参考作物腾发量预测的径向基函数法

探讨了采用径向基函数网络模型进行参考作物腾发量预测方法的可行性,设计多组数字实验处理研究了输入因子间相关性对网络模型预测准确性的影响,预测结果与Penman-Montieth方法计算结果比较表明,所确定的模型与改进的Penman公式计算值有很高的一致性,具有一定精度。     

水稻旱育抛秧生长发育的动态模拟模型

通过分期播种田间试验资料,建立水稻旱育抛秧生长发育的动态模拟模型,包括叶面积发展,光合作用,呼吸作用,干物质积累与分配等。重点探讨叶面积发展与温度的关系,光合作用简化算法,净光含量的求算,分配系数随发育期的变化等。     

辽宁省酸性岩体的重力场解释及找矿

据辽宁省１：２０万重力资料,采用”人机联作重,磁资料解释“软件系统,反演了碱厂,三股流等中生代酸性岩体的埋深,形态和产状。重力场解释结果表明：（１）太古代－古元古代隆起区规模越大,酸性岩浆活动越频繁;（２）辽宁省酸性岩随时代新而增多;（３）酸性岩体的磁性随时代变新而增强;（４）岩浆活动受断裂控制。     

辽西四合屯脊椎动物集群死亡事件：火山爆发的灾变记录

辽西北票以ConfuciusornisSinosauropteryxZhangheotherium为代表的四合屯脊椎动物组合发现于义县组下部湖相沉积中,时代为早白垩世Barremian中期(J—K界线144 Ma)或Valanginian晚期(J—K界线136 Ma)。化石包括鱼类、两栖类、爬行类、鸟类和哺乳类及无脊椎动物和被子植物,孔子鸟类群和具“羽毛”的小型兽脚类恐龙共生。野外发掘表明,化石完整地保存骨骼硬体及羽毛、食物、胃石、卵等软体及生理组织,确认多次非正常生物集群死亡事件。在四合屯发掘剖面上,含化石正常沉积的湖相页岩与火山喷发事件形成的沉凝灰岩互层,中酸性火山爆发形成的环境突变效应是导致脊椎动物集群死亡的主要原因。     

顺义4.0级地震前兆异常特征与京区前兆监测网监测能力探讨

通过对北京地区现有定点地震前兆监测网进行清理,分析了现有定点专业前兆监测台站、观测点、群测点的数量及分布密度的现状。对１９９６年１２月１６日北京顺义ＭＳ４．０地震的短临异常特征进行了探讨,表明顺义ＭＳ４．０地震前在震中周围出现一个直径约３５ｋｍ的短临异常密集区域。从异常形态看,该区域中的异常大部分可能带有来自震源的信息。结合顺义地震短临异常点位分布特征,对北京地区前兆台网的密度问题进行了探讨。     

挡土结构古典内力计算方法的讨论

根据软土地区大量基坑支护的经验,对目前挡土结构古典内力计算常用的平衡法（悬臂结构）、等值梁法（单支撑结构）和弹性抗力法的计算结果进行了分析与比较,指出了古典内力计算方法的适用性。     

An evaluation of the Arctic clouds and surface radiative fluxes in CMIP6 models

To assess the performances of state-of-the-art global climate models on simulating the Arctic clouds and surface radiation balance, the 2001–2014 Arctic Basin surface radiation budget, clouds, and the cloud radiative effects(CREs) in 22 coupled model intercomparison project 6(CMIP6) models are evaluated against satellite observations. For the results from CMIP6 multi-model mean, cloud fraction(CF) peaks in autumn and is lowest in winter and spring, consistent with that from three satellite observation products(Cloud Sat-CALIPSO, CERESMODIS, and APP-x). Simulated CF also shows consistent spatial patterns with those in observations. However,almost all models overestimate the CF amount throughout the year when compared to CERES-MODIS and APP-x.On average, clouds warm the surface of the Arctic Basin mainly via the longwave(LW) radiation cloud warming effect in winter. Simulated surface energy loss of LW is less than that in CERES-EBAF observation, while the net surface shortwave(SW) flux is underestimated. The biases may result from the stronger cloud LW warming effect and SW cooling effect from the overestimated CF by the models. These two biases compensate each other,yielding similar net surface radiation flux between model output(3.0 W/m~2) and CERES-EBAF observation(6.1 W/m~2). During 2001–2014, significant increasing trend of spring CF is found in the multi-model mean,consistent with previous studies based on surface and satellite observations. Although most of the 22 CMIP6 models show common seasonal cycles of CF and liquid water path/ice water path(LWP/IWP), large inter-model spreads exist in the amounts of CF and LWP/IWP throughout the year, indicating the influences of different cloud parameterization schemes used in different models. Cloud Feedback Model Intercomparison Project(CFMIP)observation simulator package(COSP) is a great tool to accurately assess the performance of climate models on simulating clouds. More intuitive and credible evaluation results can be obtained based on the COSP model output. In the future, with the release of more COSP output of CMIP6 models, it is expected that those inter-model spreads and the model-observation biases can be substantially reduced. Longer term active satellite observations are also necessary to evaluate models' cloud simulations and to further explore the role of clouds in the rapid Arctic climate changes.     

基于逆散射理论的介质参数与其地震响应的尺度对应关系研究

在反演过程中进行频带控制是多尺度反演的重要策略,但数据频率成分与要反演的参数之间的尺度对应关系尚不清晰。本文利用Kormendi论文中的测井曲线模型,基于逆散射理论将地下介质参数的扰动分解为0-0-9-11 Hz、9-11-18-22 Hz、18-22-36-44 Hz和36-44-80-90 Hz共4个尺度,并利用反射率正演模拟方法生成4个尺度扰动成分的地震响应。通过对比地下介质参数不同尺度的扰动及其地震响应的频带成分,发现二者在4个扰动尺度上均具有一致性,由此得出介质参数与其地震响应具有定量尺度对应关系的结论。据此从介质扰动的尺度概念引申出反射系数的尺度概念,从逆散射理论角度探讨实验结果的理论依据,并对其在指导反演分频参数选取及薄互层解释等方面的应用展望进行讨论。      

Oceanic plate subduction history in the western Pacific Ocean: Constraint from late Mesozoic evolution of the Tan-Lu Fault Zone

The NE- to NNE-striking Tan-Lu Fault Zone (TLFZ) is the largest fault zone in East China, and a typical representative for the circum-Pacific tectonics. Its late Mesozoic evolution resulted from subduction of the Paleo-Pacific Plate, and can be used for indication to the subduction history. The TLFZ reactivated at the end of Middle Jurassic since its origination in Middle Triassic. This phase of sinistral motion can only be recognized along the eastern edge of the Dabie-Sulu orogenis, and indicates initiation of the Paleo-Pacific (Izanagi) Plate subduction beneath the East China continent. After the Late Jurassic standstill, the fault zone experienced intense sinistral faulting again at the beginning of Early Cretaceous under N-S compression that resulted from the NNW-ward, low-angle, high-speed subduction of the Izanagi Plate. It turned into normal faulting in the rest of Early Cretaceous, which was simultaneous with the peak destruction of the North China Craton caused by backarc extension that resulted from rollback of the subducting Izanagi Plate. The TLFZ was subjected to sinistral, transpressive displacement again at the end of Early Cretaceous. This shortening event led to termination of the North China Craton destruction. The fault zone suffered local normal faulting in Late Cretaceous due to the far-field, weak backarc extension. The late Mesozoic evolution of the TLFZ show repeated alternation between the transpressive strike-slip motion and normal faulting. Each of the sinistral faulting event took place in a relatively short period whereas every normal faulting event lasted in a longer period, which are related to the subduction way and history of the Paleo-Pacific Plates.     

2023年7—9月全球火山活动简报

<正>0全球火山活动概况2023年7—9月全球共有63座火山出现活动,其中,警戒级别Ⅰ级的火山15座,警戒级别Ⅱ级的火山23座,警戒级别Ⅲ级的火山25座,无警戒级别Ⅳ级的火山(表1)。从空间分布上看,绝大多数活动火山位于环太平洋火山链上,少数分布在印度洋板块与欧亚板块碰撞带上,个别活动火山处于其他板块交界地带、板块内部(图1)。从国家分布来看,活动火山多集中在美国、印度尼西亚、日本等国,