Validation of official erosion modelling based on high‐resolution radar rain data by aerial photo erosion classification

The universal soil loss equation (USLE) is the most frequently applied erosion prediction model and it is also implemented as an official decision‐making instrument for agricultural regulations. The USLE itself has been already validated using different approaches. Additional errors, however, arise from input data and interpolation procedures that become necessary for field‐specific predictions on a national scale for administrative purposes. In this study, predicted event soil loss using the official prediction system in Bavaria (Germany) was validated by comparison with aerial photo erosion classifications of 8100 fields. Values for the USLE factors were mainly taken from the official Bavarian high‐resolution (5 × 5 m²) erosion cadastre. As series of erosion events were examined, the cover and management factor was replaced by the soil loss ratio. The event erosivity factor was calculated from high‐resolution (1 × 1 km², 5 min), rain gauge‐adjusted radar rain data (RADOLAN). Aerial photo erosion interpretation worked sufficiently well and average erosion predictions and visual classifications correlated closely. This was also true for data broken down to individual factors and different crops. There was no reason to assume a general invalidity of the USLE and the official parametrization procedures. Event predictions mainly suffered from errors in the assumed crop stage period and tillage practices, which do not reflect interannual and farm‐specific variation. In addition, the resolution of radar data (1 km²) did not seem to be sufficient to predict short‐term erosion on individual fields given the strong spatial gradients within individual rains. The quality of the input data clearly determined prediction quality. Differences between USLE predictions and observations are most likely caused by parametrization weaknesses but not by a failure of the model itself. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Grid point surface air temperature calculations with a fast turnaround: Combining the results of IMAGE and a GCM

This paper describes a methodology that combines the outputs of (1) the Integrated Model to Assess the Greenhouse Effect (IMAGE Version 1.0) of the Netherlands National Institute of Public Health and Environmental Protection (RIVM) (given a greenhouse gas emission policy, this model can estimate the effects such as global mean surface air temperature change for a wide variety of policies) and (2) ECHAM-1/LSG, the Global Circulation Model (GCM) of the Max-Planck Institute for Meteorology in Hamburg, Germany. The combination enables one to calculate grid point surface air temperature changes for different scenarios with a turnaround time that is much quicker than that for a GCM. The methodology is based upon a geographical pattern of the ratio of grid point temperature change to global mean values during a certain period of the simulation, as calculated by ECHAM-1/LSG for the 1990 Scenarios A and D of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). A procedure, based upon signal-to noise ratios in the outputs, enabled us to estimate where we have confidence in the methodology; this is at about 23% to 83% of the total of 2,048 grid points, depending upon the scenario and the decade in the simulation. It was found that the methodology enabled IMAGE to provide useful estimates of the GCM-predicted grid point temperature changes. These estimates were within 0.5K (0.25K) throughout the 100 years of a given simulation for at least 79% (74%) of the grid points where we are confident in applying the methodology. The temperature ratio pattern from Scenario A enabled IMAGE to provide useful estimates of temperature change within 0.5K (0.25K) in Scenario D for at least 88% (68%) of the grid points where we have confidence; indicating that the methodology is transferable to other scenarios. Tests with the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory GCM indicated, however, that a temperature ratio pattern may have to be developed for each GCM. The methodology, using a temperature ratio pattern from the 1990 IPCC Scenario A and involving IMAGE, gave gridded surface air temperature patterns for the 1992 IPCC radiative-forcing Scenarios C and E and the RIVM emission Scenario B; none of these scenarios has been simulated by ECHAM-1/LSG. The simulations reflect the uncertainty range of a future warming.The work reported by the authors was carried out during their stay at the project Forestry and Climate Change of the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.     

Gravimetrische Feldmessungen und Modellberechnungen im Felbertauerngebiet (Mittlere Hohe Tauern)

Zusammenfassung Es wird über gravimetrische Messungen berichtet, die im Gebiet der Felbertauern ober- und untertägig (Straßentunnel der Felbertauern AG und Pipelinestollen der Transalpinen Ölleitung TAL) durchgeführt wurden.Die Ergebnisse der Feldmessungen sind in Profilen der Bouguer-, Regional- und Restanomalien dargestellt.An diesen Restanomalien wird zusätzlich eine Korrektur zur Berücksichtigung der Oberflächengeologie angebracht.Die Ergebnisse der ober- und untertägigen Messungen werden miteinander kombiniert und mit den Ergebnissen von Berechnungen digital simulierter Modelle verglichen.Hiermit läßt sich ein Bild vom geologischen Aufbau des Meßgebietes entwerfen, das gravimetrisch konsistent ist.

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Underground and surface gravity measurements have been carried out in the area of the Felbertauern. The results of the measurements are presented as profiles of Bouguer and Regional and Residual anomalies.An additional correction is made to take into account the surface geology.The results of the underground and surface measurements are combined and compared with the calculations by digital simulated models.From this it is possible to construct a gravimetric consistent figure of the geological structure.

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Résumé Rapport concernant des mesures gravimétriques effectuées dans la région du Felbertauern en surface et au fond (Tunnel routier de la «Felbertauern AG» et galerie pour le pipe-line de l'oléoduc transalpin — TAL —).Les résultats des mesures sont représentés en profile des anomalies de Bouguer, des anomalies régionales et des anomalies résiduelles.En outre, on corrige ces anomalise résiduelles tenant compte de la géologie de surface.On combine les résultats des mesures effectuées en surface et au fond les uns avec les autres et on les compare aux résultats de calculs de modèles simulés à l'ordinateur.Ainsi, on peut concevoir un plan de la structure géologique de la région étudiée.

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, : Felbertauern AG, Pipelinestollen der Transalpinen Oelleitung TAL. : Bouguer'a, . . . , .

     

A geomorphological seabed classification for the Weddell Sea,Antarctica

Sea floor morphology plays an important role in many scientific disciplines such as ecology, hydrology and sedimentology since geomorphic features can act as physical controls for e.g. species distribution, oceanographically flow-path estimations or sedimentation processes. In this study, we provide a terrain analysis of the Weddell Sea based on the 500 m × 500 m resolution bathymetry data provided by the mapping project IBCSO. Seventeen seabed classes are recognized at the sea floor based on a fine and broad scale Benthic Positioning Index calculation highlighting the diversity of the glacially carved shelf. Beside the morphology, slope, aspect, terrain rugosity and hillshade were calculated and supplied to the data archive PANGAEA. Applying zonal statistics to the geomorphic features identified unambiguously the shelf edge of the Weddell Sea with a width of 45–70 km and a mean depth of about 1200 m ranging from 270 m to 4300 m. A complex morphology of troughs, flat ridges, pinnacles, steep slopes, seamounts, outcrops, and narrow ridges, structures with approx. 5–7 km width, build an approx. 40–70 km long swath along the shelf edge. The study shows where scarps and depressions control the connection between shelf and abyssal and where high and low declination within the scarps e.g. occur. For evaluation purpose, 428 grain size samples were added to the seabed class map. The mean values of mud, sand and gravel of those samples falling into a single seabed class was calculated, respectively, and assigned to a sediment texture class according to a common sediment classification scheme.     

Hydrous Silicates and Water on Venus

We used thermochemical equilibrium calculations to predict stabilities of pure rock-forming hydrous silicates on Venus' surface as a function of elevation, atmospheric H₂O and SO₂concentrations, and oxygen fugacity (f_O2). About 50 different hydrous silicates were included in our calculations. We find that many of these are unstable on Venus's surface because of the low atmospheric H₂O content of 30–45 parts per million by volume (ppmv) and the high surface temperatures (660 K on Maxwell Montes to 740 K in the plains). Hydrous Fe²⁺-bearing silicates are unstable due to oxidation to magnetite and/or hematite at the f_O2of the near-surface atmosphere. Ca-bearing hydrous silicates are unstable because of sulfatization to anhydrite. Some Fe-free micas (e.g., eastonite, eastonite–phlogopite micas), and some alkali amphiboles might be stable on Venus' surface, especially in the lower temperature highlands. We discuss hydrous mineral formation in the interior and on the surface of Venus. We review the literature on mica and amphibole thermal decomposition and find that dehydration of phlogopitic micas and fibrous amphiboles produces (metastable) dehydroxylated anhydrides that decompose to more stable minerals at temperatures hundreds of degrees higher than the onset of dehydroxylation. These observations raise the possibility that anhydrides formed from hydrous silicates, which may have been present during a wetter period in Venus' history, may persist somewhere on Venus' present surface. We discuss experiments that could be used on future spacecraft missions to detect hydroxyl in rocks and hydrous silicates on Venus. Finally, we review estimates of the amount of water and OH (hydroxyl) in the Earth's mantle. Based on this review, we suggest that even if no hydrous silicates are stable on Venus, significant amounts of water are plausibly present in surface rocks as OH in nominally anhydrous minerals.     

Vegetation zones and EVAPORABLE WATER in tropical climates

Summary Köppen's definition of the climates of tropical savanna and forest is validated for Amazonia. A new validation is also found for the rainfall regimes which delimit tropical-subtropical vegetation zones of rainforest, monsoon forest, savanna and desert in India, as originally conceived by Walter. The climatologic definition of Köppen is reconciled with the climatographic definition of the ecologist Walter. The ratio-nalization is based on numerical climatonomic evaluation of the minimum in the annual course of EVAPORABLE WATER within tropical-subtropical rainfall regimes.With 3 Figures