确定全球厘米级精度大地水准面的可能性和方法探讨

阐述确定厘米级精度大地水准面所面临的挑战,评述各种大地水准面的定义,提出一种确定1°×1°厘米级精度全球大地水准面的新思路和新方法:在已知相应厘米级精度全球重力位模型、地形密度分布模型以及平均海面高模型的前提下,利用虚拟压缩恢复法可实现全球1°×1°厘米级精度大地水准面的目标。初步论证实现此目标的可能性和条件,并简要介绍一个模拟实验结果。     

中国干旱-半干旱区表土bGDGTs与气候环境因子数据再分析

文章通过收集中国北方干旱-半干旱区域已发表的bGDGTs数据,重新计算了不同地区表土bGDGTs各组分与温度及pH等环境因子之间的相关关系。主要获得以下认识：1)不同于干旱区,半干旱区bGDGTs的异构体指标与土壤pH表现为强相关,在4个异构体指标(IBT、 CBT′、 IR′_IIa、 IR′_IIIa)中CBT′、 IR′_IIIa计算的pH结果精度较高;2)半干旱区f（5 me）与pH表现为强相关（-0.847）,指示了基于5-甲基bGDGTs的指标同样具有重建半干旱区pH的潜力。但是目前缺乏CBT′_5ME-pH之间的转换函数;3)全球温度校正方程计算得出的温度误差普遍大于中国区域校正方程（中国北方、青藏高原等区域）获取的温度误差。通过整合数据重新计算发现4个区域温度校正方程(MBT′_5ME、 Tmr、 MAATsr、 Index 1)计算的温度结果具有较小的误差,且在半干旱区重建的温度结果更为精确;另外MAATsr、 Index 1的区域温度校正方程也适用于干旱区的温度重建,...     

板钉连接CFST柱-RC梁节点梁端塑性铰区受力性能数值模拟

建立竖板-栓钉连接钢管混凝土（CFST）柱-钢筋混凝土（RC）梁节点试件（SSJD）拟静力加载试验有限元模型,并在节点损伤情况、梁端荷载-位移曲线等数值模拟结果与试验结果吻合较好的基础上,进一步开展了RC梁混凝土强度、配筋率ρ_s和连接竖板长度L_b及界面连接情况等对CFST柱-RC梁节点梁端塑性铰区域力学性能的影响。研究结果表明,RC梁混凝土强度对试件SSJD塑性铰区域受力性能的影响较小;适筋范围内RC梁配筋率增加可适当提高试件SSJD承载力和延性;随着连接竖板长度的增加,梁端塑性铰区域外移,梁破坏荷载增大;本研究给出的RC梁与CFST柱之间的界面抗剪承载力模拟值与计算值吻合较好,可用于界面抗剪设计。     

Numerical simulation of deep-hole resistivity anomaly caused by drilling construction in Xinfengjiang geoelectric station

The Xinfengjiang reservoir in Guangdong Province, is one of the large reservoirs that have triggered earthquakes of magnitude greater than 6. Numerous earthquakes have occurred since the impoundment of the reservoir, making it one of the most active seismic zones in south China. In 2015, a set of deep-hole resistivity anomalies was observed in the Heping geoelectric station in Dongyuan county, located near the Xinfengjiang reservoir. After a field investigation, we found that a planned well drilling construction of new measuring channels was being carried out during that corresponding period of time. After careful comparison and analysis on the basis of the collected raw data, we had a reason to believe that drilling construction, rather than the inducement of the Xinfengjiang reservoir, was the main culprit for those unusual georesistivity values. So as to verify the above conjecture, we constructed a series of 3D finite element models based on the geological and hydrological information around Heping station and analyzed the drilling disturbances, respectively. Some significant conclusions were finally drawn according to the precise numerical simulation. This study gives a good example by combining numerical simulation with engineering practice as a way to understand the root cause of georesistivity anomalies in reality.     

各向异性组合滤波法反演陆地水储量变化

地球时变重力场模型反演陆地水储量变化已为全球气候变化研究作出巨大贡献,考虑到时变重力场模型球谐系数中存在相关性,其高阶次项具有较大的误差,需采用最优的滤波方法进行空间平滑。本文提出一种新的各向异性组合滤波方法,其基本思想是将改进的高斯滤波法与均方根(root mean square,RMS)滤波法组合,即对球谐系数的低阶次采用改进的高斯滤波法,而高阶次采用RMS滤波法。首先分析了最新的GRACE RL05系列时变重力场模型系数误差特性,基于全球水储量变化反演结果,分析比较了高斯滤波、改进的高斯滤波、RMS滤波和DDK滤波与本文提出的组合滤波法的有效性及精度,并利用模型结果进行了验证,计算结果表明,组合滤波法的中误差最小。研究结果表明,本文提出的组合法相比于先前的滤波方法,可有效地过滤高阶次的噪声,消除南北条带误差,同时减少信号泄漏,提高信噪比,保留更多有效的地球物理信号,进而提高反演精度。     

Poleward expansion of the hadley circulation in CMIP5 simulations

Observational analyses have demonstrated that the Hadley circulation has expanded poleward in recent decades. Important issues are what caused the widening of the Hadley circulation and whether the observed widening is related to anthropogenic forcing. In the present study, we use currently available simulations of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase-5 (CMIP5) to analyze changes in the width of the Hadley circulation. It is found that CMIP5 historical simulations with greenhouse gas (GHG) forcing generate a total widening of ～0.15o0.06o in latitude (10 yr)-1 for the period 1979--2005, and the widening in CMIP5 historical simulations with all forcings is ～0.17o0.06o per decade. Similar to that in CMIP3, the simulated poleward expansion in CMIP5 is much weaker than the observational reanalyses. In CMIP5 projection simulations for the 21st century, magnitudes of widening of the Hadley circulation increase with radiative forcing. For the extreme projected radiative forcing of RCP8.5, the total annual-mean widening of the Hadley circulation is ～0.27o0.04o(10 yr)-1 in the 21st century. Although CMIP5 underestimates observed poleward expansion of the Hadley circulation, the results of this study suggest that the observed trends in the width of the Hadley circulation are caused by anthropogenic forcing and that increasing GHGs play an important role in the observed poleward expansion of the Hadley circulation, in addition to other forcings emphasized in previous studies.     

平阴县努力探索矿山恢复治理的新路子

平阴县地处济南、泰安、聊城三市交界处，辖12个乡镇（办事处），346个行政村，36．12万人，总面积827km^2，其中山区丘陵占总面积的56．8％，地形地貌素有“六山三滩一平原”之称。由于境内拥有大小山头800多座，山石资源丰富，加之一河之隔的鲁西北平原“三石”市场需求旺盛，近年来平阴县以“三石”生产为主的建材业发展迅速，年产值达到12．26亿元，已成为农村群众增收的一个重要产业。     

似大地水准面的误差分析与抑制技术

大地水准面误差分析与精度评定是局部重力场逼近技术的重要组成部分,是大地水准面精化工程外业方案优化、算法设计和工程质量评价的基本依据。本文分别从地面重力数据误差和局部重力场算法两个方面,分析cm级大地水准面误差的影响特性,提出重力数据误差与大地水准面精度之间普遍适用的规律,推荐一种GPS水准和地面重力数据联合平差的精度评定方法,结合实例和模拟计算分析,介绍大地水准面误差分析与误差抑制方法。     

基于模糊支持向量机分类的土地利用时空演变研究

利用1995年、2003年和2008年3个时期徐州市丰县TM/ETM+遥感数据,采用模糊支持向量机方法进行土地利用分类,运用ArcGIS和Matlab编程,分析丰县1995—2008年间的土地利用时空格局演变规律和特点。研究表明,丰县建设用地不断扩展,耕地面积继续减少,林地持续增加,同时,丰县在环境保护方面加大了投入力度,土地利用结构和方式正趋向合理化。     

DZZ2型自动站监控软件数据故障分析与处理

2010年4月8日16时至9日10时,霍州市气象局自动站出现故障,监控软件无法正常显示各气象要素实时数据,通过认真分析查找原因,逐步排查故障,最终使问题得以圆满解决。本文对该次故障现象与分析处理过程进行了总结。