EM算法在卫星轨道计算中的应用

利用精密星历文件计算卫星轨道坐标,现今较常用的方法是拉格朗日插值法和切比雪夫拟合法.在实际应用中,8阶拉格朗日内插或者12阶切比雪夫拟合即可达到厘米级精度.然而,IGS精密星历文件经常会受到卫星信号限制等原因导致部分数据失真或缺失.在数据缺失或数据量较少的情况下,无法采用高阶的插值法或拟合法.只能降阶对其插值或拟合,从而导致计算精度降低.采用EM算法,添加与卫星轨道信息相关的“潜在数据”,可以有效解决这一问题,大大提高卫星拟合的精度.     

舟曲县南峪沟松散固体物源及其对泥石流的补给特征

南峪沟地处特殊的构造部位,特定的地层经长期的内外营力共同作用,形成泥石流松散固体物源。物源类型有重力堆积物和沟床中下游段松散堆积物,其分布相对较集中,对泥石流补给方式表现为坡面冲刷、崩塌、滑坍和流体冲刷;沟域面积和沟道长度与物源量没有明显的对应关系,决定泥石流补给量的主要因素是沟谷形态和山体岩石类型。     

中天山巴仑台地区变形花岗岩类LA-ICP-MS-U-Pb年代学及其构造意义

本文对巴仑台地区中天山南北边缘的变形花岗岩体进行了详细的锆石LA-ICP-MS-U-Pb年代学研究。中天山北缘花岗质片麻岩中岩浆锆石结晶年龄为630.0±5.0 Ma,代表了中天山微陆基底的新元古代岩浆事件年龄;其变质增生锆石边的年龄为440.9±3.3 Ma,精确限定了中天山北缘洋盆闭合与碰撞造山作用的时代为早志留世。中天山南缘糜棱岩化花岗闪长岩中岩浆锆石结晶年龄为389.5±3.2 Ma,指示出中天山南缘洋壳在中泥盆世向北俯冲形成陆缘岩浆弧;其变质增生锆石边的年龄为362.1±4.3 Ma,精确限定了中天山南缘洋盆闭合与碰撞造山作用的时代为晚泥盆世末期。研究结果还表明中天山微陆块具有年龄为2.5Ga和1.8Ga的古老结晶基底。     

贵州平坝榜上煤矿矿山环境影响分区研究

为准确划定矿山环境影响范围,有效地开展矿山环境保护与综合治理,促进矿山可持续发展,本文在详细分析贵州平坝榜上煤矿矿山环境现状存在问题的基础上,运用采掘活动过程中的安全开采深度、移动角、边界角和地下水均衡原理等理论．系统地分析和计算了榜上煤矿矿山环境影响的几类不同范围：利用上山移动角确定地质灾害危险性大区,采用边界角确定井下开采影响范围,运用“大井法”圈出疏排水影响范围。依据矿山环境问题类型影响程度．相应地划分为严重区、较严重区和较轻区等3类,并给出具体量化指标。     

不同流体性质储集层的混沌特性提取及测井解释

从非线性混沌理论的角度对储层测井信号进行分析以及特征提取,避开以往测井信号分类特征基于线性理论的传统做法。目的是寻求不同流体性质储集层(油层、水层和干层)与其测井信号的混沌特征之间联系,希望为不同流体储集层提供一种新颖的测井解释方法。首先分析测井信号的混沌机理,之后对测井信号分别进行预处理和非平稳分析。在此基础上,对实际测井数据进行混沌特征的提取,如关联维数、最大Lyapunov指数和近似熵的提取及分析。研究结果表明,不同流体储集层的混沌特征参量数值大小存在明显差异。因此,在对测井信号提取混沌特征参量值之后,可根据参量值所处区间范围对储集层的不同流体性质进行解释。     

层序古地理背景下河南省二_1煤聚集规律研究

对河南省晚石炭世-早二叠世含煤岩系(太原组中部碎屑岩段、上部灰岩段和山西组二1煤层段、大占砂岩段)进行层序分析,共识别出以胡石砂岩底面、二1煤底面、大占砂岩底面和香炭砂岩底面为代表的4个层序界面,将该层段含煤岩系划分为3个三级层序。通过对层序S1和层序S3岩相古地理图和二1煤厚度等值线图耦合分析发现,障壁岛-潟湖沉积环境为二1煤的聚集提供一个较好的前期环境,分流间湾沉积环境为二1煤的保存提供一个较好的后期环境,而分流河道对二1煤的保存起到了破坏性的作用。     

Short-term Earthquake Prediction in the Sichuan-Yunnan Region Using the Method of Modulated Earthquakes

By scanning modulated or un-modulated earthquakes spatio-temporally in the region of Sichuan-Yunnan,short-term non-stationary seismic precursory patterns were extracted with significant difference and the characteristic of non-stationary short-term seismic anomalies were analyzed as well as prediction efficiency of modulated small earthquakes before a strong earthquake. Besides,small earthquake modulation ratios near the region of the epicenter were calculated and sorted by time. The results indicated that there were significant effects using the modulated earthquake method to predict earthquakes greater than MS6. 0 in a short time. Before the MS8. 0 Wenchuan earthquake,there were obvious short-term precursory seismicity gap patterns of modulated small earthquakes.     

安徽地区地磁转换函数变化与地震的关系

利用安徽省地磁台站2007-2009年数字化观测资料,应用地磁转换函数方法,对华东地区ML4.0以上地震进行对应关系研究,发现不同台站、不同周期的转换函数参量与安徽及邻近地区地震存在一定的对应关系,为今后数据研究提供参考.     

安徽省地电阻率台址电性结构特征参数的初步分析

依据电测深资料,计算研究安徽省合肥、肥东、蒙城3个地电阻率台站的电性结构特征参数:干扰系数α、γ和异常系数β.讨论不同电性结构、不同极距、不同测线下特征参数的变化速率及相互之间的比例关系.研究结果表明,特征参数可以直观反映台址不同极距下的抑制干扰能力和映震能力,并对提升观测效能具有一定的指导意义.     

A fundamental procedure and calculation formula for evaluating gravel liquefaction

Field investigations following the 2008 Ms8.0 Wenchuan earthquake identified 118 liquefaction sites, most of which are underlain by gravelly sediment in the Chengdu Plain and adjacent Mianyang area, in the Sichuan Province. Gravel sediment in the Sichuan province is widely distributed; hence it is necessary to develop a method for prediction and evaluation of gravel liquefaction behavior. Based on liquefaction investigation data and in-situ testing, and with reference to existing procedures for sandy soil liquefaction evaluation, a fundamental procedure for gravel liquefaction evaluation using dynamic penetration tests (DPT) is proposed along with a corresponding model and calculation formula. The procedure contains two stages, i.e., pre-determination and re-determination. Pre-determination excludes impossible liquefiable or non-liquefiable soils, and re-determination explores a DPT-based critical N120 blows calculation model. Pre-determination includes three criteria, i.e., geological age, gravel contents, gravel sediment depths and water tables. The re-determination model consists of five parameters, i.e., DPT reference values, gravel contents, gravel sediment depths, water tables and seismic intensities. A normalization method is used for DPT reference values and an optimization method is used for the gravel sediment depth coefficient and water table coefficient. The gravel liquefaction evaluation method proposed herein is simple and takes most influencing factors on gravel sediment liquefaction into account.