Sedimentary effects on the expansion of a Himalayan supraglacial lake

Supraglacial Tsho Rolpa Lake in the Nepal Himalaya has been increasing rapidly in size since the 1950s, corresponding to the mountain-glacier shrinkage after the Little Ice Age. The lake basin expansion results from the subsidence by dead-ice melt below the bottom of the lake, and the retreat of the glacier terminus. Field observations of Tsho Rolpa in 1996 revealed that the retreat of glacier terminus is connected to a wind-induced vertical circulation of surface water heated by solar radiation. In order to clarify the mechanism of the lake expansion associated with sedimentary processes, we measured bottom sedimentation rate with some sediment traps, and vertical suspended sediment concentration (SSC) and water temperature, and analyzed the grain size of suspended and trapped sediments. The sediments, mostly composed of clay-sized grains, are dominantly supplied by glacier-melt water inflow at the glacier terminus. Sedimentary processes of such fine sediment comprise: (1) suspended-sediment fallout from intrusion of horizontal currents; (2) sediment sorting by sediment-laden underflows; and (3) the debris supply from the ice collapse at the glacier terminus. The (1) and (2) processes produce the density stratification of the lake, accompanied by a pycnocline at a depth of about 27 m. The existence of the pycnocline builds up the vertical water circulation in the surface layer to enhance the glacier-melt at the terminus. With respect to the subsidence of the lake bottom, nearly molecular thermal diffusion is probably dominant near the bottom of the deepest point, which results from the kinetic-energy dissipation of sediment-laden underflows. The stable existence of the bottom turbid water throughout the year could cause continuous dead-ice melt below the lake bottom.     

Earth Observations based Conservation Prioritization in Western Ghats,India

Earth Observation with large suite of sensors and with capabilities to address natural resources at multiple scales has proven to be a critical resource in setting conservation priorities of a region. The role of earth observation data was recognized towards achieving international biodiversity targets by 2020. Ecosystem irreplaceability and ecosystem vulnerability are two concepts key to understanding and preparing conservation priority maps. This study presents spatial conservation prioritization analysis for forests of ‘Western Ghats biodiversity hotspot’. Earth observation data products have been used for prioritization of areas of irreplaceability and vulnerability that are significant for conservation planning. The spatial surrogates of biodiversity in terms of very dense forest, biological richness, intactness and rarity of habitat are analyzed for evaluation of ecosystem irreplaceability. Fragmentation, forest fires, plant invasion and disturbance index are surrogates included for spatial analysis of ecosystem vulnerability. Vegetation type wise analysis indicates dry deciduous forests are under high vulnerability, followed by moist deciduous forests. The high concentration of irreplaceability is observed in Shola followed by wet evergreen forests and semi-evergreen forests. Spatial prioritization approach has identified about 18% of the forest area as irreplaceable which represents overlapped area of very dense forest, shola, intact forest and high biological richness. We observed that the overlap of forest areas of irreplaceability with vulnerability in southern Western Ghats, which needs high priority of conservation. This study is the first of its kind wherein multi-source earth observation data has been analysed to examine the quantitative criteria at regional level in Western Ghats.     

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ABSTRACT

Global climate variations are expected to cause serious challenges to water resources planning and management, including an increase in sea level, abrupt changes in rainfall patterns and changes in ecosystems. This study evaluates impacts of mid-century climate variability as projected by climate models in the Haw River watershed, which contributes significantly to Jordan Lake, a major source of drinking water supply in central North Carolina, USA. The watershed-based hydrological model, Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT), was successfully calibrated with very good to excellent performance. Projected precipitation and temperature information for 2040–2069 from four dynamically downscaled regional climate models (RCMs) was used to force the SWAT modeling set-up of the watershed. On a long-term basis, a 38% decrease in the precipitation in early fall is expected while spring months are expected to receive 30% higher precipitation compared to the baseline condition (1980–2009). Water yield was found to increase in spring months, with a maximum of 74% increase on average. Summer months are expected to have on average 8% higher evapotranspiration (ET) than the baseline. Analysis of the change in average monthly streamflow at the watershed outlet (which leads to Lake Jordan) shows that there might be, on average, an 80% increase in streamflow in spring months (February, March, April and May), with the greatest increase (107%) in May. In general, simulation results indicated that the hydrological response of the watershed is very sensitive to the potential variation in climate (precipitation and temperature), with precipitation being one of the decisive factors in water yield increase.

Editor Z.W. Kundzewicz Associate editor N. Verhoest     

Satellite image based quantification of invasion and patch dynamics of mesquite (Prosopis juliflora) in Great Rann of Kachchh,Kachchh Biosphere Reserve,Gujarat, India

The invasion of alien species is a significant threat to global biodiversity and the top driver of climate change. The present study was conducted in the Great Rann of Kachchh, part of Kachchh Biosphere Reserve, Gujarat, India, which has been severely affected by invasion of Prosopis juliflora. The invasive weed infestation has been identified using multi-temporal remote sensing datasets of 1977, 1990, 1999, 2005 and 2011. Spatial analyses of the transition matrix, extent of invasive colonies, patchiness, coalescence and rate of spread were carried out. During the study period of three and half decades, almost 295 km² of the natural land cover was converted into Prosopis cover. This study has shown an increment of 42.9% of area under Prosopis cover in the Great Rann of Kachchh, part of the Kachchh Biosphere Reserve during 1977 to 2011. Spatial analysis indicates high occupancy of Prosopis cover with most of the invasion (95.9%) occurring in the grasslands and only 4.1% in other land cover types. The process of Prosopis invasion shows high patch initiation, followed by coalescence, indicating aggressive colonization of species. The number of patches within an area of < 1 km² increased from 1977 to 2011, indicating the formation of new Prosopis habitats by replacing the grasslands. The largest patch of Prosopis cover increased from 144 km² in 1977 to 430 km² in 2011. The estimated mean patch size was 7.8 km² in 1977. The mean patch size was largest during 2011, i.e., 9 km². The annual spread rate for Prosopis has been estimated as 2.1% during 2005–2011. The present work has investigated the long term changes in Prosopis cover in the Great Rann of Kachchh, part of Kachchh Biosphere Reserve. The spatial database generated will be useful in preparing strategies for the management of Prosopis juliflora.