论证南海海疆国界线

追溯探查历史图件,根据1946年内政部方域司编制的一组"南海诸岛位置图"(南海诸岛位置图,南沙群岛,中沙群岛,西沙群岛,西沙群岛永兴岛及石岛,南沙群岛太平岛)和1948年出版的"中华民国行政区域图"分析,南海诸岛外围的断续线段是我国在南海的海疆国界线;当时划定,是与陆域国界相连的,海上国界是陆域国界的延伸,以断续线段表示是国际地图上对海疆国界线通用的表示方法,当时即获国际认可。上述结果为南海划界提供了科学依据。     

Climate projections of spatial variations in coastal storm surges along the Gulf of Mexico and U.S. east coast

Using statistically downscaled atmospheric forcing, we performed a numerical investigation to evaluate future climate's impact on storm surges along the Gulf of Mexico and U.S. east coast. The focus is on the impact of climatic changes in wind pattern and surface pressure while neglecting sea level rise and other factors. We adapted the regional ocean model system(ROMS) to the study region with a mesh grid size of 7–10 km in horizontal and 18 vertical layers. The model was validated by a hindcast of the coastal sea levels in the winter of 2008. Model's robustness was confirmed by the good agreement between model-simulated and observed sea levels at 37 tidal gages. Two 10-year forecasts, one for the IPCC Pre-Industry(PI) and the other for the A1 FI scenario, were conducted. The differences in model-simulated surge heights under the two climate scenarios were analyzed. We identified three types of responses in extreme surge heights to future climate: a clear decrease in Middle Atlantic Bight, an increase in the western Gulf of Mexico, and non-significant response for the remaining area. Such spatial pattern is also consistent with previous projections of sea surface winds and ocean wave heights.     

Fast maximum likelihood estimation of signal parameters using theshape of the compressed likelihood function

A computationally efficient fast maximum-likelihood (FML) estimation scheme, which makes use of the shape of the surface of the compressed likelihood function (CLF), is proposed. The scheme uses only multiple one-dimensional searches oriented along appropriate ridges on the surface of the CLF. Simulations indicate that the performances of the proposed estimators match those of the corresponding maximum-likelihood estimators with very high probability. The approach is demonstrated by applying it to two different problems. The first problem involves the estimation of time of arrival and Doppler compression of a wideband hyperbolic frequency modulated (HFM) active sonar signal buried in reverberation. The second problem deals with estimating the frequencies of sinusoids. A threshold analysis of the proposed scheme is carried out to predict the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) at which large estimation errors begin to occur, i.e., the threshold SNR, and its computational complexity is discussed     

准线形对流系统中强度—速度负相关性的特征研究

准线形对流系统(如飑线、弓形回波)是常见的强对流性系统,伴随它出现的一般是大风、旋风甚至冰雹等严重的灾害性天气现象.弓形回波有的是由一个单体产生的,也有嵌套在飑线或其他线形系统中,作为整个线形回波的一个部分.弓形回波能在很长的带上产生灾害性的直线风.在我们的研究中发现,准线形对流系统中,反射率因子(R)和径向速度(V)之间存在一定的负相关性,对发生在中国东部地区(24.5°-34.29°N,116.01°-119.52°E)的16个个例进行统计分析,发现在这些系统中都存在这种R-V负相关的特征,负相关的程度随高度有规律性的变化.通过对2006年6月29日个例的风场分析证实这种特征确实存在.对流系统与雷达射线方向接近垂直时,R-V负相关特征明显,这是因为该方向上,观测到的径向速度近乎等于实际风速,数值最大;而因垂直运动造成的水平风速减小并不因探测位置的不同而有很大变化.文中通过分析,推断R-V的这种负相关性与准线形系统中对流的强弱、中层径向辐合的强弱以及后向入流都有很大的关系.     

模式水平扩散参数化的数值分析与试验

为了研究整个对流层中水平扩散系数（Ｋｙ）随高度变化的参数化形式以及平流格式的数值扩攻对物质浓度分布的影响及二者对模式结果影响的相互关系,本文用“高分辨对流层物质交换模式”（ＥＭ３）对三咱不同ＫＹ参数化型能对行星边界层（ＰＢＬ）内受下垫面影响的高湍流ＰＢＬ以上整个对流层受水平风切变产生的切变湍流分层结构具有良好的描述能力;模式采用几乎无数值扩散二阶矩守恒的Ｐｒａｔｈｅｒ平流差分格式代替模式Ｓｍｏｌａ     

中国中老年人红细胞压积参考值与地理因素的关系

海拔高度是影响中老年人红细胞压积参考值最主要的因素,随着海拔高度的逐渐增大,中老年人红细胞压积参考值也在逐渐增大,相关性很显著,用逐步回归分析的方法推导出二个回归方程,依据中老年人红细胞压积参考值与地理因素的依赖关系把中国分为青藏区,西南区,西北区,东南区,华北区,东北区等６个区。     

反射宇宙中子法的应用研究

摘要：反射宇宙中子法是一种工程物探新方法。本文论述了宇宙中子、反射宇宙中子的形成过程和反射宇宙中子测量装置的研制及其初步应用。由于反射宇宙中子法不受工业电、磁的干扰和不对民用建筑产生破坏,因而该方法在工业和民用建筑密集区进行工程地质填图,可显示其优越性。     

Pattern Characteristics of Foreshock Sequences

—Earthquake clusterings in both space and time have various forms, in particular, two typical examples are the foreshock sequences and earthquake swarms. Based on the analysis of 8 foreshock sequences in mainland China during 1966–1996, this study concentrates on the pattern characteristics of foreshock sequences. The following pattern characteristics of foreshock sequences have been found (1) the epicenters of foreshock sequences were densely concentrated in space; (2) the focal mechanisms of foreshocks were similar to that of the main shock. Such consistency of focal mechanisms with main shocks did not exist in aftershock series as well as in several earthquake swarms; (3) we found no case in mainland China during the past thirty years that a main shock is preceded by an earthquake clustering with inconsistent focal mechanisms. Finally, we found 5% of the main shocks in mainland China are preceded by foreshock sequences.