of the quenched solute by LA–ICP–MS. The chlorine and fluorine contents in mantle minerals were measured by electron microprobe, and the nature of OH defects was investigated by infrared spectroscopy. Furthermore, a fluorine-rich olivine from one selected sample was investigated by TEM. Results reveal average Cl concentrations in olivine and pyroxenes around 20 ppm and up to 900 ppm F in olivine, making olivine an important repository of halogens in the mantle. Chlorine is always incompatible with Cl partition coefficients D Cl olivine/fluid varying between 10?5 and 10?3, whereas D Cl orthopyroxene/fluid and D Cl clinopyroxene/fluid are ~10?4 and D Cl amphibole/fluid is ~5 × 10?3. Furthermore, partitioning results for incompatible trace element show that compatibilities of trace elements are generally ordered as D amph/fluid ≈ D cpx/fluid > D opx/fluid > D ol/fluid but that D mineral/fluid for Li and P is very similar for all observed silicate phases. Infrared spectra of olivine synthesized in a F-free Ti-bearing system show absorption bands at 3,525 and ~3,570 cm?1. In F ± TiO2-bearing systems, additional absorption bands appear at ~3,535, ~3,595, 3,640 and 3,670 cm?1. Absorption bands at ~3,530 and ~3,570 cm?1, previously assigned to humite-like point defects, profit from low synthesis temperatures and the presence of F. The presence of planar defects could not be proved by TEM investigations, but dislocations in the olivine lattice were observed and are suggested to be an important site for halogen incorporation in olivine. 相似文献
14.
Marcus A. Hardie Richard B. Doyle William E. Cotching Kathrin Mattern Shaun Lisson 《水文研究》2012,26(20):3079-3091
Antecedent soil moisture significantly influenced the hydraulic conductivity of the A1, A2e and B21 horizons in a series of strong texture‐contrast soils. Tension infiltration at six supply potentials demonstrated that in the A1 horizon, hydraulic conductivity was significantly lower in the ‘wet’ treatment than in the ‘dry’ treatment. However in the A2e horizon, micropore and mesopore hydraulic conductivity was lower in the ‘dry’ treatment than the ‘wet’ treatment, which was attributed to the precipitation of soluble amorphous silica. In the B21 horizon, desiccation of vertic clays resulted in the formation of shrinkage cracks which significantly increased near‐saturated hydraulic conductivity and prevented the development of subsurface lateral flow in the ‘dry’ treatment. In the ‘wet’ treatment, the difference between the hydraulic conductivity of the A1 and B21 horizons was reduced; however, lateral flow still occurred in the A1 horizon due to difficulty displacing existing soil water further down the soil profile. Results demonstrate the need to account for temporal variation in soil porosity and hydraulic conductivity in soil‐water model conceptualisation and parameterisation. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
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Harold E. Brooks Aaron R. Anderson Kathrin Riemann Irina Ebbers Heather Flachs 《Atmospheric Research》2007,83(2-4):294-305
Annual cycles of convectively important atmospheric parameters have been computed for a variety of from the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR)/National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) global reanalysis, using 7 years of reanalysis data. Regions in the central United States show stronger seasonality in combinations of thermodynamic parameters than found elsewhere in North America or Europe. As a result, there is a period of time in spring and early summer when climatological mean conditions are supportive of severe thunderstorms.The annual cycles help in understanding the large-scale processes that lead to the combination of atmospheric ingredients necessary for strong convection. This, in turn, lays groundwork for possible changes in distribution of the environments associated with possible global climate change. 相似文献
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E. Kathrin Lang 《Planetary and Space Science》2011,59(8):722-732
Spectroscopic studies of the homogeneous and heterogeneous crystallization of supercooled ethane aerosol droplets performed under conditions representative of those in Titan's lower atmosphere are presented. Pure ethane aerosols and both internally- and externally-mixed ensembles of ethane/acetylene and ethane/carbon dioxide aerosols were generated in a bath gas cooling cell and their freezing dynamics monitored using infrared absorption spectroscopy. A detailed overview of the spectroscopic signatures of pure ethane and mixed ethane/acetylene and ethane/carbon dioxide aerosols and their phase-dependence is provided. The ice-nucleating efficiencies of acetylene and carbon dioxide aerosols were compared, as were the efficiencies of freezing via an immersion or contact freezing mechanism. The spectral data provided will be of significant use for remote sensing applications, while the nucleation studies have important consequences for models of Titan's ethane clouds. 相似文献
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Kathrin A. Hochmuth Franz V. Feilitzsch Teresa Marrodán Undagoitia Lothar Oberauer Walter Potzel Michael Wurm Brian D. Fields 《Earth, Moon, and Planets》2006,99(1-4):253-264
A future large-volume liquid scintillator detector such as the proposed 50 kton LENA (Low Energy Neutrino Astronomy) detector
would provide a high-statistics measurement of terrestrial antineutrinos originating from β-decays of the uranium and thorium
chains. Additionally, the neutron is scattered in the forward direction in the detection reaction . Henceforth, we investigate to what extent LENA can distinguish between certain geophysical models on the basis of the angular
dependence of the geoneutrino flux. Our analysis is based on a Monte-Carlo simulation with different levels of light yield,
considering an unloaded PXE scintillator. We find that LENA is able to detect deviations from isotropy of the geoneutrino
flux with high significance. However, if only the directional information is used, the time required to distinguish between
different geophysical models is of the order of severals decades. Nonetheless, a high-statistics measurement of the total
geoneutrino flux and its spectrum still provides an extremely useful glance at the Earth’s interior. 相似文献
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Eduard Bauerfeind Eva-Maria Nöthig Agnieszka Beszczynska Kirsten Fahl Lars Kaleschke Kathrin Kreker Michael Klages Thomas Soltwedel Christiane Lorenzen Jan Wegner 《Deep Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers》2009,56(9):1471-1487
Since 2000 long-term measurements of vertical particle flux have been performed with moored sediment traps at the long-term observatory HAUSGARTEN in the eastern Fram Strait (79°N/4°E). The study area, which is seasonally covered with ice, is located in the confluence zone of the northward flowing warm saline Atlantic water with cold, low salinity water masses of Arctic origin. Current projections suggest that this area is particularly vulnerable to global warming. Total matter fluxes and components thereof (carbonate, particulate organic carbon and nitrogen, biogenic silica, biomarkers) revealed a bimodal seasonal pattern showing elevated sedimentation rates during May/June and August/September. Annual total matter flux (dry weight, DW) at ~300 m depth varied between 13 and 32 g m?2 a?1 during 2000 and 2005. Of this total flux 6–13% was due to CaCO3, 4–21% to refractory particulate organic carbon (POC), and 3–8% to biogenic particulate silica (bPSi). The annual flux of all biogenic components together was almost constant during the period studied (8.5–8.8 g m?2 a?1), although this varied from 27% to 67% of the total annual flux. The fraction was lowest in a year characterized by the longest duration of ice coverage (91 and 70 days for the calendar year and summer season, May–September, respectively). Biomarker analyses revealed that organic matter originating from marine sources was present in excess of terrigenious material in the sedimented matter throughout most of the study period. Fluxes of recognizable phyto- and protozooplankton cells amounted up to 60×106 m?2 d?1. Diatoms and coccolithophorids were the most abundant organisms. Diatoms, mainly pennate species, dominated during the first years of the investigation. A shift in the composition occurred during the last year when numbers of diatoms declined considerably, leading to a dominance of coccolithoporids. This was also reflected in a decrease in the sedimentation of bPSi. The sedimentation of biogenic matter, however, did not differ from the amount observed during the previous years. Among the larger organisms, pteropods at times contributed significantly to both the total matter and CaCO3, fluxes. 相似文献
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Assessment of recreation activity and its application to integrated management and spatial planning for Cork Harbour, Ireland 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Cathal OMahony Jeremy Gault Val Cummins Kathrin Kpke Darragh OSuilleabhain 《Marine Policy》2009,33(6):930
The coastal environment is commonly the location for multiple human activities, of which recreation is just one. The coastal and marine sector has experienced nascent growth and this trend is likely to continue into the foreseeable future; the projected growth of the sector will impact coastal and marine resources, whilst also placing demands on those tasked with planning and managing the coastal environment. In Ireland, this presents particular challenges for coastal local authorities, as the principal planning consent body. In order to address these emerging challenges an innovative working partnership was developed between the research community and local authority to examine marine recreation in Cork Harbour, situated on the southern coast of Ireland. A programme of work was devised to identify data gaps in terms of: baseline information; user attitudes and perceptions towards existing management framework and facilities for recreation; interactions between different user groups; and, spatial distribution of recreational activities. The results of the assessment provided an improved understanding of the current coastal recreational situation, have value as input to spatial planning and contribute to the development of an integrated management plan for Cork Harbour. 相似文献
20.
Martin Piringer Sylvain Joffre Alexander Baklanov Andreas Christen Marco Deserti Koen De Ridder Stefan Emeis Patrice Mestayer Maria Tombrou Douglas Middleton Kathrin Baumann-Stanzer Aggeliki Dandou Ari Karppinen Jerzy Burzynski 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2007,124(1):3-24
The specific problems of determining and simulating the surface energy balance (SEB) and the mixing height (MH) over urban
areas are examined. The SEB and MH are critical components of algorithms and numerical models for the urban boundary layer,
though the constituent parts of the SEB and the MH are not routinely measured by national weather services. Parameterisations
are thus needed in applications. In this investigation, several recently developed algorithms and models for estimating the
SEB and MH were applied to new datasets and assessed. Results are discussed in terms of the need for spatial resolution and
the parameters needed to describe the urban atmosphere. Limitations of models are identified and recommendations for further
development and observations are given. Having identified gaps in knowledge, key findings from new urban experiments and numerical
modelling for the SEB and MH are given. The diurnal cycle for the SEB is significantly different from rural conditions—urban
heat storage is needed in urban parameterisations. The urban MH is increased over the rural MH, as shown by several numerical
schemes and careful sodar analyses. This work has been carried out within the COST-715 Action “Meteorology applied to urban
air pollution problems (1998–2004). COST 715 reached a consensus proposing representatively sited measurements of meteorological
parameters and turbulent fluxes above roof-tops, and recognised that such data are needed to improve numerical models of the
urban surface processes. 相似文献