More than Carbon Stocks： A Case Study of Ecosystem-based Benefits of REDD＋ in Indonesia

During the 15th Conference of the Parties(COP 15),Parties agreed that reducing emissions from deforestation and forest degradation and enhancing ’removals of greenhouse gas emission by forests’(REDD+) in developing countries through positive incentives under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change(UNFCCC) was capable of dealing with global emissions.As REDD+ seeks to lower emissions by stopping deforestation and forest degradation with an international payment tier according to baseline scenarios,opportunities for ecosystem benefits such as slowing habitat fragmentation,conservation of forest biodiversity,soil conservation may be also part of this effort.The primary objective of this study is to evaluate ecosystem-based benefits of REDD+,and to identify the relationships with carbon stock changes.To achieve this goal,high resolution satellite images are combined with Normalized Difference Vegetation Index(NDVI) to identify historical deforestation in study area of Central Kalimantan,Indonesia.The carbon emissions for the period of 2000-2005 and 2005-2009 are 2.73 × 10 5 t CO 2 and 1.47 × 10 6 t CO 2 respectively,showing an increasing trend in recent years.Dring 2005-2009,number of patches(NP),patch density(PD),mean shape index distribution(SHAPE_MN) increased 30.8%,30.7% and 7.6%.Meanwhile,largest patch index(LPI),mean area(AREA_MN),area-weighted mean of shape index distribution(SHAPE_AM),neighbor distance(ENN_MN) and interspersion and juxtaposition index(IJI) decreased by 55.3%,29.7%,15.8%,53.4% and 21.5% respectively.The area regarding as positive correlation between carbon emissions and soil erosion was approximately 8.9 × 10 3 ha corresponding to 96.0% of the changing forest.These results support the view that there are strong synergies among carbon loss,forest fragmentation and soil erosion in tropical forests.Such mechanism of REDD+ is likely to present opportunities for multiple benefits that fall outside the scope of carbon stocks.     

Cluster analysis on summer precipitation field over Qinghai–Tibet Plateau from 1961 to 2004

The summer day-by-day precipitation data of 97 meteorological stations on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau from 1961 to 2004 were selected to analyze the temporal-spatial dis-tribution through accumulated variance, correlation analysis, regression analysis, empirical orthogonal function, power spectrum function and spatial analysis tools of GIS. The result showed that summer precipitation occupied a relatively high proportion in the area with less annual precipitation on the Plateau and the correlation between summer precipitation and annual precipitation was strong. The altitude of these stations and summer precipitation ten-dency presented stronger positive correlation below 2000 m, with correlation value up to 0.604 (α=0.01). The subtracting tendency values between 1961–1983 and 1984–2004 at five altitude ranges (2000–2500 m, 2500–3000 m, 3500–4000 m, 4000–4500 m and above 4500 m) were above zero and accounted for 71.4% of the total. Using empirical orthogonal function, summer precipitation could be roughly divided into three precipitation pattern fields: the Southeast Plateau Pattern Field, the Northeast Plateau Pattern field and the Three Rivers' Headstream Regions Pattern Field. The former two ones had a reverse value from the north to the south and opposite line was along 35°N. The potential cycles of the three pattern fields were 5.33a, 21.33a and 2.17a respectively, tested by the confidence probability of 90%. The station altitudes and summer precipitation potential cycles presented strong negative corre-lation in the stations above 4500 m, with correlation value of –0.626 (α=0.01). In Three Rivers Headstream Regions summer precipitation cycle decreased as the altitude rose in the sta-tions above 3500 m and increased as the altitude rose in those below 3500 m. The empirical orthogonal function analysis in June precipitation, July precipitation and August precipitation showed that the June precipitation pattern field was similar to the July’s, in which southern Plateau was positive and northern Plateau negative. But positive value area in July precipita-tion pattern field was obviously less than June’s. The August pattern field was totally opposite to June’s and July’s. The positive area in August pattern field jumped from the southern Pla-teau to the northern Plateau.     

中小城市家庭生活用能碳排放空间分异——以开封市为例

利用2015年开封市居民家庭生活用能的大样本问卷调查数据,采用探索性空间数据分析（ESDA）和标准差椭圆（SDE）方法,探索城市居住区家庭生活用能碳排放空间分布特征。结果表明：① 家庭生活用能碳排放存在以热点区为主的空间正相关特性,碳排放高值集聚发生在城市新建开发区和建成区向外扩张较快区域,以2000年以后新建高档商品房小区和机关事业单位家属院为主,低值集聚区则发生在建成时间长、后续开发力度小的区域,以老商品房小区和胡同社区为主;② 开封市家庭电力消耗碳排放占生活用能总碳排放的67%,但人均生活用能碳排放空间格局由供暖碳排放决定,且人均供暖碳排放空间格局又由集中供暖碳排放空间格局决定,故降低集中供暖能耗、缩小居民供暖用能差异成为居民生活用能碳减排工作的重中之重;③ 家庭经济状况、集中供暖设施分布和城市发展的空间格局是家庭生活用能碳排放空间依赖性和空间异质性形成的主要驱动因素。     

树轮记录的自公元1200年以来强火山喷发事件与高亚洲南部河流源区气候水文变化的关联

强火山喷发作为气候变化重要的外强迫因素,其所造成的气候环境效应一直是气候变化研究热点,而其对于流域水循环影响较少受关注。本文利用采自高亚洲南部河流源区麦吊云杉（Picea brachytyla）树轮样本,研制出一个长达885 a的树木年轮标准宽度年表。基于树轮气候响应分析结果,利用线性回归模型重建研究区自公元1200年上年11月至当年2月平均最低气温变化,重建方程方差解释量47.1%。该气温重建序列显示,研究区自公元1200年经历了8个冷期和9个暖期,包含有10个极冷年和23个极暖年。同时,该气温重建序列验证了自公元1200年来27次强火山喷发（VEI≥5）对于青藏高原东南部河流源区气候的影响,包括1257年Samalas和1815年Tambora等强火山喷发事件。该气温重建序列与相关河流径流数据对比结果表明强火山喷发在引起高亚洲南部河流源区气温出现明显下降的同时,也可能会进一步导致水循环减缓,使得高亚洲南部河流径流量出现减少。

     

近红外大气吸收波段太阳辐射计定标

用通用大气辐射传输软件CART模拟了POM02太阳辐射计的1020nm、1627nm和2200nm等3个近红外通道的大气透过率特性。结果表明,前两通道处于大气非吸收波段,其透过率很好的遵从Beer-Lambert定律,而2200nm通道则有较强的吸收,吸收光学厚度随大气质量的变化服从指数分布,与Beer-Lambert定律有一定的偏差,其定标需采用改进的Langley法。通过选取好天的5个定标实例证明,采用改进的Langley法定标2200nm通道,可提高其透过率测量精度约3.8%。     

基于GPS的多站实时时间传递算法

提出了一种基于GPS的多站实时时间传递算法,该算法将卫星钟差作为未知参数进行实时估计,利用测站间的共视卫星建立起各测站误差方程之间的联系,同时解算站间时间传递结果和卫星钟差。摆脱了对外部事后精密卫星钟差产品的依赖,不受卫星精密钟差产品精度和实时性的限制,只要站间有足够的共视卫星,即可实现时间传递。实验结果表明:该算法时间传递精度可以达到亚纳秒量级,能够应用于高精度实时时间传递。     

Ejective and Sweeping Motions Above a Peatland and Their Role in Relaxed-Eddy-Accumulation Measurements and Turbulent Transport Modelling

The three turbulent velocity components, water vapour (\(\text {H}_2\text {O}\)), carbon dioxide (\(\text {CO}_{2}\)), and methane (\(\text {CH}_{4}\)) concentration fluctuations are measured above a boreal peatland and analyzed using conditional sampling and quadrant analysis. The overarching question to be addressed is to what degree lower-order cumulant expansion methods describe transport efficiency and the relative importance of ejections and sweeps to momentum, \(\text {CH}_{4}\), \(\text {CO}_{2}\) and \(\text {H}_2\text {O}\) fluxes across a range of atmospheric flow regimes. The patchy peatland surface creates distinctly different source and sink distributions for the three scalars in space and time thereby adding to the uniqueness of the set-up. The measured and modelled fractional contributions to the momentum flux show that sweep events dominate over ejections in agreement with prior studies conducted in the roughness sublayer. For scalar fluxes, ejections dominate the turbulent fluxes over sweeps. While ejective motions persist longer for momentum transport, sweeping events persist longer for all three scalars. Third-order cumulant expansions describe many of the results detailed above, and the results are surprising given the highly non-Gaussian distribution of \(\text {CH}_{4}\) turbulent fluctuations. Connections between the asymmetric contributions of sweeps and ejections and the flux-transport term arising in scalar turbulent-flux-budget closure are derived and shown to agree reasonably well with measurements. The proposed model derived here is much simpler than prior structural models used to describe laboratory experiments. Implications of such asymmetric contributions on, (i) the usage of the now proliferating relaxed-eddy-accumulation method in turbulent flux measurements, (ii) the constant-flux assumption, and (iii) gradient-diffusion closure models are presented.     

黔中地区一次暖区暴雨的中尺度特征分析

利用自动站加密观测资料、ERA5再分析资料、FY-2F云顶亮温资料和雷达产品资料等,对2019年5月24日夜间黔中地区暖区暴雨过程的中尺度对流系统特征及成因进行分析,结果表明：（1）此次暖区强降水过程具有持续时间长、小时雨强大、强降水范围广等特点;（2）高能高湿的环境及强的大气层结不稳定特征、深厚的暖云层以及较低的抬升凝结高度和自由对流高度,为高效率持续性降水的产生提供了有利条件;（3）本次暖区暴雨主要由2个对流发展旺盛且伸展高度较高的对流云团连续影响造成,其移动路径在黔中地区存在叠加效应;（4）暴雨由积云为主的积层混合降水回波长时间滞留造成,具有明显的“列车效应”,降水强回波质心低,具有热带降水型回波的特征;（5）地面辐合线为对流系统的发生发展提供了较好的动力条件。强降水落区的位置随着地面辐合线的移动而移动,同时强降水落区主要位于地面辐合线左侧的偏北气流内。     

大气水汽的红外遥感

本文讨论了利用差分吸收法来遥感大气中的水汽。水汽透过率用辐射计测量，水汽含量由我们自行编制的红外辐射大气透过率计算程序计算。在此同时还观测了气象参数，以确定光路上的水汽含量。结果表明，水汽长度的计算值和测量值非常吻合，回归曲线的相关系数达０．９７，均方根偏差为０．０１５ｇ／ｃｍ２。文中最后讨论误差来源和改善精度的途径，并指出对其它气体分子的吸收和气溶胶的消光进行修正的必要性。     

SLM和LPM模型日径流模拟对比分析——以陕西黑河为例

本文以黑河流域为例,根据可能收集的资料,试用SLM和LPM模型对日径流量进行了模拟和模拟精度检验,并对各模型的模拟结果作了对比分析,结果表明:①LPM可用于参考性预报,而SLM不能用于参考性预报,只能作参考性估报;②由于LPM模型吸收了季节变化信息,其检验期和率定期的评定效率均较高.结论:较之SLM,LPM模型的有效性和可靠性都有很大的提高,而且在一定程度上消减了洪峰预报误差,考虑了洪峰非线性变化的影响.