南海北部外陆架和上陆坡海底滑坡稳定性研究

海洋工程地质调查发现，在南海北部外陆架和上陆坡海底，有大片滑坡，其水深范围约在１８０－６５０ｍ之间，它们沿着陆架外缘坡折处呈北东－南西方向分布，其具体位置往往与古三角洲前缘的海底陡坎及古海岸线位置密切相关，大量浅层地震，旁侧声纳，底质取样分析和土体力学理论计算表明，本区滑坡主要是由于地形坡度，沉积物特性，土体自身重力，它们是区内海底很不稳定的地带，是一种重要的地灾害因素，在海洋工程地质设计和实施时     

江苏省国内旅游线路节点配置研究

基于旅行社旅游线路网络调查资料,本研究运用频数分析、聚类分析、比较分析等研究方法,深入分析了江苏省国内旅游线路中的城市节点、景区节点、临时节点等三大类旅游线路节点配置特征。结果表明:(1)可以将进入江苏国内旅游205条线路中的26个城市节点分为3个全国旅游热点城市节点、6个全国旅游城市节点、6个长三角区域旅游热点城市节点、11个省内短途旅游城市节点,南京和苏州是最主要的门户型和离境型城市节点;(2)随着客源地距离的增大,进入江苏国内旅游线路中的城市节点和景区节点数量都相应减少,旅游线路景区节点分布的地域集中性增强,相应城市节点内部的景区节点选择差异性也增大;(3)对游客具有较大吸引力的临时节点主要包括地方知名产品的生产和购物场所,以及富有当地文化特征的历史街区、现代CBD等。     

Soil moisture potential and water content in the unsaturated zone within the arid Ejina Oasis in Northwest China

Three soil profiles were selected in the Ejina Oasis, northwest China, to determine water content profiles and evolution of soil moisture potentials in the unsaturated zone within the arid area. The total soil moisture potentials have been monitored for about 3 months in 2001 at different depths in the soil profiles. The occurrence and movement of water in the unsaturated zone was analyzed using the zero flux plane (ZFP) method. It is shown that convergent ZFPs and divergent ZFPs may occur at depths between 0.5 and 3.0 m, and that the depth of the ZFPs was controlled by the root zone of plants growing on the land surface. Profiles of the total soil moisture potentials were observed to be coincident with those of the water contents at the three experimental sites. The total soil moisture potential showed a slight increasing trend and the ZFPs tend to vanish from summer to winter as the water extraction by roots decreased. Evapotranspiration through vegetation has an important bearing on the water content and the total potential in the unsaturated zone.     

Characteristics, Formation Periods, and Controlling Factors of Tectonic Fractures in Carbonate Geothermal Reservoirs: A Case Study of the Jixianian System in the Xiong’an New Area, China

As typical carbonate geothermal reservoirs with low porosity in northern China, the Jixianian System in the Xiong’an New Area is the main target for geothermal fluid exploration. The Jixianian System comprises the Gaoyuzhuang, Yangzhuang, Wumishan, Hongshuizhuang, and Tieling formations. The characteristics, formation periods, and controlling factors of reservoir tectonic fractures have been determined based on analyses of outcrops, cores, thin sections, and image logs. The results show that unfilled fractures account for over 87% and most tectonic fractures are high-angle shear fractures with angles concentrated at 40° to 70° and the fracture porosity increases linearly with an increased fracture aperture. Within the same tectonic setting and stress field, the lithology and layer thickness are the dominant factors governing the development of tectonic fractures, which are the most developed in dolomites and thin layers. Tectonic fractures were most likely formed in regions near faults or areas with larger stress gradients. The tectonic fractures in the carbonate geothermal reservoirs are roughly divided into four sets: NNW–SSE and NNE–SSW oriented ‘X’-conjugated shear fractures formed from the Paleozoic to the pre-Yanshanian Movement; NE–SW-oriented shear fractures, formed in episode B of the Yanshanian Movement, occurred at the Early Cretaceous; nearly E–W-oriented tensional fractures formed in the late Yanshanian Movement at the Late Cretaceous to Paleogene, and NEE–SW-oriented shear fractures formed during the Himalayan movement.     

Lateral extrusion along the Altyn Tagh Fault,Qilian Shan (NE Tibet): insight from a 3D crustal budget

The lithospheric strike‐slip Altyn Tagh Fault has accommodated hundreds of kilometres of displacement between the Qaidam and Tarim blocks since its Eocene reactivation. However, the way the deformation is accommodated in the Qilian Shan and further east remains uncertain. Based on 360 km of north‐eastward migration of the relatively rigid Qaidam block along the Altyn Tagh Fault and 3D isovolumetric balancing of the crustal deformation within the Altyn Tagh Fault–Qilian Shan system, we demonstrate that 250 ± 28 km (43.8–49.4%) of N20E directed crustal shortening and an additional ~250–370 km of eastward motion of the Qilian Shan crust must be accounted for by strike‐slip faulting in the Qilian Shan and crustal thickening in the Qinling area, as well as by extension in the adjoining North China block graben systems.     

地脉动及特殊波形的频谱特性在地震预报中的应用

利用功率谱和Ｓｏｍｐｉ谱分析方法,对大震前地脉动及震前特殊波形等记录进行了比较深入的研究,结果表明：（１）较大地震前短周期地脉动及震前特殊波形频谱的峰值频率ｆｍ,拐角频率ｆｃ相对频带宽度△ｆ相对峰值Ｓｍ／Ｓ０,高频段的斜率绝对值│ｂ│及Ｓｏｍｐｉ谱的卓越频率ｆｄ等特征量均可能出呈现出较明显的下降（少数为上升）异常变化。（２）各频谱特征量呈现异常的时间基本上同步,并与波速异常发展趋势基本相符,（３）     

Dissipation source function and an improvement to LAGFD-WAM model

In this paper, a new theoretical expression of dissipation term is presented on the basis of statistical model of breaking wave, which is an improvement to LAGFD-WAM wave model. The computational results in three typical wind fields show a good improvement to LAGFD-WAM model and a better accuracy in comparison with the observed data in the South China Sea.     

不同空间尺度的山洪灾害风险评价模型对比研究

以山洪灾害风险评价的多准则决策模型、最大熵模型、信息量模型三种常见模型为研究对象,选取河西走廊和张掖市为地理区划（大中）、市域（小）空间尺度研究区,构建山洪灾害风险评价指标体系,分别完成基于三种模型的两种空间尺度的山洪灾害风险评价制图,基于甘肃省地质灾害调查与区划报告数据从模型验证、空间自相关、精度对比和尺度效应等角度对比分析三个模型应用于不同空间尺度的适应性,并给出优选模型。结果表明：最大熵模型是河西走廊（地理区划）空间尺度上山洪灾害风险评价的优选模型;多准则决策模型不适用于张掖市（市域）空间尺度评价,且三个模型运行结果均没有河西走廊（地理区划）空间尺度上表现良好;三个模型的尺度效应明显,在地理区划空间尺度上应用较良好,缩小至市域空间尺度上模拟结果误差增大;不同空间尺度上,最大熵模型均优于多准则决策模型和信息量模型,适用于地理区划（大中）、市域（小）空间尺度的山洪灾害风险评价。     

南方海相油气勘探为什么久攻不下？

中国南方从震旦纪到三叠纪８个地质时代海相地层厚度巨大，具有很大的生烃能力。然而除四川地区之外，至今油气勘探尚无重大突破。积十二年对南方５个地质时代海相地层基础地质研究及制图的经验，认为南方海相油气勘探久攻不下的原因是：（１）对整个南方还缺乏全面的、历史的，整体的和深刻的认识；（２）还不于用什么方法或顺序去认识它。建议重视基础地质研究，并以中国南方二叠纪及三叠纪的岩相古地理研究和制图为例，提出基础地