构建旅游中心城市之研究——以荆门市为例

在探讨旅游中心城市概念、地位及作用的基础上，以荆门市为例，分析了荆门市旅游产业发展中存在的问题、研究了荆门市建设为区域旅游中心城市的条件和优势，包括较为发达的城市经济、丰富的资源、良好的区位、科学的规划、完善的设施等，并借用中心地理论来说明荆门市应该成为区域旅游中心城市，最后列出了具体思路。     

Numerical simulations of transport of non-ergodic solute plumes in heterogeneous aquifers

Transport of non-ergodic solute plumes by steady-state groundwater flow with a uniform mean velocity, μ, were simulated with Monte Carlo approach in a two-dimensional heterogeneous and statistically isotropic aquifer whose transmissivity, T, is log-normally distributed with an exponential covariance. The ensemble averages of the second spatial moments of the plume about its center of mass, <S _{i i} (t)>, and the plume centroid covariance, R _{i i} (t) (i=1,2), were simulated for the variance of Y=log T, σ _Y ²=0.1, 0.5 and 1.0 and line sources normal or parallel to μ of three dimensionless lengths, 1, 5, and 10. For σ _Y ²=0.1, all simulated <S _{i i} (t)>−S _{i i} (0) and R _{i i} (t) agree well with the first-order theoretical values, where S _{i i} (0) are the initial values of S _{i i} (t). For σ _Y ²=0.5 and 1.0 and the line sources normal to μ, the simulated longitudinal moments, <S ₁₁(t)>−S ₁₁(0) and R ₁₁(t), agree well with the first-order theoretical results but the simulated transverse moments <S ₂₂(t)>−S ₂₂(0) and R ₂₂(t) are significantly larger than the first-order values. For the same two larger values of σ _Y ² but the line sources parallel to μ, the simulated <S ₁₁(t)>−S ₁₁(0) are larger than but the simulated R ₁₁ are smaller than the first-order values, and both simulated <S ₂₂(t)>−S ₂₂(0) and R ₂₂(t) stay larger than the first-order values. For a fixed value of σ _Y ², the summations of <S _{i i} (t)>−S _{i i} (0) and R _{i i} , i.e., X _{i i} (i=1,2), remain almost the same no matter what kind of source simulated. The simulated X ₁₁ are in good agreement with the first-order theory but the simulated X ₂₂ are significantly larger than the first-order values. The simulated X ₂₂, however, are in excellent agreement with a previous modeling result and both of them are very close to the values derived using Corrsin's conjecture. It is found that the transverse moments may be significantly underestimated if less accurate hydraulic head solutions are used and that the decreasing of <S ₂₂(t)>−S ₂₂(0) with time or a negative effective dispersivity, defined as , may happen in the case of a line source parallel to μ where σ _Y ² is small.     

Burst strain disturbance—A new test study on fracture precursor

ＩｎｔｒｏｄｕｃｔｉｏｎＢｅｆｏｒｅａｎｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｏｃｕｕｒｓ,ｄｅｆｏｒｍａｔｉｏｎｖａｒｉａｔｉｏｎｓｏｂｖｉｏｕｓｌｙａｐｐｅａｒｉｎｓｅｉｓｍｏｇｅｎｉｃａｒｅａａｎｄｎｅａｒｂｙｗｈｉｃｈｗｅｒｅｒｅｐｏｒｔｅｄａｌｏｔ．Ｅａｒｌ...     

1983年菏泽5.9级地震前地下流体异常分布特征及其有关问题讨论

全面、系统地分析研究了菏泽５．９级地夺前地下流体异常时空分布及其场兆、源兆特征。结果表明,异常空间分布与活动构造密切相关,断裂端部和交汇处是异常响应的第三地区。单位面积异常台项数,震中及附近地区远高于外围地区。震前１个月左右,异常台项月频次大幅度增高,单项异常的时间演化有持续型、完整型和突跳型三种类型。源兆异常具有中期、短期、临震异常配套、水化我组分同步异常变化、宏观异常多点成片、持续时间长、幅度     

贵金属资源的应用及开发

将贵金属的应用,资源分布,生产和贵金属的分析化学结合在一起进行了综述,由于贵金属资源的短缺性及考虑可持续发展战略,特别介绍了贵金属资源的二次回收问题,并对其将来的发展作了一定的评价和展望。     

NEAR-FAULT DISPLACEMENT AND DEFORMATION OBTAINED FROM ONE-KILOMETER-LONG FAULT-CROSSING BASELINE MEASUREMENTS-A PRELIMINARY EXPERIMENT AT 2 SITES ON THE EASTERN BOUNDARY OF THE SICHUAN-YUNNAN BLOCK

The current and conventional fault-crossing short baseline measurement has a relatively high precision, but its measurement arrays usually fail to or cannot completely span major active fault zones due to the short length of the baselines, which are only tens to 100 meters. GNSS measurement has relatively low resolution on near-fault deformation and hence is not suitable for monitoring those faults with low motion and deformation rates, due to sparse stations and relatively low accuracy of the GNSS observation. We recently built up two experimental sites on the eastern boundary of the active Sichuan-Yunnan block, one crossing the Daqing section of the Zemuhe Fault and the other crossing the Longshu section of the Zhaotong Fault, aiming to test the measurement of near-fault motion and deformation by using fault-crossing arrays of one-kilometer-long baselines. In this paper, from a three-year-long data set we firstly introduce the selection of the sites and the methods of the measurement. We then calculate and analyze the near-field displacement and strain of the two sites by using three hypothetical models, the rigid body, elastic and composed models, proposed by previous researchers. In the rigid body model, we assume that an observed fault is located between two rigid blocks and the observed variances in baseline lengths result from the relative motion of the blocks. In the elastic model, we assume that a fault deforms uniformly within the fault zone over which a baseline array spans, and in the array baselines in different directions may play roles as strainmeters whose observations allow us to calculate three components of near-fault horizontal strain. In the composed model, we assume that both displacement and strain are accumulated within the fault zone that a baseline array spans, and both contribute to the observed variances in baseline lengths. Our results show that, from the rigid body model, variations in horizontal fault-parallel displacement component of the Zemuhe Fault at the Daqing site fluctuate within 3mm without obvious tendencies. The displacement variation in the fault-normal component keeps dropping in 2015 and 2016 with a cumulative decrease of 6mm, reflecting transverse horizontal compression, and it turns to rise slightly(suggesting extension)in 2017. From the elastic model, the variation in horizontal fault-normal strain component of the fault at Daqing shows mainly compression, with an annual variation close to 10^-5, and variations in the other two strain components are at the order of 10^-6. For the Longshu Fault, the rigid-body displacement of the fault varies totally within a few millimeters, but shows a dextral strike-slip tendency that is consistent with the fault motion known from geological investigation, and the observed dextral-slip rate is about 0.7mm/a on average. The fault-parallel strain component of the Longshu Fault is compressional within 2×10^-6, and the fault-normal strain component is mainly extensional. Restricted by the assumption of rigid-body model, we have to ignore homolateral deformation on either side of an observed fault and attribute such deformation to the fault displacement, resulting in an upper limit estimate of the fault displacement. The elastic model emphasizes more the deformation on an observed fault zone and may give us information about localizations of near-fault strain. The results of the two sites from the composed model suggest that it needs caution when using this model due to that big uncertainty would be introduced in solving relevant equations. Level surveying has also been carried out at the meantime at the two sites. The leveling series of the Daqing site fluctuates within 4mm and shows no tendency, meaning little vertical component of fault motion has been observed at this site; while, from the rigid-body model, the fault-normal motion shows transverse-horizontal compression of up to 6mm, indicating that the motion of the Zemuhe Fault at Daqing is dominantly horizontal. The leveling series of the Longshu site shows a variation with amplitude comparable with that observed from the baseline series here, suggesting a minor component of thrust faulting; while the baseline series of the same site do not present tendencies of fault-normal displacement. Since the steep-dip faults at the two sites are dominantly strike-slip in geological time scale, we ignore probable vertical movement temporarily. In addition, lengths of homolateral baselines on either side of the faults change somewhat over time, and this makes us consider the existence of minor faults on either side of the main faults. These probable minor faults may not reach to the surface and have not been identified through geological mapping; they might result in the observed variances in lengths of homolateral baselines, fortunately such variations are small relative to those in fault-crossing baselines. In summary, the fault-crossing measurement using arrays with one-kilometer-long baselines provides us information about near-fault movement and strain, and has a slightly higher resolution relative to current GNSS observation at similar time and space scales, and therefore this geodetic technology will be used until GNSS networks with dense near-fault stations are available in the future.     

QUATERNARY FOLDING OF THE XIHU ANTICLINE BELT ALONG FORELAND BASIN OF NORTH TIANSHAN

Tianshan is one of the longest and most active intracontinental orogenic belts in the world. Due to the collision between Indian and Eurasian plates since Cenozoic, the Tianshan has been suffering from intense compression, shortening and uplifting. With the continuous extension of deformation to the foreland direction, a series of active reverse fault fold belts have been formed. The Xihu anticline is the fourth row of active fold reverse fault zone on the leading edge of the north Tianshan foreland basin. For the north Tianshan Mountains, predecessors have carried out a lot of research on the activity of the second and third rows of the active fold-reverse faults, and achieved fruitful results. But there is no systematic study on the Quaternary activities of the Xihu anticline zone. How is the structural belt distributed in space?What are the geometric and kinematic characteristics?What are the fold types and growth mechanism?How does the deformation amount and characteristics of anticline change?In view of these problems, we chose Xihu anticline as the research object. Through the analysis of surface geology, topography and geomorphology and the interpretation of seismic reflection profile across the anticline, we studied the geometry, kinematic characteristics, fold type and growth mechanism of the structural belt, and calculated the shortening, uplift and interlayer strain of the anticline by area depth strain analysis.
In this paper, by interpreting the five seismic reflection profiles across the anticline belt, and combining the characteristics of surface geology and geomorphology, we studied the types, growth mechanism, geometry and kinematics characteristics, and deformation amount of the fold. The deformation length of Xihu anticline is more than 47km from west to east, in which the hidden length is more than 14km. The maximum deformation width of the exposed area is 8.5km. The Xihu anticline is characterized by small surface deformation, simple structural style and symmetrical occurrence. The interpretation of seismic reflection profile shows that the deep structural style of the anticline is relatively complex. In addition to the continuous development of a series of secondary faults in the interior of Xihu anticline, an anticline with small deformation amplitude(Xihubei anticline)is continuously developed in the north of Xihu anticline. The terrain high point of Xihu anticline is located about 12km west of Kuitun River. The deformation amplitude decreases rapidly to the east and decreases slowly to the west, which is consistent with the interpretation results of seismic reflection profile and the calculation results of shortening. The Xihu anticline is a detachment fold with the growth type of limb rotation. The deformation of Xihu anticline is calculated by area depth strain analysis method. The shortening of five seismic reflection sections A, B, C, D and E is(650±70) m, (1 070±70) m, (780±50) m, (200±40) m and(130±30) m, respectively. The shortening amount is the largest near the seismic reflection profile B of the anticline, and decreases gradually along the strike to the east and west ends of the anticline, with a more rapidly decrease to the east, which indicates that the topographic high point is also a structural high point. The excess area caused by the inflow of external material or outflow of internal matter is between -0.34km² to 0.56km². The average shortening of the Xihubei anticline is between(60±10) m and(130±40) m, and the excess area caused by the inflow of external material is between 0.50km² and 0.74km². The initial locations of the growth strata at the east part is about 1.9~2.0km underground, and the initial location of the growth strata at the west part is about 3.7km underground. We can see the strata overlying the Xihu anticline at 3.3km under ground, the strata above are basically not deformed, indicating that this section of the anticline is no longer active.     

On the evolution of finite-amplitude disturbance to the barotropic and baroclinic quasigeostrophic flows

ＯｎｔｈｅＥｖｏｌｕｔｉｏｎｏｆＦｉｎｉｔｅ－ａｍｐｌｉｔｕｄｅＤｉｓｔｕｒｂａｎｃｅｔｏｔｈｅＢａｒｏｔｒｏｐｉｃａｎｄＢａｒｏｃｌｉｎｉｃＱｕａｓｉｇｅｏｓｔｒｏｐｈｉｃＦｌｏｗｓ①ＭｕＭｕ（穆穆）ａｎｄＸｉａｎｇＪｉｅ（项杰）ＬＡＳＧ,Ｉｎｓｔ...     

河西内陆河春季流量变化特征的分析和预测

利用昌马、莺落峡、九条岭３个水文站四十余年的月平均流量资料,分析河西地区３条主要内陆河春季流量的长期变化特征,并用均生函数模型对流量进行了预报,为河西地区水资源的研究和利用提供参考依据     

我国西部地区一些强震及中强震前后波速异常的初步研究（一）——波速比异常

本文对近年来我国西部地区发生的某些强震及中强震（M_S>5.0）的波速比异常作了一些初步探讨.文中给出并讨论了这些地震的波速比异常的一些共同特征,即随时间变化的曲线形态、异常特征量（异常持续时间与异常幅度）和异常的统计分布特征.此外还讨论了波速比异常的特性与地震序列类型、震源深度及震源机制的关系,探索了波速比异常与波速异常间的关系.最后还指出了地震活动性与波速比异常的某种对应关系,并作了简要的讨论.