我国西部地区一些强震及中强震前后波速异常的初步研究（二）——波速异常区及其特性

本文介绍了根据近地震直达波到时资料确定震前波速异常区（简称孕震区）的方法,并给出了我国西部地区某些较大地震前波速异常区（孕震区）的初步测定结果。探索并讨论了孕震区的一些基本特性,即孕震区的形状、大小,孕震区的定向,主震在孕震区内所处的部位,孕震区内部波速异常状态的分布与发展等。最后还导出了孕震区线度与震源区尺度间的关系式,并作了简单的讨论。     

A comparative study of extensive machine learning models for predicting long-term monthly rainfall with an ensemble of climatic and meteorological predictors

Rainfall prediction is of vital importance in water resources management. Accurate long-term rainfall prediction remains an open and challenging problem. Machine learning techniques, as an increasingly popular approach, provide an attractive alternative to traditional methods. The main objective of this study was to improve the prediction accuracy of machine learning-based methods for monthly rainfall, and to improve the understanding of the role of large-scale climatic variables and local meteorological variables in rainfall prediction. One regression model autoregressive integrated moving average model (ARIMA) and five state-of-the-art machine learning algorithms, including artificial neural networks, support vector machine, random forest (RF), gradient boosting regression, and dual-stage attention-based recurrent neural network, were implemented for monthly rainfall prediction over 25 stations in the East China region. The results showed that the ML models outperformed ARIMA model, and RF relatively outperformed other models. Local meteorological variables, humidity, and sunshine duration, were the most important predictors in improving prediction accuracy. 4-month lagged Western North Pacific Monsoon had higher importance than other large-scale climatic variables. The overall output of rainfall prediction was scalable and could be readily generalized to other regions.     

GROUNDWATER QUALITY AND CONTAMINATION INDEX MAPPING IN CHANGCHUN CITY, CHINA

1INTRODUCTIONGroundwater in Changchun City assures about 45% of total water supply. Drinking water supply of Chang-chun City was mostly served by surface water from Shitoukoumen and Xinlicheng reservoirs located in the east and south of the city (ZHANG, 1993). However, with the development of urban construction the ground-water especially from deep boreholes is also used for drinking purpose in suburban areas. The urbanization process in Changchun City threatens the groundwater quali…     

Shift-share Analysis on International Tourism Competitiveness - A Case of Jiangsu Province

Shift-share analysis has been confirmed a useful approach in the study of regional economics and many kinds of extended shift-share models have been advanced and put into practice in economic studies, but few have hitherto been introduced and applied to the tourism research in China. Moreover understanding the spatially competitive relationship is of paramount importance for marketers, developers, and planners involved in tourism strategy development. Based on international tourism receipts from 1995 to 2004, this study aims at probing into the spatial competitiveness of interna- tional tourism in Jiangsu Province in comparison with its neighbors by applying a spatially extended shift-share model and a modified dynamic shift-share model. The empirical results illustrate that exceptional years may exist in the ap- plication of dynamic shift-share models. To solve this issue, modifications to dynamic shift-share model are put forward. The analytical results are not only presented but also explained by the comparison of background conditions of tourism development between Jiangsu and its key competitors. The conclusions can be drawn that the growth of international tourism receipts in Jiangsu mainly attributes to the national component and the competitive component and Zhejiang is the most important rival to Jiangsu during the period of 1995-2004. In order to upgrade the tourism competitiveness, it is indispensable for Jiangsu to take proper positioning, promoting and marketing strategies and to cooperate and integrate with its main rivals.     

Helicity Patterns of the Active Regions Connected by Transequatorial Loops

Using photospheric vector magnetograms of the Huairou Solar Observing Station and coronal X-ray images from the Yohkoh Soft X-Ray Telescope, we calculate the helicity patterns of 43 pairs of active regions and the chirality of 50 pairs of opposite magnetic polarity regions that are connected by transequatorial loops (TLs). To make the results more convincing, two helicity proxies including the local current helicity h _c and the force-free factor α _best are computed. The results, which are similar for both parameters, are as follows: (1) Current helicity of the active regions pairs connected by transequatorial loops have no obvious regularity: About 50% of the active region pairs carry the same current helicity sign and about 50% of them have the opposite. (2) If we consider the magnetic polarity pairs connected by the TLs, the result is almost the same as that for the active region pairs, with a little more than half of them showing the same chirality. We also make linear force-free extrapolations for 33 TLs and determine their force-free parameter α by comparing extrapolated field lines to X-ray images of the TLs. Out of the 19 cases when the footpoints of the TLs have the same current helicity sign, we find that the sign of α of the TLs is the same as the sign of the current helicity in the footpoints in 12 cases, whereas it is of opposite sign in 4 cases, and in 3 cases the TLs were found to be potential.     

IMPLEMENTATION OF CLEANER PRODUCTION STRATEGIES TOWARDS A SUSTAINABLE CITY

Rapid urbanization and growing size of cities will have an increasing impact on the global environment in the 21st century. As an engine of urban development to drive economic growth and technological innovations, industry has moved its focus from controlling environmental hazards to stimulating sustainable industrial development throughout the entire product lifecycle. These process- and technology-driven innovations for industrial production are prerequisites for enhancement of urban environment and sustainable development of cities. In this review, problems of environment and resources scarcity associated with rapid urbanization are demonstrated. And, on the basis of expatiations on the concepts and policies of the cleaner production (CP) and other similar initiatives with the goal of preventing pollution at the source and of managing the raw material more efficiently, two different ways to link the practice of cleaner production in industrial sector with performance of urban environment are discussed in detail. Then, the introduction, practice and legislation of CP strategies in China are outlined, and possibility for China to develop CPC (Cleaner Practices for Cities) approaches in the demonstration cities is discussed. Finally, some suggestions on implementation of CPC strategies are put forward.     

Nodes and Field of Tourist Origins to Ancient Village——A Case Study of Huangcheng Village in Shanxi Province of China

Based on Hagget's theory of spatial structure,researches on the nodes and field of tourist origins to Huang-cheng Village in Shanxi Province of China have been explored.Nodal hierarchy structure of tourist origins is analyzed with cluster analysis and the gravity model.And field of tourist origins is analyzed with attraction radius index(R)and geography concentration index(G).In the field analysis,R and G of Huangcheng Village are compared with Xidi Village that is a world heritage located in Huangshan City of Anhui Province in China.According to comparison of loca-tions of two areas,influential factors for field area of Huangcheng Village are identified.It is concluded that:1)cluster analysis and gravity model can be complementary methods to each other for nodal hierarchy structure analysis of tour-ist origins;and 2)as far as location is concerned,the weak intensity effect of tourism resources in the tourist region is a major cause for explaining why tourist origins to Huangcheng Village are mainly its neighboring areas.Moreover,it is suggested that the regional effect of tourist resources should be regarded as a component of destination attractiveness when applying gravity model.     

Vertical amplitude reduction of Rayleigh waves by a row of piles in a poroelastic half‐space

A row of rigid piles is addressed as the countermeasures for isolating Rayleigh waves in a poroelastic half‐space. The complex characteristic equations for Rayleigh waves are derived via Biot's theory and their existence conditions are given. The piles are modeled as Euler–Bernoulli beams with longitudinal displacements and the diffracted field by each pile is constructed only with Rayleigh waves. Six infinite linear systems of algebraic equations are obtained in terms of the equilibrium of forces and continuity of displacements at the pile–soil interfaces. The systems are subsequently solved in the complex least‐squares sense. The influence of certain pile and soil characteristics such as the permeability of poroelastic soil, spacing between the piles and length of the piles on the isolating performance of a pile barrier is investigated. Computed results show that the permeability of poroelastic soil displays a significant effect on the vertical amplitude reduction of Rayleigh waves. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

交通大数据在人文与经济地理学的应用及学科影响

交通大数据能够反映人类社会经济活动产生的位移与时空轨迹,不仅能够满足学者们在微观尺度更深入、更精细的研究粒度要求,而且能够为宏观尺度的研究提供广范围、多视角的连续性观测,其研究与发展为人文与经济地理学带来了新思路和新技术。本文以交通大数据的研究前沿为基础,梳理了区位论、时空行为、复杂网络、流空间等理论研究的发展方向,勾勒了“大数据时代”背景下人文与经济地理学的研究框架体系,探讨了新旧技术方法融合的可能性,并讨论了对各个分支学科相关研究的影响。接着,本文总结了交通大数据在人文与经济地理学的主要应用方向与趋势,主要包括出行即服务的交通规划理论与方法,“人工智能+大数据”的城市管理科学,大尺度交通流迁移的模拟,以及“流空间”与“场所空间”的多维度研究等。最后,本文指出了交通大数据应用在获取难度和数据有偏性等方面值得注意的问题并进行了展望。     

一种新型数字水准仪室内检定装置

数字化精密水准测量仪器在水准及形变测量领域中起着极其重要的作用,而对数字水准仪的计量检定工作是使其正常运行的前提,针对其检定项目室内化的难题,介绍了一种国产新型数字水准仪的室内检定装置.