Assessing future climate changes and extreme indicators in east and south Asia using the RegCM4 regional climate model

This paper assesses future climate changes over East and South Asia using a regional climate model (RegCM4) with a 50?km spatial resolution. To evaluate the model performance, RegCM4 is driven with ??perfect boundary forcing?? from the reanalysis data during 1970?C1999 to simulate the present day climate. The model performs well in reproducing not only the mean climate and seasonality but also most of the chosen indicators of climate extremes. Future climate changes are evaluated based on two experiments driven with boundary forcing from the European-Hamburg general climate model (ECHAM5), one for the present (1970?C1999) and one for the SRES A1B future scenario (2070?C2099). The model predicts an annual temperature increase of about 3°?C5° (smaller over the ocean and larger over the land), and an increase of annual precipitation over most of China north of 30°N and a decrease or little change in the rest of China, India and Indochina. For temperature-related extreme indicators in the future, the model predicts a generally longer growing season, more hot days in summer, and less frost days in winter. For precipitation-related extremes, the number of days with more than 10?mm of rainfall is predicted to increase north of 30°N and decrease in the south, and the maximum five-day rainfall amount and daily intensity will increase across the whole model domain. In addition, the maximum number of consecutive dry days is predicted to increase over most of the model domain, south of 40°N. Most of the Yangtze River Basin in China stands out as ??hotspots?? of extreme precipitation changes, with the strongest increases of daily rain intensity, maximum five-day rain amount, and the number of consecutive dry days, suggesting increased risks of both floods and droughts.     

塔里木盆地古近纪岩相古地理

古近纪是塔里木盆地由海向陆转化的时期。当时该区的海侵来自研究区西侧的古地中海分支,物源则主要是盆地北部的南天山以及南部的昆仑山,沉积中心在库车坳陷西部以及塔西南坳陷带的西部。古新世-始新世早期（库姆格列木群沉积期）在盆地北部库车坳陷发育砾岩、砂岩、碳酸盐岩及膏盐岩,沉积环境有滨岸、漏湖、潮坪及扇三角洲等,塔西南坳陷以碳酸盐岩和膏岩为特征,从东到西发育开阔台地、近岸局限台地、蒸发盐台地、辫状河三角洲环境等,二者之间即在塔北隆起及北部坳陷带位置为宽阔的古隆起区。始新世晚期-渐新世（苏维依组沉积期）整个盆地以滨浅湖为主,发育粉砂岩与泥岩互层沉积,塔西南坳陷虽然仍发育多个海相层,但海水的影响明显比始新世早期弱,当时主要古地理单元有海湾渴湖、滨浅湖、扇三角洲和辫状河三角洲。总体上,塔里木盆地在古近纪经历了早期以扇三角洲为主的浅水环境到晚期的滨浅湖及海湾溻湖环境,古近纪研究区的古气候以热带-亚热带的干旱气候为主。     

渤海湾的有机氯农药和多氯联苯

有机氯农药(DDT，BHC)和多氯联苯(PCBs)是人工合成的有机氯化合物。它们的化学性质稳定，在环境中能持久地残留并不易受环境中各种因素的作用而降解，它们在生物体内的累积和生物链中的浓缩已构成对人类和生态系统的潜在危害，早已引起世界各国的关注，并公认为全球性的环境污染物。许多国家的学者对不同海区、各大洋海水、沿岸海水、沉积物以及海洋生物体内的DDT, BHC, PCBs作了广泛深入的调查研究(Elear, 1976; Edwand et al, 1975; Ehrhardt, 1981; Harvey, 1973; Osterroht, 1977;Robert, 1976)。我国对近海海域有机氯农药污染状况作过一些调查，但对多氯联苯未见有过报道。、1980年8月作者在渤海湾采集了26个站位的海水样品，22个站位的沉积物样品和8个毛蚶(Arasubcrenata Lischke)样品，分析了其中DDT, BHC, PCBs的含量水平，并对其在渤海湾中的分布特征作了初步探讨。     

立交桥曲线箱梁动力分析模型

提出了1种双脊骨空间有限元模型,用来模拟和分析立交桥曲线箱梁的固有振动特性和动力反应。将曲线箱梁分别看作是由空间梁或壳组成的空间结构,并分别采用分段空间直梁模型、壳元模型和实体元模型进行模拟,分析相同曲线箱梁的振动特性和地震时程反应,通过与双脊骨模型的计算结果的比较验证双脊骨模型的可靠性。初步研究了在相同曲率半径下不同跨度的曲线箱梁的固有振动特性,分析了双脊骨模型的脊骨间距、横向连接间距等参数对模型计算结果的影响。研究结果可为曲线梁桥抗震性能和地震反应分析提供参考。     

Hydrothermal plume mapping as a prospecting tool for seafloor sulfide deposits: a case study at the Zouyu-1 and Zouyu-2 hydrothermal fields in the southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge

Seafloor hydrothermal polymetallic sulfide deposits are a new type of resource, with great potential economic value and good prospect development. This paper discusses turbidity, oxidation–reduction potential, and temperature anomalies of hydrothermal plumes from the Zouyu-1 and Zouyu-2 hydrothermal fields on the southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge. We use the known location of these vent fields and plume data collected in multiple years (2009, 2011, 2013) to demonstrate how real-time plume exploration can be used to locate active vent fields, and thus associated sulfide deposits. Turbidity anomalies can be detected 10 s of km from an active source, but the location precision is no better than a few kilometers because fine-grained particles are quasi-conservative over periods of many days. Temperature and oxidation–reduction potential anomalies provide location precision of a few hundred meters. Temperature anomalies are generally weak and difficult to reliably detect, except by chance encounters of a buoyant plume. Oxidation–reduction potential is highly sensitive (nmol concentrations of reduced hydrothermal chemicals) to discharges of all temperatures and responds immediately to a plume encounter. Real-time surveys using continuous tows of turbidity and oxidation–reduction potential sensors offer the most efficient and precise surface ship exploration presently possible.     

中国大陆1998～1999年地壳运动观测结果

介绍了中国地壳运动观测网络1998～1999年基准站GPS观测概况,简要介绍了用伯尔尼（Bernese）软件对GPS观测数据的处理结果,详细介绍了所获取的1998年９月初～1999年７月初基准网地壳运动,包括各基准站位移与网内各部分的应变．在所述观测期间,我国东部地区较为稳定．相对东部地区,西南部地区以向北运动为主,位移量约17ｍｍ,受北北东向挤压为主;西北部地区以北西向运动为主,位移量约11ｍｍ;而云南地区以向南运动为主,位移量约14ｍｍ．我国中部南北地震带则是一强烈的剪切变形带．网内最大主应变量为2.910-8．观测结果表明,印度板块向北挤压依然是影响我国地壳运动的主要因素．      

郑州市大雾气候特点及一次个例分析

为了了解近20 a郑州市大雾的时空变化特征,根据1980-2005年郑州市大雾观测记录,统计分析了这一时期郑州市大雾的变化特点及产生大雾时的气象要素特征;并利用河南省地面和探空观测资料以及NCEP1°×1°再分析资料,从要素场、大气稳定度等方面,对2007年12月25-27日郑州市大雾形成原因进行了分析.结果表明:郑州市年雾日数呈下降趋势,每月都可以出现大雾,但12月最多,6月最少.降水后较大的相对湿度、稳定的大气层结以及近地层较小风速等是大雾形成的必要条件.     

RTK-GPS��̬��λ���Ȳ����о�

??????RTK??GPS?????λ?????????????????????????????????????????3??????????????????????3?????????RTK??GPS???λ?????Ч????????????????????RTK??GPS?????????????????????RTK??GPS???λ???????????     

我国特殊岩土研究

本文分析，总结了我国特殊岩土理论与应用研究方面的新进展，内容涉及湿陷性黄土，软土膨胀岩土，红土，软岩和特殊土的结构性，指出需要进一步研究的问题，最后对特殊土的研究方法做了阐述。     

风云三号 (02) 批卫星微波氧气吸收通道降水特性

我国新一代极轨业务气象卫星风云三号 (02) 批计划2012年发射。该文利用UWNMS模拟2005年Katrina飓风的结果作为基础数据集,借助VDISORT微波辐射传输模式对风云三号 (02) 批计划装载的微波探测仪器中50~60 GHz和新增的118.75 GHz频点的降水特性进行初步研究。首先通过晴空权重函数匹配,选择出50~60 GHz与118.75 GHz频点匹配关系较好的4对通道。敏感性分析表明:各通道对各种水凝物粒子均很敏感,可用于改进现有业务降水反演算法。分别选取50~60 GHz 4个通道、118.75 GHz 4个通道、50~60 GHz及118.75 GHz全部通道3种不同的通道组合进行反演试验。结果表明:将50~60 GHz及118.75 GHz通道联合起来进行降水反演可提高降水反演的精度,并可以更好地区分降水区与非降水区。