四川省森林火险预报系统

四川省森林火险预报系统是用VB6.0语言编写,采用多因子线性回归统计方法建立的一套森林火险等级预报业务系统;本系统通用性强、功能齐全,为预报员提供了一套较完备的火险等级预报工具,同时实现了等值线这一科学计算可视化表现方式,摆脱了对专业绘图软件的依赖.     

Zircon LA-ICP-MS U-Pb dating and Sr-Nd isotope study of the Guposhan granite complex, Guangxi, China

Zircon U-Pb dating by the LA-ICP-MS method was applied to determining the ages of different units of the Guposhan granite complex, among which the East Guposhan unit is 160.8±1.6 Ma, the West Guposhan unit is 165.0±1.9 Ma, and the Lisong unit is 163.0±1.3 Ma in age. Much similarity in ages of the three units has thus proved that the whole Guposhan granite complex was formed in the same period of time. They were the products of large-scale granitic magmatism through crust-remelting in the first stage of the Middle Yanshanian in South China. However, the three units have differences both in petrology and in geochemistry. Besides the differences in major, trace and rare-earth elements, they are distinct in their Rb-Sr and Sm-Nd isotopic compositions. The East Guposhan unit and Lisong unit and its enclaves have a similar (87Sr/86Sr)i value of 0.7064 with an average of εNd(t)=-3.03, indicating that more mantle material was evolved in the magma derivation; whereas the West Guposhan unit has a higher (87Sr/86Sr)i value of 0.7173 but a lower εNd(t) value of -5.00, and is characterized by strong negative Eu anomalies and higher Rb/Sr ratios, suggesting that its source materials were composed of relatively old crust components and new mantle-derived components. In addition, an inherited zircon grain in the East Guposhan unit (GP-1) yielded a 206Pb/238U age of 806.4 Ma, which is similar to the ages of the Jiulin cordierite granite in northern Jiangxi and of the Yinqiao migmatic granite in Guangxi in the HZH granite zone. All this may provide new evidence for Late Proterozoic magmatism in the HZH granite zone.     

“2007.4.1”四川盆地强寒潮天气过程分析

利用T2131°×1°和欧洲中心实时资料,对2007年4月1～3日四川盆地区域性寒潮天气过程的环流背景及影响系统进行了分析,结果表明:500hPa乌拉尔山到贝加尔湖以东为宽广深厚的低压带,地面上巴湖附近为冷高压,此冷高压在500hPa脊前西北气流的引导下东移南压,是造成此次寒潮大风天气的主要原因;而且低空急流也对降温有一定的作用。     

ASP与数据库在网站开发中的应用

基层气象局地面测报工作是最基础的气象业务工作,为天气预报、气候分析、气象服务等提供重要的依据。根据多年在基层从事测报值班、报表预审及管理工作的经验,以及多次参加省、市测报业务竞赛的学习体会,分析了如何才能搞好这项工作,从而提高测报业务质量。     

土地开发整理项日管理信息系统建设

本文首先分析了我国土地开发整理的地位和现状,回顾了“十五”期间我国在土地开发整理方面做出的巨大的成绩,展望了“十一五”期间我国在土地整理工作上的投入力度和方向。在此基础上,对我国土地整理工作所采用的技术手段进行了分析,提出了实施土地开发整理工作的信息化是解决目前存在问题的有效措施,为了保证国家每年投资数十亿资金的土地开发整理项目从审查到实施各个环节的科学性和规范性,迫切要求充分利用计算机技术、网络通信技术和3S技术等先进手段加强项目的全程管理。接着,对“国家投资土地开发整理项目管理信息系统”从功能角度进行了详细的阐述,将系统划分为若干个子系统进行开发,并对一些子系统的功能进行了阐述。最后介绍了系统的应用情况。     

参数调整对气象预测的B-P网络模型性能的影响

为了探索ＢＰ网络的参数调整特性,进行了参数α、β的选取对ＢＰ算法的收敛速度和模型的稳定性的影响研究。通过ＢＰ网络用于气象预测建模的参数调整个例分析表明：参数α、β的取值对ＢＰ模型的稳定性无显著影响,但参数值的调整尤其是β值的调整对建模的收敛速度有明显的影响。     

地勘单位转变经济增长方式若干问题的思考

转变地勘单位的经济增长方式,提高各生产要素的使用效率,进而提高经济效益,推动地勘单位的经济持续、健康、全面的发展是当前急需解决的首要问题。本文在分析了地勘单位经济增长方式现状的基础上,指出了优化认识、优化资金配置、优化资本运行机制、优化内部管理、优化经营规模、优化人才成长环境等六个方面是转变地勘单位经济增长方式可选择的主要思路和途径。     

Discrimination of small earthquakes and artificial explosions in the Korean Peninsula using Pg/Lg ratios

The purpose of this study is to develop a technique to discriminate artificial explosions from local small earthquakes ( M ≤ 4.0) in the time–frequency domain. In order to obtain spectral features of artificial explosions and earthquakes, 3-D spectrograms (frequency, time and amplitude) have been used. They represent a useful tool for studying the frequency content of entire seismic waveforms observed at local and regional distances (Kim, Simpson & Richards 1994). P and S(L g ) waves from quarry blasts show that the frequency content associated with the dominant amplitude appears above 10  Hz and Rg phases are observed at close distances. P and S(L g ) waves from the Tongosan earthquake have strong amplitudes below 10  Hz. For the Munkyong earthquake, however, a broader frequency content up to 20  Hz is found.
  For discrimination between small earthquakes and explosions, Pg/L g spectral ratios are used below 10  Hz, and through spectrogram analysis we can see different frequency contents of explosions and earthquakes. Unfortunately, because explosion data recorded at KSRS array are digitized at 20  sps, we cannot avoid analysing below 10  Hz because of the Nyquist frequency. In order to select time windows, the group velocity was computed using multiple-filter analysis (MFA), and free-surface effects have been removed from all three-component data in order to improve data quality. Using FFT, a log-average spectral amplitude is calculated over seven frequency bands: 0.5 to 3, 2 to 4, 3 to 5, 4 to 6, 5 to 7, 6 to 8 and 8 to 10  Hz. The best separation between explosions and earthquakes is observed from 6 to 8  Hz. In this frequency band we can separate explosions with log ( Pg/L g ) above −0.5, except EXP1 recorded at SIHY1-1, and earthquakes below −0.5, except the Munkyong earthquake record at station KMH.     

福建两个块状硫化物矿床中磁黄铁矿结构的研究

福建大田前锋梅仙块状硫化物矿床中六方磁黄铁矿中的单斜磁黄铁矿有两种交生态：受结晶方位控制的叶片状交生和受颗粒边界、裂隙控制的不规则状交生。着重由六方磁黄铁矿在冷却过程中出溶形成,而后者则是单斜磁黄铁矿交代六方磁黄铁矿的结果。叶片状交生体经历后期变形、变质后产生粗化和均一化,形成了楔形边、箱形、得杂叶片等结构。单斜磁黄铁矿在变形较弱的矿区保存较好,而在强烈部位消失殆尽,说明应力对磁黄铁矿的均一化效应     

Applications of interannual-resolution stable isotope records of speleothem: Climatic changes in Beijing and Tianjin, China during the past 500 years—the δ 18O record

δ¹⁸O of a stalagmite collected from Shihua Cave, 50 km southwest of Beijing is analyzed. The uppermost 2 cm was sampled at about 3-year intervals by a computer-controlled microsampling device. A total of 133 samples were analyzed, covering the last 480 years. A comparison of the δ¹⁸O record with the instrumentally recorded precipitation in Beijing and Tianjin back to 1840 AD shows that high precipitation correlates with negative δ¹⁸O peaks. The long-term δ¹⁸O trend records temperature changes. Between 1620 and 1900 AD, the temperature was cooler than the average value for the 480-year record, corresponding to the Little Ice Age. Temperatures warmer than the average prevailed during 1520–1620 and 1900—present. Superimposed on the long-term trend are about 14 δ¹⁸O cycles of 30–40-year periodicity, with wet periods centered around 1985, 1955, 1910, 1880, 1840, 1800, 1760, 1730, 1690, 1660, 1630, 1600, 1560 and 1530 AD. Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 9615875).