基于模糊评判的数控机床零部件制造工艺FMECA研究

以数控机床零部件的制造工艺为研究对象,对其实施改进的制造工艺FMECA,通过梯形模糊数评判的方法确定出工艺FMECA中风险优先数的排序,利用模糊综合评判方法确定出工艺系统的风险等级,有效地找出薄弱工艺环节并采取改进措施,从而提高数控机床零部件制造工艺可靠性.     

低温雨雪过程的粒子群-神经网络预报模型

利用逐日气温和降水量数据、NCEP/NCAR再分析资料以及预报场资料,通过分析提取我国南方区域持续性低温雨雪过程及其预报因子,使用粒子群-神经网络方法建立非线性的统计集合预报模型 (PSONN-EPM),对我国南方区域持续性低温雨雪过程进行预报试验。结果表明:以过程的冷湿程度及影响范围为标准,将低温雨雪过程分为一般过程和严重过程,并建立不同的预报模型效果较好。通过10 d独立样本预报试验看,基于粒子群-神经网络方法建立的集合预报模型比基于逐步回归方法建立的预报模型的预报平均相对误差小,对严重过程预报能力高于对一般过程预报,且这种非线性统计集合建模方法在建模过程中不需要调整神经网络参数,在实际预报业务中值得尝试。     

磁场重联实验室模拟进展

磁场重联是空间等离子体和实验室等离子体中的常见现象,被认为是太阳耀斑和磁层亚暴的重要机制。实验室磁场重联的模拟研究已经有二十余年的历史,并且取得了一系列重要的结果。对几个主要的磁场重联实验装置进行了介绍,给出了各个装置的等离子体参数以及产生重联的方法,回顾了实验室研究中和太阳射电密切相关的几个问题。另外,以中国科技大学的线性磁化等离子体装置为基础,建立了国内首个磁场重联的实验装置,研制了实验中需要的诊断工具,并开展了初步的磁场重联实验。     

Improvements of One-dimensional Variational Assimilation Algorithm Based on Occultation Technique

Utilizing the occultation data observed by LEO (low earth orbit) satellites, we can invert the profiles of air pressure, water vapor, temperature of terrestrial atmosphere and so on, and they are the valuable data resources for studying the meteorology and atmospheric sciences. The assimilation techniques with the occultation data can effectively improve these profiles of meteorological parameters, thus they can improve the accuracy of current numerical weather forecasting. The greatest difficulty is the huge amount of calculation to enter into the meteorological operational processes for applying the parameter profiles observed by occultation with the method of variational assimilation. With the improvements of the function of one-dimensional variational assimilation and the new design for iterative process, the defects of repeated calculation of the large dimension matrix can be avoided, thereby improving the computational efficiency of variational assimilation. In the discussion of applicability, it is used as the true value of the vectors of the background field plus one white Gaussian noise to test the variational assimilation results on the occultation data of satellite CHAMP.     

地形对降水的影响研究概述

简要回顾了近些年来有关地形对降水影响的研究进展。介绍了地形的动力效应和热力效应,详细分析了地形的动力、热力效应引起的降水和云物理变化。重点分析了地形对气候尺度、天气尺度、中尺度及对流性天气系统降水的影响。简单地讨论了在研究地形对降水影响时观测分析、气候统计、理论分析及数值模拟方面存在的问题及其未来发展前景。     

大别山岳西县石关混合岩锆石SHRIMP定年及其地质意义

安徽岳西县石关混合岩属于原北大别变质杂岩的一部分。锆石SHRIMPU-Pb定年结果:第一次变质时间为232Ma,相当于晚三叠世早期,第二次变质时间为207Ma,相当于晚三叠世晚期。复合锆石的核部(继承锆石)为发育韵律环带的岩浆碎屑锆石,其年龄值分别为560Ma、444Ma、394Ma、378Ma和331Ma,暗示其原岩非岩浆岩,而应为沉积岩;研究结果还表明,北大别石关混合岩经历了两次变质作用:①超高压变质作用,变质时间为232Ma(n=5加权平均年龄);②退变质作用,时间为207Ma。与苏鲁地区超高压变质和退变质时间一致。     

矿山土地复垦方案中对开采塌陷区预测方法的探讨

通过对土地复垦方案采用的几种方法的比较及分析,选择导水裂隙带最大高度与移动角组合判别法的方法,圈定出矿山因开采易导致地表塌陷的区域,为矿山土地复垦方案中主要拟破坏土地的确定提供方便、实用的方法。     

深厚覆盖层上高土石坝极限抗震能力分析

针对强震区深厚覆盖层上高土石坝的特点,在三维真非线性有效应力地震反应分析基础上,提出了一套深厚覆盖层上高土石坝极限抗震能力的研究方法。从稳定、变形、防渗体安全等方面,对建在深厚覆盖层上的长河坝高心墙堆石坝的极限抗震能力进行了研究和分析。根据坝坡稳定性、地震残余变形、液化可能性、单元抗震安全性、防渗心墙及坝基防渗墙安全等多角度的评价结果,初步认为,长河坝的极限抗震能力为0.50～0.55g。     

Classification of Complex Reservoirs in Superimposed Basins of Western China

<正>Many of the sedimentary basins in western China were formed through the superposition and compounding of at least two previously developed sedimentary basins and in general they can be termed as complex superimposed basins.The distinct differences between these basins and monotype basins are their discontinuous stratigraphic sedimentation,stratigraphic structure and stratigraphic stress-strain action over geological history.Based on the correlation of chronological age on structural sections,superimposed basins can be divided into five types in this study:(1) continuous sedimentation type superimposed basins,(2) middle and late stratigraphic superimposed basins,(3) early and late stratigraphic superimposed basins,(4) early and middle stratigraphic superimposed basins,and(5) long-term exposed superimposed basins.Multiple source-reservoir-caprock assemblages have developed in such basins.In addition,multi-stage hydrocarbon generation and expulsion,multiple sources,polycyclic hydrocarbon accumulation and multiple-type hydrocarbon reservoirs adjustment,reformation and destruction have occurred in these basins.The complex reservoirs that have been discovered widely in the superimposed basins to date have remarkably different geologic features from primary reservoirs,and the root causes of this are folding,denudation and the fracture effect caused by multiphase tectonic events in the superimposed basins as well as associated seepage,diffusion,spilling,oxidation,degradation and cracking.Based on their genesis characteristics,complex reservoirs are divided into five categories:(1) primary reservoirs,(2) trap adjustment type reservoirs,(3) component variant reservoirs,(4) phase conversion type reservoirs and (5) scale-reformed reservoirs.     

珲春东部白虎山—小西南岔区域地质及地球物理场特征

白虎山-小西南岔区位于珲春市东部,是吉林省东部山区重点成矿区带的重要组成部分。区内构造发育,岩浆活动频繁,矿产资源丰富。著名的有:小西南岔金铜矿床、杨金沟钨矿床、白虎山多金属矿床等等。本文通过对物理场与构造系统、矿产分布关系的研究,确定了利用地质、物探资料相结合来划分成矿有利部位是有效可行的,这对本区将来的找矿工作将起到指导作用。